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Underwater? HARP Is Your Life Preserver
May 14, 2012

If you’re underwater with your mortgage, don’t feel alone — and don’t feel like you have no options. With the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) loan, you may be able to refinance no matter how upside-down your mortgage is.

According to researchers at CoreLogic, a leading analytics firm, 11.1 million or 22.8 percent of all residential properties in the United States were worth less than the amount their homeowners owed on the mortgages used to purchase them. It’s hard not to feel stressed out in that situation. Fortunately, you have a life preserver.

The HARP loan is a federal program specifically designed to reach out and give a helping hand to responsible homeowners that have suffered a reversal of fortune thanks to collapse of the real estate bubble. The federal government originally rolled out the HARP program in 2009 to help homeowners who were underwater or near underwater. However, the program was recently broadened to reach even more borrowers who need a helping hand. Originally, HARP applied to 895,000 underwater borrowers; and now HARP II is expected to help up to double that amount. According to HUD, about 400,000 homeowners have taken advantage of the program since it launched in April 2012.

And that’s terrific news, because it means that not only do the homeowners who are in truly dire straits have access to help, but the underwater homeowners who are continuing to make payments and need some financial breathing room can get some relief by refinancing. The new HARP II loans mean that those homeowners can have extra money going back to their bottom line each month, while continuing to pay off their loans in a reasonable timeframe. And that’s a good thing for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, because that equates to more financially stable and dependable borrowers.

The new program offers a number of advantages over the original HARP loans. First off, there is no loan-to-value or combined loan-to-value restriction on fixed-rate loans with terms of 30 years and under. In other words, HARP II can help millions of homeowners no matter how upside-down they are on their mortgages. Previously, there was cap that restricted borrowers who owed more than 125 percent of their home’s current worth from accessing the program.

In addition, an appraisal may be waived if a value for the home can be automatically generated, and the borrower only needs to have a 620 FICO score.

There are three main components to qualifying for a HARP II refinance loan. The first requirement is that your loan must be owned by either Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. If you’re not sure, I can easily look up your loan for you and determine if you qualify. You can also visit www.fanniemae.com/loanlookup or www.freddiemac.com/mymortgage and fill out the quick, online forms, which will tell you if either government-sponsored enterprise owns your loan. Second, your loan must have been sold to Fannie or Freddie before June 1, 2009. Third, a HARP II refinance must benefit you in least one of four ways:

  • It must reduce your loan’s monthly principal and interest payment.
  • It must reduce the loan’s interest rate.
  • It must reduce the loan’s amortization term.
  • It must transition your mortgage to a more stable type of loan. For example, it must move you from an interest-only loan to a fully amortizing loan; it must move you from an adjustable-rate mortgage to a fixed-rate loan; or it must transition you from a longer 30-year term to a 15-year loan.

If you have a Fannie Mae- or Freddie Mac-owned loan that is underwater, or close to it, and you are looking to come up for air, please contact me using the information printed on this message. I would be happy to meet with you to review your current loan status and discuss how the HARP II program can help you breathe easy and gain the financial confidence and stability you deserve.


Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have adopted changes to the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) and you may be eligible to take advantage of these changes. If your mortgage is owned or guaranteed by either Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae, you may be eligible to refinance your mortgage under the enhanced and expanded provisions of HARP. You can determine whether your mortgage is owned by either Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae by checking the following websites: www.freddiemac.com/mymortgage or http://www.fanniemae.com/loanlookup.

Posted in WJB Insight



Economic Roundup: May 14, 2012
May 14, 2012

Americans are borrowing more, with consumer credit shooting up in March to an annual rate of 10.2 percent, the Federal Reserve reported last week. Total consumer borrowing amounted to $2.54 trillion for the month, representing a $21.36 billion gain over the previous month.
 
Revolving debt, such as credit card debt, amounted to $803.6 trillion in comparison to February’s $798.5 trillion, and grew by an annual rate of 7.8 percent. Non-revolving debt, such as student loans and car loans, totaled $1.738 trillion, in comparison to February’s $1.722 trillion, and grew by an annual rate of 11.3 percent for the month.

The question is whether or not the gains represented increased economic activity and confidence.
 
“The optimistic read is that consumers’ improved outlook on the economy and employment prospects led them to feel comfortable spending on credit, while a more downbeat interpretation is that credit is needed for consumers to keep up,” analysts at Nomura Global Economics remarked in a public statement regarding the Fed’s data.
 
Looking at foreign trade, March exports totaled $186.8 billion and imports came to $238.6 billion, resulting in a goods and services deficit of $51.8 billion, up from $45.4 billion in February, the Census Bureau and Bureau of Economic Analysis reported last week. March exports were $5.3 billion more than February exports of $181.5 billion, and March imports were $11.7 billion more than February imports of $226.9 billion.
 
Import prices declined 0.5 percent in April, according to last week’s statistics from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This followed a 1.5 percent increase in March. The April decrease was driven by lower fuel prices, which more than offset a small increase in non-fuel prices. The price index for overall exports rose 0.4 percent in April after a 0.8 percent increase the previous month.
 
In employment news, initial jobless claims for the week ending May 5 dipped to 367,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 368,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 379,000, a decrease of 5,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 384,250.
 
The Administration also reported that the total number of unemployed workers covered by insurance during the week ending April 28 dropped to 3,229,000, a decrease of 61,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,290,000. The four-week moving average was 3,290,000, a decrease of 10,500 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,300,500.
 
This week’s economic news starts off tomorrow with retail sales data for April from the Census Bureau, which also releases March’s business inventories. Also on Tuesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases April’s consumer price index.
 
On Wednesday, the Census Bureau publishes housing construction permits and starts for April, and the Federal Reserve releases April’s industrial production and capacity utilization data. The week wraps up with initial jobless claims for last week from the Employment and Training Administration, and April’s leading economic indicators from the Conference Board.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: May 7, 2012
May 7, 2012

Employment data was a major newsmaker last week, with the economy adding 115,000 jobs in April. This put the unemployment rate at 8.1, which was slightly down from March’s rate of 8.2 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. Key job sectors that saw gains were professional and business services, retail trade, and health care.
 
The pace of job growth in April shows signs of a possible slowing trend. The 115,000 job gain followed March’s gain of 154,000 jobs and gains averaging 252,000 per month for December, January and February.

In other employment news, initial claims for jobless benefits filed during the week ending April 28 dropped to 365,000, a welcome decline of 27,000 claims from the previous week’s revised figure of 392,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 383,500, an increase of 750 from the previous week’s revised average of 382,750.
 
The total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending April 21 dropped to 3,276,000, a decrease of 53,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,329,000, the Administration also reported. The four-week moving average was 3,297,000, a decrease of 18,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,315,250.
 
First quarter non-farm business sector labor productivity decreased at a 0.5 percent annual rate, according to last week’s report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The decline in productivity reflects increases of 2.7 percent in output and 3.2 percent in hours worked. From the first quarter of 2011 to the first quarter of 2012, productivity increased 0.5 percent as output and hours worked rose 2.8 percent and 2.2 percent, respectively.
 
Labor unit costs (the ratio of hourly compensation to productivity) for non-farm businesses increased 2.0 percent in the first quarter of 2012, while hourly compensation increased 1.5 percent. Unit labor costs rose 2.1 percent over the last four quarters.
 
Construction spending during March ticked up to an annual rate of $808.1 billion, a 0.1 percent increase over February’s revised estimate of $807.3 billion. The March figure is 6 percent over the March 2011 estimate of $762.6 billion.
 
Spending on private construction skirted up to an annual rate of $531.9 billion, 0.7 percent over February’s revised estimate of $528.1 billion. Residential construction saw a similar gain of 0.7 percent to hit an annual rate of $244.1 billion in March, up from February’s revised estimate of $242.5 billion.
 
Personal income and spending were both up in March, according to last week’s report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Incomes increased $50.3 billion, or 0.4 percent for the month, and disposable personal income (DPI; income minus taxes) increased $42.5 billion, or 0.4 percent. Personal consumption expenditures increased $29.6 billion, or 0.3 percent.
 
Turning to car and truck sales, April saw an increase of 2.3 percent, the sixth monthly gain in a row, according to figures released by the car and truck makers last week. Cars sales in the month increased 3.2 percent to 632,129 and truck sales in the month gained 1.3 percent to 552,318 units.
 
Much of April’s gains can be chalked up to significant increases for Toyota and Chrysler. After suffering post-tsunami havoc in its supply chain, Toyota was finally able to see some daylight and enjoyed an 11.6 percent gain. Chrysler sales gained 20 percent, due in large part to its passenger car sales.
 
Other noteworthy performances: GM sales declined 8.2 percent, Honda saw a 2.2 percent decline, Volkswagen skyrocketed 27.3 percent, BMW also shot up by 27.8 percent, and Ford dropped 5.1 percent.
 
This week’s lineup of financial news starts today with March’s consumer credit scores from the Federal Reserve. The Census Bureau follows up Wednesday with March wholesale inventories.
 
Thursday sees a considerable bit of trade news with March’s balance of trade from the Census Bureau, and April import and export prices from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Also, the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claims for last week.
 
The week wraps up Friday with April’s producer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: April 30, 2012
April 30, 2012

New home sales dropped in March, with transactions of new single-family houses in March 2012 dipping to an annual rate of 328,000, a 7.1 percent decline below February’s revised rate of 353,000, the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development reported last week. That said, March’s performance was still 7.5 percent over March 2011′s estimate of 305,000.
 
Real estate watchers chalked up March’s sales decline to winter’s unexpectedly benign weather, which saw much of the positive market activity that would have taken place in early spring actually occur in February. In fact, the Bureau revised its sales figures for February, originally released in March, to show new home sales for the month at an annual rate of 353,000, which was a sizable increase from the 313,000 figure initially released.

The median price for new houses sold in March was $234,500 and the average sales price was $291,200. The estimate of new houses for sale at the end of March was 144,000, representing a 5.3-month supply at the current sales rate.
 
Looking at how consumers feel about economic conditions, the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index was virtually unchanged, ringing in at 69.2 (a baseline of 100 was set in 1985), down slightly from 69.5 in March. The Expectations Index, which charts how consumers think the economy will go, declined to 81.1 from 82.5, while the Present Situation Index, which tracks how consumers feel about present economic conditions, improved to 51.4 from 49.9 last month.
 
“Consumer confidence was virtually unchanged in April, following a modest decline in March,” said Lynn Franco, director of the Conference Board’s Consumer Research Center. “As was the case last month, the slight dip was prompted by a moderation in consumers’ short-term outlook, while their assessment of current conditions continued to improve. Overall, consumers are more upbeat about the state of the economy, but they remain cautiously optimistic.”
 
Durable goods saw a steep decline in March, according to last week’s release from the Census Bureau. Orders for manufactured durable goods placed in March tumbled $8.8 billion, or 4.2 percent, to $202.6 billion, the Bureau reported. The decline in orders, down two of the last three months, followed a 1.9 percent February increase.
 
Transportation equipment, also down two of the last three months, saw the largest decrease, $7.1 billion or 12.5 percent to $49.7 billion. This was due largely to a drop in orders for non-defense aircraft and parts, which decreased $7.7 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 1.1 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased 4.6 percent.
 
Shipments of manufactured durable goods in March, up three of the last four months, increased $2.0 billion, or 1 percent, to $208.8 billion. This followed a 0.3 percent decrease in February. Inventories of manufactured durable goods in March, up 27 consecutive months, increased $1.7 billion or 0.4 percent to $375.1 billion, once again marking yet another record monthly level since the series was first published.
 
Initial claims for jobless benefits placed by the newly unemployed during the week ending April 21 dropped to 388,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 389,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 381,750, an increase of 6,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 375,500.
 
The total number of insured unemployed workers for the week ending April 14 ticked up to 3,315,000, an increase of 3,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,312,000, the Administration also reported. The four-week moving average was 3,311,750, a decrease of 9,750 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,321,500.
 
This week sees a busy slate of financial headlines, starting today with March’s personal income and expenditures from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This is followed tomorrow by the Census Bureau’s release of March’s construction spending figures, and April’s car and truck sales from the auto manufacturers.
 
On Wednesday, the Census Bureau releases March’s factory orders, followed Thursday by initial jobless claims for last week from the Employment and Training Administration, and preliminary non-farm productivity figures and labor costs for Q1 from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Bureau wraps up this week on Friday with April’s unemployment rate, non-farm payrolls, productivity and average workweek.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: April 23, 2012
April 23, 2012

Real estate dominated last week’s economic headlines, with March’s existing home sales and housing inventory down, but prices stabilizing, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. Total sales of existing single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops declined 2.6 percent to an annual rate of 4.48 million in March from an upwardly revised 4.60 million in February, but were 5.2 percent above the 4.26 million-unit pace in March 2011.
 
“The recovery is happening though not at a breakout pace, but we have seen nine consecutive months of year-over-year sales increases,” NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun said. “Existing-home sales are moving up and down in a fairly narrow range that is well above the level of activity during the first half of last year. With job growth, low interest rates, bargain home prices and an improving economy, the pent-up demand is coming to market and we expect housing to be notably better this year.”

Total housing inventory at the end of March declined 1.3 percent to 2.37 million existing homes available for sale, which represented a 6.3-month supply at the current sales pace. March’s listed inventory was 21.8 percent below a year ago and well below the record of 4.04 million in July 2007.
 
The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $163,800 in March, up 2.5 percent from March 2011. Distressed homes — such as foreclosures and short sales sold at deep discounts — accounted for 29 percent of March’s sales (18 percent were foreclosures and 11 percent were short sales), compared with 34 percent in February and 40 percent in March 2011.
 
Looking at new real estate activity, construction permits issued in March for privately owned housing units were at an annual rate of 747,000, according to last week’s report from the Census Bureau. This was 4.5 percent over February’s revised rate of 715,000, and was 30.1 percent over the March 2011 estimate of 574,000. Permits for single-family homes in March were at a rate of 462,000, which was 3.5 percent below February’s revised figure of 479,000.
 
Construction starts on privately owned housing in March were at an annual rate of 654,000, which was 5.8 percent below February’s revised estimate of 694,000, but was 10.3 percent over the March 2011 rate of 593,000. Starts on single-family homes in March were at a rate of 462,000, which was 0.2 percent below February’s revised figure of 463,000.
 
Completed constructions of housing in March were at an annual rate of 600,000. This was 4.2 percent above February’s revised estimate of 576,000 and was 0.5 percent over the March 2011 rate of 597,000. Single-family housing completions in March were at a rate of 440,000, which was 1.4 percent over February’s revised rate of 434,000.
 
Turning to the retail sector, U.S. retail and food services sales for March hit $411.1 billion, an increase of 0.8 percent from the previous month and 6.5 percent over March 2011, the Census Bureau also reported last week. Total sales for the January through March 2012 period were up 6.4 percent from the same period a year ago.
 
Retail trade sales were up 0.8 percent from February 2012 and 6.5 percent over last year. Building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers’ sales were up 14.1 percent from March 2011 and non-store retailers were up 9.3 percent from last year.
 
In employment news, initial claims for jobless benefits filed in the week ending April 14 dipped to 386,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week’s upwardly revised figure of 388,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 374,750, an increase of 5,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 369,250.
 
The total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending April 7 was 3,297,000, an increase of 26,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,271,000, the Administration also reported. The four-week moving average was 3,317,750, a decrease of 21,500 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,339,250.
 
This week’s financial news kicks off tomorrow with consumer confidence scores for April from the Conference Board and March’s new home sales from the Census Bureau. The Bureau follows on Wednesday with durable goods orders for March.
 
On Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claims for last week, and on Friday the University of Michigan releases its April consumer sentiment figures.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: April 16, 2012
April 16, 2012

Mortgage rates were big news last week, as the rate for a 15-year home loan hit an all-time record low and the 30-year rate hovered .01 percent above February’s record low of 3.87. In addition, foreclosure filings for Q1 fell to the lowest rate since 2007.The good news was offset, however, by the continued drop in home loan applications as refinances slowed, despite lower rates and the continued decline in housing prices.
 
We experienced a sizable 12-percent drop in the international trade deficit for February, according to the report from the Census Bureau released last week. Total February exports of $181.2 billion and imports of $227.2 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $46 billion, down from January’s revised total of $52.5 billion.

February exports were $0.2 billion more than January exports of $180.9 billion, and February imports were $6.3 billion less than January imports of $233.4 billion. In comparison to last year, the goods and services deficit increased $0.6 billion from February 2011 to February 2012. Exports were up $15.4 billion, or 9.3 percent, and imports were up $16.1 billion, or 7.6 percent.
 
Turning toward prices of foreign trade goods, U.S. import prices advanced 1.3 percent in March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week, after edging down 0.1 percent the previous month. Higher fuel and non-fuel prices contributed to the advance. Prices for U.S. exports rose 0.8 percent in March, following increases of 0.4 percent in February and 0.2 percent in January.
 
The advance in import prices was the first increase for the index since rising 0.7 percent in November and the largest monthly rise since a 2.6 percent advance in April 2011. Import prices increased 3.4 percent over the past year, the smallest 12-month advance for the index since a similar 3.4 percent rise between November 2008 and November 2009.
 
The gain in export prices was the largest monthly advance for the index since a 0.8 percent rise in April 2011. In March, higher prices for both nonagricultural goods and agricultural goods contributed to the advance. Despite recording the largest monthly increase in 11 months, overall export prices rose only 0.9 percent over the past 12 months, the smallest year-over-year advance since a 0.4 percent rise for the November 2008-09 period.
 
The number of initial claims for jobless benefits in the week ending April 7 hit 380,000, an increase of 13,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 367,000. The four-week moving average was 368,500, an increase of 4,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 364,250.
 
The total number for insured unemployed workers during the week ending March 31 was 3,251,000, a decrease of 98,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,349,000. The four-week moving average was 3,334,250, a decrease of 35,750 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,370,000.
 
The Producer Price Index for finished goods went unchanged in March, according to last week’s news from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The index for finished goods was unchanged in March, as a 0.3 percent increase in prices for finished goods less foods and energy and a 0.2 percent advance in the index for finished consumer foods offset a 1 percent decline in prices for finished energy goods. The decrease in energy goods was led by the gasoline index, which declined 2 percent, seasonally adjusted. Lower prices for diesel fuel and residential electric power also were factors in the decline in the finished energy goods index.
 
This week’s financial news starts today with retail sales totals for March and business inventories for February from the Census Bureau. The Bureau also follows up with March housing starts and building permits on Tuesday. The Federal Reserve releases March industrial production and capacity utilization that day, as well.
 
On Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claims filing for last week, the National Association of REALTORS® releases existing home sales data for March and the Conference Board closes out the week with March’s leading economic indicators.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Looking to Buy? It’s Time to Make a Move
April 12, 2012

Whether you are considering a first home, a larger home for a growing family, moving into your dream home or perhaps buying a second home or rental property, two key economic factors, mortgage rates and home prices, have lined up in your favor. Let’s take a look at how they are working together to give you extremely potent buying power and why you should take action now before these favorable conditions change.

Irresistible Interest Rates
When you read in the newspapers that rates are at historic lows, this is not an exaggeration. Interest rates on home loans truly are at the lowest they have been in decades. The reason for this is that due to the recent “Great Recession,” the Fed has had to lower the federal funds rate to between 0 percent and 0.25 percent. The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which savings banks, commercial banks, savings and loan associations and credit unions trade balances with each other.

The federal funds rate impacts all other rates, including mortgage loans, so, at times of slow or no economic growth, the Federal Reserve will lower the federal funds rate in hopes of making credit cheaper to all people and in turn boosting the economy. This is why home mortgage rates have remained so low. The moment the economy starts to truly grow, the Federal Reserve will start to increase the federal funds rate, and home financing loan rates will follow suit.

Right now, mortgage rates are incredibly attractive after a downward slide over the course of 2011 that ended with 30-year fixed-rate mortgages in the 3.9 percent interest rate range. So far, in 2012, rates have topped the 4 percent mark, according to surveys from the Mortgage Bankers Association, but these are still historic lows.

Will rates stay like that? Well, factors such as increases in retails sales and improvements in unemployment are pointing to a recovery. After a spike to 10 percent in October 2009, unemployment rates have been on a solid downward trend since September 2011, and have been hovering at 8.3 percent.

Certainly, qualifying for loans is harder these days. More rigorous documentation is required, and down payment requirements and other lending terms aren’t as loose as they were during the 2005-2006 real estate boom, but if you are in solid financial shape, you needn’t worry. I’d be happy to sit down with you and look at what loans make the most sense for your financial position, and to work out different scenarios using today’s low rates, as well as rates after possible increases in the near future.

Home Prices
In terms of home prices, now has never been a better time to buy. After spending months at stratospheric highs during the real estate boom, homes that had doubled in price by 2006 are still below their pre-bubble values.

If anything, home prices are still in retreat. Using data from the National Association of REALTORS®, the median cost of existing single-family homes ended 2011 nearly at the same price it began the year, $158,000. And that price tag is down from 2010 and 2009.

That said, inventory might be starting to slip, which could see prices go higher. In recent months, housing inventory has been hovering around a six-month supply (at current sales rates), with roughly 2.4 million homes for sale. That might look like a lot, but it is nearly 20 percent below what it was a year ago.

Using simple supply-and-demand, it’s not hard to see that with declining inventory, today’s low prices could go up in the not-too-distant future. This is just as true for today’s rock-bottom interest rates, so it’s not hard to see why savvy homebuyers are responding to the bargains. All-cash purchases of existing homes are accounting for roughly 30 percent of transactions, and investors are accounting for more than 20 percent of purchases. The investors know a good deal when they see one, and today’s lending and real estate environment represents an amazing bargain indeed.

Make Your Move
The numbers don’t lie. You will most likely never see a better buying opportunity than now. If you are considering a purchase of a larger home to accommodate a growing family, the dream home you’ve always wanted, an investment property or any other home purchase, take the time to review to the numbers. Mortgage rates and home prices have created a spectacular buyer’s market.

But remember, it won’t stay this way forever. An improving economy could foster higher rates, and declining inventory could see prices go up. If you are on the fence about a real estate decision, don’t be. Now is the time to make your move. Please contact me using the information provided on this newsletter and I’d be happy to help you develop a strategy to take advantage of this historic opportunity.

Posted in WJB Insight



Economic Roundup: April 9, 2012
April 9, 2012

Jobless claims fell to the lowest levels since April 2008 in the week ending March 31. Initial claims for unemployment benefits fell 6,000 to a seasonally adjusted 357,000, the Labor Department said last Thursday.
 
However, only 120,000 new jobs were added in March, compared to 240,000 in February, the Labor Department also reported. According to payroll processor ADP, small businesses (those with 49 employees or less) accounted for about half of the gains. Companies in the services sector added 164,000 jobs.

Last week’s real estate news kicked off with February’s construction spending, which dipped to an annual rate of $808.9 billion, a 1.1 percent drop from January’s revised estimate of $818.1 billion, the Census Bureau reported last week. February’s figure was 5.8 percent over February 2011′s estimate of $764.2 billion.
 
Spending on private construction dipped to an annual rate of $527.3 billion, 0.8 percent down from January’s revised estimate of $531.7 billion. Residential construction was at an annual rate of $246.5 billion in February, which was nearly the same as January’s revised estimate of $246.4 billion.
 
In manufacturing news, the Census Bureau also reported last week that new orders for manufactured goods in February increased $6.0 billion, or 1.3 percent to $468.4 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.9 percent.
 
Shipments, up nine consecutive months, increased $0.3 billion, or 0.1 percent, to $462.6 billion. Unfilled orders, up 22 of the last 23 months, increased $12.1 billion, or 1.3 percent, to $931.1 billion. This put the unfilled orders-to-shipments ratio at 6.23, up from 6.12 in January.
 
Inventories of manufactured goods, up 28 of the last 29 months, increased $2.2 billion, or 0.4 percent, to $616.8 billion. This was at the highest level since the series was first published in 1992. February’s inventories-to-shipments ratio was 1.33, unchanged from January.
 
March’s U.S. car and truck sales increased 12.7 percent, marking the best quarter for auto makers since 2008. The increase was attributed by several analysts to the average car on the road being 11 years old, and jobs being added back into the economy, which means more Americans are moving to replace their aging cars, especially with gas prices so high.
 
Notable performers included General Motors, which saw sales rise 12 percent over March 2011; Chrysler, which posted a 34 percent sales increase; Toyota, which saw sales increase 15 percent; and Ford which had a sales gain of 5 percent.
 
This week’s economic news kicks off tomorrow with wholesale inventories for February from the Census Bureau, followed Wednesday by March import and export prices, also from the Census Bureau. Also on Wednesday, the Treasury Department will release its March budget figures.
 
On Thursday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release March’s producer price index, and the Census Bureau releases February’s trade balance figures. On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics closes out the week by following up with March’s consumer price index.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: April 2, 2012
April 2, 2012

Unemployment claims hit their lowest level in four years in the week ending March 24. Initial claims for the week dipped to 359,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 364,000 and the lowest level since April 2008, the Employment and Training Administration reported. The four-week moving average was 365,000, a decrease of 3,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 368,500 — the lowest since May 2008.
 
The Administration also reported that the total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending March 17 was 3,340,000, a decrease of 41,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,381,000. The four-week moving average was 3,387,750, a decrease of 21,750 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,409,500.

Despite gains on the job front, consumer confidence for March tapered a bit after an upswing in February, consumer analysts at the Conference Board reported last week. The Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for March stood at 70.2 (a baseline of 100 was set in 1982), down from 71.6 in February. That said, the Present Situation Index — how consumers feel about current economic conditions — increased to 51.0 from 46.4. The Expectations Index — how consumers feel about where the economy is headed — declined to 83 in March from 88.4 in February.
 
“Consumer Confidence pulled back slightly in March, after rising sharply in February,” said Lynn Franco, director of the Conference Board’s Consumer Research Center. “The moderate decline was due solely to a less favorable short-term outlook, while consumers’ assessment of current conditions, on the other hand, continued to improve. The Present Situation Index now stands at its highest level in three and a half years, suggesting that despite this month’s dip in confidence, consumers feel the economy is not losing momentum.”
 
Consumers’ assessment of the job market was mixed. Those saying jobs are “plentiful” increased to 9.4 percent from 7 percent, while those stating jobs are “hard to get” also rose, to 41 percent from 38.6 percent. Those anticipating more jobs in the months ahead decreased to 17.3 percent from 18.8 percent, while those anticipating fewer jobs increased to 18.3 percent from 16.4 percent. The proportion of consumers expecting an increase in their incomes improved slightly to 15.8 percent from 15.5 percent.
 
Gross domestic product, the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States, increased at an annual rate of 3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2011, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported last week in its third estimate. (The third estimate is based on more complete source data than were available for the “second” estimate issued last month.)
 
The increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from private inventory investment, personal consumption expenditures (PCE), nonresidential fixed investment, exports and residential fixed investment that were partly offset by negative contributions from federal government spending and state and local government spending, according to the Bureau.
 
In manufacturing, new orders for manufactured durable goods placed in February increased $4.5 billion or 2.2 percent to $211.8 billion, according to last week’s report from the Census Bureau. Transportation equipment, up three of the last four months, had the largest increase, $2.1 billion or 3.9 percent to $57.9 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 1.6 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased 1.7 percent.
 
February’s shipments of manufactured durable goods in February, down following two consecutive monthly increases, decreased $0.8 billion or 0.4 percent to $206.6 billion. Once again, inventories of manufactured durable goods hit new highs in February, which was up 26 consecutive months, increased $1.6 billion or 0.4 percent to $373.7 billion. This was at the highest level since the series was published on in 1992.
 
This week’s financial news starts today with February construction spending from the Census Bureau. The Bureau follows up tomorrow with factory orders for February, and the auto manufacturers release their car and truck sales figures for March on Tuesday, as well.
 
Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claim totals for last week, and on Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases March’s unemployment rate, payrolls, hourly earnings and average workweek. The week wraps on Friday with February’s consumer credit totals from the Federal Reserve.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: March 26, 2012
March 26, 2012

New unemployment claims hit their lowest level in four years during the week ending March 17. Initial jobless claims filed skirted down to 348,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 353,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported. The four-week moving average was 355,000, a decrease of 1,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 356,250.
 
The Administration also reported that the total population of insured unemployed U.S. workers during the week ending March 10 was 3,352,000, a decrease of 9,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,361,000. The four-week moving average was 3,385,750, a decrease of 13,000 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,398,750.

Real estate was also a big newsmaker in last week’s economic news, with existing home sales slightly off February’s pace, but still well above the pace of a year ago, the National Association of REALTORS® reported last week. Total sales of existing single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops slipped 0.9 percent to an annual rate of 4.59 million in February from an upwardly revised 4.63 million in January, but were 8.8 percent higher than the 4.22 million-unit level in February 2011, thanks to improving real estate conditions.
 
“The market is trending up unevenly, with record high consumer buying power and sustained job gains giving buyers the confidence they need to get into the market,” said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun. “Although relatively unusual, there will be rising demand for both rental space and homeownership this year.”
 
Looking at price, the national median existing-home price for all housing types was $156,600 in February, up 0.3 percent from February 2011, NAR reported. Distressed homes, such as foreclosures and short sales that are sold at deep discounts, accounted for 34 percent of February sales (20 percent were foreclosures and 14 percent were short sales), down from 35 percent in January and 39 percent in February 2011.
 
Total housing inventory at the end of February rose 4.3 percent to 2.43 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 6.4-month supply at the current sales pace, up from a 6-month supply in January. Even so, unsold listed inventory has trended down from a record 4.04 million in July 2007, and is 19.3 percent below a year ago.
 
Permits issued in February for construction of privately owned housing units were at an annual rate of 717,000, which was 5.1 percent over January’s revised rate of 682,000 and 34.3 percent higher than the February 2011 estimate of 534,000, the Census Bureau reported last month. Permits for single-family homes issued in February were at a rate of 472,000, which is 4.9 percent over January’s revised figure of 450,000.
 
Construction starts of privately owned housing in February were at an annual rate of 698,000, which was 1.1 percent down from January’s revised estimate of 706,000, but was 34.7 percent over the February 2011 rate of 518,000. Starts on single-family homes in February were at a rate of 457,000; this is 9.9 percent below the revised January figure of 507,000.
 
Completed constructions of private homes in February were at an annual rate of 568,000, which was 6.2 percent over January’s revised estimate of 535,000, but was 7 percent below the February 2011 rate of 611,000. Completions of single-family homes in February were at a rate of 421,000; this was 8.2 percent over the revised January rate of 389,000.
 
This week’s financial news starts off tomorrow with consumer confidence scores for March from the Conference Board. Wednesday, the Census Bureau reports on durable goods orders for February.
 
On Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claims totals for last week, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis releases its third estimate for Q4 2011′s gross domestic product.
 
The week wraps Friday with February consumer spending and incomes from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, and the University of Michigan releases its March consumer sentiment survey.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: March 19, 2012
March 19, 2012

Consumers seem to be growing more confident in the economy as retail sales for February posted their largest gain in five months, according to last week’s report from the Census Bureau. Retail and food services sales for the month hit $407.8 billion, an increase of 1.1 percent from January, and 6.5 percent over February 2011.
 
Total sales for the December 2011 through February 2012 period were up 6.4 percent from the same period a year ago. The December 2011 to January 2012 percent change was revised from 0.4 percent to 0.6 percent.

Retail trade sales were up 1.1 percent from January 2012 and 6.3 percent over last year. Key gains were experienced by dealers of building materials and garden equipment and supplies, whose sales were up 13.8 percent from February 2011, and gasoline stations, whose sales were up 10.3 percent from last year.
 
Prices certainly didn’t impact February’s sales, as last month’s consumer price index for all urban consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent, according to numbers the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all-items index increased 2.9 percent before seasonal adjustment.
 
A key factor contributing to February’s CPI gains was the gasoline index, which rose sharply in February, accounting for over 80 percent of the change in the all-items index. The gasoline increase led to a 3.2 percent rise in the energy index despite a decline in the index for natural gas. The food index was unchanged in February, with the food-at-home index unchanged for the second month in a row as major grocery store food indexes were mixed.
 
Similarly, the producer price index for finished goods advanced 0.4 percent in February, the Bureau of Labor Statistics also reported. Finished goods prices rose 0.1 percent in January after a decrease of 0.1 percent in December. The increase in finished goods prices, like consumer prices, was led by energy. The index for finished energy goods moved up 1.3 percent, while prices for finished goods less foods and energy rose 0.2 percent.
 
Turning to employment, initial claims for jobless benefits by the newly unemployed placed in the week ending March 10 dropped to 351,000, a decrease of 14,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 365,000, according to last week’s report from the Employment Training Administration. The four-week moving average was 355,750, unchanged from the previous week’s revised average.
 
The Administration also reported last week that the total population of insured unemployed workers during the week ending March 3 dropped to 3,343,000, a decline of 81,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,424,000. The four-week moving average was 3,394,250, a decrease of 25,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,419,500.
 
This week’s financial headlines see a good bit of real estate news, kicking off tomorrow with housing starts and building permit totals for new homes in February from the Census Bureau. This will be followed Wednesday with February sales data for existing homes from the National Association of REALTORS®. Friday we’ll receive new home sales data for February from the Census Bureau.
 
Also this week, the Employment and Training Administration releases last week’s initial claims for jobless benefits on Thursday, and the Conference Board releases February’s leading economic indicators.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Knowing Your Home’s Value
March 16, 2012

Your home is one of your most important investments and financial assets, but do you know its value? If you hesitate to answer, don’t worry, you’re not alone. Even if you’re not trying to sell right now, there are other reasons that you may want to know your home’s market value. And knowing this number can help you move quickly when it’s time to make a decision about any of the following actions.

Selling your home.
There might come a time when you need to sell your home. You might get offered an out-of-state job opportunity, determine it makes financial sense to downsize, or need to look for a larger home if your family is expanding. If you are ready to buy another home, your current home’s value can narrow down your options for your new purchase, and I can show you the financing options that will be available to you. Knowing your home’s market worth would certainly help you make an informed decision, and put you in a position to more quickly respond.

Refinancing your home.
There are a number of reasons to refinance. For instance, you might be able to finally tap into current low rates, or you might desire better terms. You can find out if you will qualify for a traditional refinancing program or if you may be eligible for the HARP II refinance program, which allows homeowners who owe more than their home is worth to restructure their loans into more stable products with a lower rate. Until you know your home’s value, you won’t know how advantageous or disadvantageous a refinance would be from a financial perspective. I’d be happy to assist you in exploring whether refinancing makes financial sense for your unique situation.

Making home improvements.
While you might have mulled over how home improvements, such as a bathroom makeover, new countertops, or perhaps an addition, could improve your enjoyment of your home and mused at what additional value they might bring, you really don’t know until you’re aware of your home’s value. Check what other homes in your areas have sold for, and pay particularly close attention to any sold properties that had upgrades similar to or the same as yours in relation to those that don’t. Once you get an idea of what your home might sell for, you can see if the upgrades you are considering are worth the expense, or if you might want to go with a more cost-effective option.

Reassessing your taxes.
Your county assessor’s office reviews property values on a periodic basis, and makes adjustments based on a property’s market value. In a down market this can mean much lower property taxes. Being aware of your home’s value can put you in a position to anticipate changes and do some tax and financial planning accordingly. That said, many assessor offices only shift their regular assessments by a maximum amount or percentage of the previous year’s value. However, many states offer an appeal mechanism that can help you push for a lower reassessment to ensure an even more advantageous (and fair) property tax break. But the key is to know your home’s actual value and be able to document it.*

So, how do you determine your home’s value? Your first instinct might be to go to a popular website or download an app for online services that provide estimated real estate values. While these services might offer some instant gratification, they might not take in all the factors and trends that will give you the most accurate estimate of your home’s worth.

Especially if you are considering a move, the best option is to go to a real estate agent that has expertise in your marketplace. An experience professional who is familiar with the properties in your area and has been involved in numerous local transactions will have not only the tools and information but also the context and expertise to get a more accurate read on your home’s true market value. An experienced agent can bring insight into your local market and help you see opportunities that you may not have considered before. This also gives you the opportunity to find a trusted agent that you can work with when it’s time to buy or sell.

I work with a number of experienced real estate partners who can meet with you to help determine your home’s actual market value and help you prepare for any of the situations listed above. If you’d like to learn more or get in touch with those experts, please contact me using the information on this email. I’d love to help!

*WJB is not a tax advisory firm. The information contained in this article is for informational purposes only and may not reflect current tax year rules and regulations. Consult your tax advisor or the IRS for current tax year rules, restrictions and regulations.

Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have adopted changes to the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) and you may be eligible to take advantage of these changes. If your mortgage is owned or guaranteed by either Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae, you may be eligible to refinance your mortgage under the enhanced and expanded provisions of HARP. You can determine whether your mortgage is owned by either Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae by checking the following websites: www.freddiemac.com/mymortgage or http://www.fanniemae.com/loanlookup

Posted in WJB Insight



Economic Roundup: March 12, 2012
March 12, 2012

Consumer credit took a larger-than-expected jump in January, hitting an annual rate of 8.5 percent, the Federal Reserve reported last week. January’s gain was thanks in large part to a $20.7 billion increase in non-revolving debt, such as car and student loans, the largest gain in non-revolving debt since the November 2001 post-9/11 credit surge.
 
Non-revolving debt increased at a whopping annual rate of 14.74 percent to $1.71 trillion, up from December’s $1.69 trillion. Meanwhile, revolving credit, such as credit cards, saw another monthly drop, decreasing at an annual rate of 4.5 percent, to hit $800.9 billion, down from December’s $803.8 billion.

“An expansion in consumer credit signals improved confidence in the economy and an enhanced willingness to spend,” IHS Global Insight analyst Paul Edelstein told the Reuters news service.
 
In manufacturing, new orders for manufactured goods in January decreased by $4.8 billion or 1 percent to $462.6 billion, after a 1.4 increase in December, the Census Bureau reported last week. Transportation orders saw some of the biggest hits; excluding transportation, new orders would have only decreased 0.3 percent.
 
Shipments of manufactured goods, up eight consecutive months, increased $4.1 billion or 0.9 percent to $463.6 billion, and unfilled orders, up 21 of the past 22 months, increased $5.4 billion or 0.6 percent to $917.9 billion.
 
Inventories, up 27 of the last 28 months, increased $3.9 billion or 0.6 percent to $614.7 billion. This was the highest level since the report was first published in 1992, and followed a 0.2 percent December increase. The inventories-to-shipments ratio for January was 1.33, unchanged from December.
 
Turning to employment, initial claims for jobless benefits filed in the week ending March 3 hit 362,000, an increase of 8,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 354,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 355,000, an increase of 250 from the previous week’s revised average of 354,750.
 
The Administration also reported that the number of unemployed Americans during the week ending February 25 increased to 3,416,000, a gain of 10,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,406,000. The four-week moving average was 3,417,500, a decrease of 27,500 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,445,000.
 
This week sees a busy slate of economic news releases, starting today with February’s Treasury Department budget. Tomorrow, the Census Bureau releases February retail sales data and January business inventories. On Wednesday, the Census Bureau publishes February export and import prices.
 
Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claims data for last week, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases February’s producer price index. The Bureau then releases February’s consumer price index on Friday, and the week wraps up that day with February industrial production and capacity utilization from the Federal Reserve.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: March 5, 2012
March 5, 2012

Personal incomes and spending were both up in January, according to last week’s report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal income increased $37.4 billion, or 0.3 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $14.1 billion, or 0.1 percent, in January, the Bureau reported.
 
Meanwhile, personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $23.2 billion, or 0.2 percent. In December, personal income increased $60.2 billion, or 0.5 percent, DPI increased $48.3 billion, or 0.4 percent, and PCE increased $3.2 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, based on revised estimates.

Notably, consumers continued socking their money away, with personal savings — DPI less personal outlays — at $540.6 billion in January, compared with $552.1 billion in December. The personal saving rate — personal saving as a percentage of disposable income — was 4.6 percent in January, compared with 4.7 percent in December.
 
Manufacturing saw some disconcerting news last week, with durable goods for January seeing their biggest drop in three years, according to the Census Bureau. New orders for manufactured durable goods in January decreased $8.6 billion, or 4.0 percent, to $206.1 billion, following three consecutive monthly increases, including a 3.2 percent December increase. Transportation equipment had the largest decrease, $3.6 billion or 6.1 percent to $55.2 billion. This was due to nondefense aircraft and parts, which decreased $3.8 billion.
 
Shipments of manufactured durable goods in January, up two consecutive months, increased $0.8 billion or 0.4 percent to $207.8 billion. Inventories of manufactured durable goods in January, up twenty-five consecutive months, increased $2.6 billion, or 0.7 percent, to $372.5 billion.
 
Turning to real estate, spending on private construction in January hovered at an annual rate of $538.7 billion, which was about the same as December’s revised estimate of $538.7 billion. Residential construction inched up to an annual rate of $253.6 billion in January, 1.8 percent higher than December’s revised rate of $249.2 billion, the Census Bureau reported last week.
 
Overall construction spending during January dropped slightly to an annual rate of $827.0 billion, 0.1 percent below December’s revised estimate of $827.6 billion. January’s performance was 7.1 percent higher than that of January 2011.
 
In employment news, initial jobless claims filed during the week ending February 25 dipped to 351,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 353,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 354,000, a decrease of 5,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 359,500.
 
The Administration also reported last week that the total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending February 18 was 3,402,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,404,000. The four-week moving average was 3,444,000, a decrease of 12,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,456,250.
 
This week’s economic news starts today with January’s factory orders from the Census Bureau, and is followed tomorrow by fourth quarter 2011 non-farm productivity data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Also tomorrow, the Federal Reserve releases January’s consumer credit figures.
 
On Wednesday, the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claims data for last week, which is followed Thursday by February’s unemployment rate, non-farm payrolls, average workweek and hourly earnings from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The week wraps up with January’s trade balance and wholesale inventories, both from the Census Bureau.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: March 5, 2012
March 5, 2012

Personal incomes and spending were both up in January, according to last week’s report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal income increased $37.4 billion, or 0.3 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $14.1 billion, or 0.1 percent, in January, the Bureau reported.
 
Meanwhile, personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $23.2 billion, or 0.2 percent. In December, personal income increased $60.2 billion, or 0.5 percent, DPI increased $48.3 billion, or 0.4 percent, and PCE increased $3.2 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, based on revised estimates.

Notably, consumers continued socking their money away, with personal savings — DPI less personal outlays — at $540.6 billion in January, compared with $552.1 billion in December. The personal saving rate — personal saving as a percentage of disposable income — was 4.6 percent in January, compared with 4.7 percent in December.
 
Manufacturing saw some disconcerting news last week, with durable goods for January seeing their biggest drop in three years, according to the Census Bureau. New orders for manufactured durable goods in January decreased $8.6 billion, or 4.0 percent, to $206.1 billion, following three consecutive monthly increases, including a 3.2 percent December increase. Transportation equipment had the largest decrease, $3.6 billion or 6.1 percent to $55.2 billion. This was due to nondefense aircraft and parts, which decreased $3.8 billion.
 
Shipments of manufactured durable goods in January, up two consecutive months, increased $0.8 billion or 0.4 percent to $207.8 billion. Inventories of manufactured durable goods in January, up twenty-five consecutive months, increased $2.6 billion, or 0.7 percent, to $372.5 billion.
 
Turning to real estate, spending on private construction in January hovered at an annual rate of $538.7 billion, which was about the same as December’s revised estimate of $538.7 billion. Residential construction inched up to an annual rate of $253.6 billion in January, 1.8 percent higher than December’s revised rate of $249.2 billion, the Census Bureau reported last week.
 
Overall construction spending during January dropped slightly to an annual rate of $827.0 billion, 0.1 percent below December’s revised estimate of $827.6 billion. January’s performance was 7.1 percent higher than that of January 2011.
 
In employment news, initial jobless claims filed during the week ending February 25 dipped to 351,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 353,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 354,000, a decrease of 5,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 359,500.
 
The Administration also reported last week that the total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending February 18 was 3,402,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,404,000. The four-week moving average was 3,444,000, a decrease of 12,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,456,250.
 
This week’s economic news starts today with January’s factory orders from the Census Bureau, and is followed tomorrow by fourth quarter 2011 non-farm productivity data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Also tomorrow, the Federal Reserve releases January’s consumer credit figures.
 
On Wednesday, the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claims data for last week, which is followed Thursday by February’s unemployment rate, non-farm payrolls, average workweek and hourly earnings from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The week wraps up with January’s trade balance and wholesale inventories, both from the Census Bureau.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: February 27, 2012
February 27, 2012

Marking the third gain in four months, existing-home sales rose in January, while inventories continued to improve as well, the National Association of REALTORS® reported last week.
 
Total sales of existing single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops increased 4.3 percent to an annual rate of 4.57 million in January, outpacing analyst expectations of 4.5 million. January’s encouraging performance followed a downwardly revised 4.38 million-unit pace in December, and was 0.7 percent above January 2011′s 4.54 million pace (which was a spike in performance for that time).

January’s strong performance was an indication that buyers are responding to very favorable market conditions, said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.
 
“The uptrend in home sales is in line with all of the underlying fundamentals — pent-up household formation, record-low mortgage interest rates, bargain home prices, sustained job creation and rising rents,” Yun said.
 
Housing inventory at the end of January fell 0.4 percent to 2.31 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 6.1-month supply at the current sales pace, down from a 6.4-month supply in December. Total unsold listed inventory has trended down from a record 4.04 million in July 2007, and is 20.6 percent below a year ago.
 
Distressed homes — foreclosures and short sales which sell at deep discounts — accounted for 35 percent of January sales, up from 32 percent in December. The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $154,700 in January, which was down 2 percent from January 2011.
 
Investors purchased 23 percent of homes in January, up from 21 percent in December; they were also 23 percent of buyers in January 2011. First-time buyers rose to 33 percent of transactions in January from 31 percent in December; they were 29 percent in January 2011.
 
Meanwhile, in employment, initial claims for jobless benefits for the week ending February 18 were unchanged from the previous week’s revised figure of 351,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 359,000, a decrease of 7,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 366,000.
 
The Administration also reported that the total number of unemployed workers covered by insurance during the week ending February 11 was 3,392,000, a decrease of 52,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,444,000. The four-week moving average was 3,453,250, a decrease of 43,750 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,497,000.
 
This week’s slate of economic news releases picks back up starting tomorrow with January’s durable goods orders from the Census Bureau and February consumer confidence scores from the Conference Board. Wednesday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis releases its second estimate for Fourth Quarter 2011 gross domestic product.
 
Thursday sees initial jobless claims for last week from the Employment and Training Administration, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis will release personal income and spending totals for January. The week’s news wraps up that day with January construction spending from the Census Bureau, and new car and truck sales for February from the auto manufacturers.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Get Ready to Refinance
February 21, 2012

Everything changes with time, and your home financing shouldn’t be any different. The home loan you selected when you bought your house 10, five or even one year ago may not fit your financial situation anymore.

As we all know, your financial situation and the real estate market can change. Because our lives and the economy are not static, it’s important to reassess your home financing periodically to see if it is still the right plan for you and to see if there are ways for you to reduce your monthly payments, pay off your loan sooner or change to a loan type that works better for your current financial needs.

For many people refinancing is a great idea — even if you only bought your home in the past couple of years. Additionally, new programs have opened up the refinancing option to homeowners who may be underwater on their loans, allowing them to reap the benefits of a revised home financing program.

There are many different reasons why a homeowner may choose to refinance.

  • Take advantage of historically low interest rates.
    Interest rates haven’t been this low in 50 years. If you can get in now before they begin to climb, you can keep your monthly payments low and could even hold down the overall cost of your loan over the long haul.
  • Ditch your adjustable-rate mortgage.
    It could be your current loan is an ARM that will soon adjust upwards. Or, you might prefer the peace of mind offered by a fixed-rate mortgage.
  • You have a Fannie- or Freddie-owned loan.
    Even if you’re underwater on your home, you may qualify for a refinance under the HARP II program. With no LTV requirements, homes worth less than their mortgages can still get a refinance so the owners can take advantage of today’s market and reduce their monthly payments.*
  • Get some cash.
    You could have credit card debt or another large expense that you wish to pay off. If this is the case, you might want to refinance and “cash out” a certain amount to cover this expense. In fact, cashing out a certain amount at a mortgage’s much lower rate to pay off a debt — say, a credit card — at a much higher rate often makes solid financial sense.
  • Change to terms that better suit your current financial situation.
    For instance, your current loan might be a 30-year, but you now find yourself in a financial position that lets you pay it off in 15 years. Opting for the shorter term loan will help you pay off your debt sooner and save significant money over the term of the loan. Likewise, you might find yourself in a position where your income has decreased and you wish to extend the term of the loan.
  • See whether you can remove your private mortgage insurance.
    PMI is required of borrowers who put down less than 20 percent on their home, and can cost anywhere from .25 percent to .75 percent of the loan value. In general, if you have a 22 percent equity position in your home, you will likely be able to remove your PMI, but be sure to check your state regulations as they vary widely. Look at comparable houses for sale in your neighborhood to help you gauge whether your equity has risen.
  • Roll a second mortgage into one loan.
    Again, this could mean significant savings for you over the long haul.

If you see yourself in any of these situations, you should give me a call so we can see if a refinance would benefit you.

Key Considerations
Whatever your reasons for wanting to refinance, there are a number of factors you’ll want to consider.

  • Make sure that your current loan does not have a pre-payment penalty for refinancing. Such a penalty says that you cannot pay off your loan too early. If you have one in place, you’ll want to make sure you are outside that penalty phase (these typically last between one and five years).
  • Look at whether or not the costs of a refinance are recouped by your lower rate. All loans have closing costs associated with them, and you want to make sure that whatever savings your new loan delivers will also be worth the closing costs.
  • Ensure the savings over the long term make sense. Compare the overall cost of the new loan to the cost of the old loan. Take the remaining months of your existing loan and multiply them by your principal and interest payments and compare that product to the same calculation for the new loan. Is it lower? Is it higher? How large is the difference? Obviously the goal is to save money, but if a cash-out is involved, you’ll need to account for that.
  • Factor in the tax deductions of the new loan in comparison to the old. Are they larger or smaller? By how much? The write-off for mortgage insurance means a lot to most households, so you want to make sure that the money you save on your mortgage won’t be undermined by a less advantageous tax position.**

When considering a refinance there is a lot of information to take into account, which is why it makes sense to sit down with a home financing expert to ensure you’re making the smartest financial decision you can.

I would love to help you make the most informed decision possible. Please contact me today!
*Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have adopted changes to the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) and you may be eligible to take advantage of these changes. If your mortgage is owned or guaranteed by either Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae, you may be eligible to refinance your mortgage under the enhanced and expanded provisions of HARP. You can determine whether your mortgage is owned by either Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae by checking the following websites: www.freddiemac.com/mymortgage or www.fanniemae.com/loanlookup. ** WJB is not a tax advisory firm. The information contained in this article is for informational purposes only and may not reflect current tax year rules and regulations. Consult your tax advisor or the IRS for current tax year rules, restrictions and regulations.

Posted in WJB Insight



Do You Make the Most of Your Loan Statement?
February 21, 2012

Every month, you receive a mortgage statement that reminds you to make your regular payment against your loan, but did you realize that it can serve as a strategic financial tool?

It’s true. Whether you receive your statement via regular postal mail, or get your statement online, there are various pieces of information on it that can serve as useful intelligence for better managing your home financing, and help you make well-informed decisions about your loan.

Let’s take a look at four important pieces of information found on your statement each month:

1. Taxes.
As tax season approaches, you’ll want to review your property tax write-offs, but also use your statement to check that you aren’t paying too much. Many people have their property taxes paid via an escrow account attached to their home loan. The yearly property tax is put aside in the account and paid out per your local county assessor’s tax collection.

If you pay your property taxes through such an escrow, the year’s property tax total will be divided by 12 and bundled into your monthly mortgage payment. If your local real estate market has shifted, the figure being set aside for your property tax escrow could have shifted, as well. If the property tax fees on your payment stay the same while your home’s value changes, it might be time to have your home’s value reassessed.*

That said, there can be limitations placed on how much the assessors can adjust the value of your property each month, so make sure you familiarize yourself with your local regulations.

2. Amortization.
When you make a payment against your home loan each month, you pay the same amount, but what that money goes toward changes over time. In your loan you have the principal amount, which is the amount you borrowed to finance the purchase of your home, and you have interest, which is the fee you are paying for borrowing that money.

When you first begin paying your loan, your payment goes predominately toward interest, but over time your monthly payment shifts increasingly toward principal. This process is amortization, and your statement shows how your loan is amortizing each month.

If you want to try to pay down your loan more quickly in order to gain additional equity in your loan, you can pay a little extra each month, or make an additional payment each year. Make sure to note on your payments that you wish these extra payments to be applied toward principal, and watch your progress on your statement.

3. Homeowner’s insurance.
Like your property taxes, many homeowners pay their homeowner’s insurance in monthly installments that are bundled into their loan payment. If you do this, make sure to monitor your loan statement to see if this amount increases or decreases, which would obviously reflect changes in your insurance rates.

Also, taking a moment to examine the amount you are paying provides you with an opportunity to mull over whether or not you need to alter your policy in any way.

4. Private mortgage insurance.
Borrowers are generally required to pay for private mortgage insurance (PMI) if their down payment is less than 20 percent of the sales price of their home. This means that the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio is more than 80 percent. Essentially, PMI is designed to protect the lender in cases where the borrower defaults on the loan.

In most cases when your current loan’s LTV falls to 78 percent or below, you no longer need to pay for PMI. So, if you pay PMI, watching the principal on your loan each month can help you keep track of when you may be able to cancel your PMI, which can save you a fair amount of money (which you could consider putting toward the principal, in fact).

Remember, your mortgage statement is more than just a reminder to make your payment — it’s a useful tool. If you’d like to learn more about how to strategically leverage the information on your loan statement, or if you have any other home financing questions, please contact me using the information on this email.

*WJB is not a tax advisory firm. The information contained in this article is for informational purposes only and may not reflect current tax year rules and regulations. Consult your tax advisor or the IRS for current tax year rules, restrictions and regulations.

Posted in WJB Insight



Economic Roundup: February 20, 2012
February 20, 2012

Retail sales for January enjoyed a slight gain to $401.4 billion, an uptick of 0.4 percent from the previous month, the Census Bureau reported last week. More encouragingly, this was 5.8 percent higher than January 2011, and total sales for the November 2011 through January 2012 period were up 6.3 percent from the same period a year ago.
 
Looking at categories, January’s retail trade sales were up 0.4 percent from December 2011 and 5.5 percent above last year. Food services and drinking establishment sales were up 8.2 percent from January 2011 and building material sales were up 8.1 percent from last year.

In fact, January retail sales pointed to growing underlying strength in the economy, given that core retail sales, which exclude auto, gasoline and building material sales, actually increased 0.7 percent, indicating increased consumption by Americans.
 
“[The] retail sales data are better than they look, but they don’t suggest that consumption growth is about to set the economic recovery alight,” wrote Paul Dales, an economist at Capital Economics, in a note to clients.
 
First-time claims for unemployment benefits placed in the week ending February 11 dropped to 348,000, a decrease of 13,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 361,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 365,250, a decrease of 1,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 367,000.
 
The total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending February 4 dropped to 3,426,000, a decrease of 100,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,526,000, the Administration also reported. The four-week moving average was 3,492,500, a decrease of 8,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,500,750.
 
Turning to real estate, building permits issued in January for construction of private housing ticked up to an annual rate of 676,000, which was 0.7 percent over December’s revised rate of 671,000, and 19 percent over the January 2011 estimate of 568,000, the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development reported last week. Permits for single-family homes issued in January were at a rate of 445,000; this is 0.9 percent above the revised December figure of 441,000.
 
Actual starts on construction of private housing initiated in January hit an annual rate of 699,000, which was 1.5 percent above December’s revised estimate of 689,000 and 9.9 percent higher than the January 2011 rate of 636,000. Starts on single-family homes in January declined to a rate of 508,000, which was 1 percent less than December’s revised rate of 513,000.
 
Completions of private housing in January were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 530,000, which was 12 percent below December’s revised estimate of 602,000, but 4.1 percent higher than the January 2011 rate of 509,000. Completions of single-family homes in January were at a rate of 389,000, which was 14.9 percent under December’s revised rate of 457,000.
 
Industrial production was unchanged from December to January, as a gain of 0.7 percent in manufacturing was offset by declines in mining and utilities for the month, the Federal Reserve reported last week. Looking at specific segments, the index for motor vehicles and parts jumped 6.8 percent and the index for other manufacturing industries increased 0.3 percent. The output of utilities fell 2.5 percent, as demand for heating was held down by temperatures that moved further above seasonal norms; the output of mines declined 1.8 percent.
 
This week sees an extremely light calendar of financial headlines due to the Presidents’ Day holiday, starting Wednesday with existing home sales for January form the National Association of REALTORS®. This is followed Thursday by initial jobless claims for last week from the Employment and Training Administration. The week closes with the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment score for February and new home sales for January from the Census Bureau.

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: February 13, 2012
February 13, 2012

Consumer credit saw a $19.3 billion jump in December to a total of $2.49 trillion for the year, according to last week’s news from the Federal Reserve. December’s outstanding consumer credit surged in December at a 9.3 percent annual rate, thanks mostly to strong car sales and growing demand for student loans, the Federal Reserve reported.
 
Consumer credit followed its current trend of seeing non-revolving credit, such as student loans, outpace revolving credit, such as credit cards. December’s revolving credit increased $2.8 billion from November, which represented a 4.1 percent gain. Meanwhile, non-revolving debt increased 11.8 percent in December, representing a $16.5 billion gain over November.

“Consumers are willing to take on this debt because there is some increasing degree of confidence in the economy,” ClearView Economics LLC President Ken Mayland told the Bloomberg news service.
 
Turning to employment news, initial claims for jobless benefits posted during the week ending February 4 saw an encouraging drop to 358,000, a decrease of 15,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 373,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 366,250, a decrease of 11,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 377,250.
 
The administration also reported that the total number of unemployed workers covered by jobless benefits increased to 3,515,000 during the week ending Jan. 28, a gain of 64,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,451,000. The four-week moving average was 3,498,000, a decrease of 33,000 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,531,000.
 
Wholesale inventories for December outpaced analysts’ expectations, according to last week’s report from the Census Bureau, which reported that inventories of merchant wholesalers were up $473.2 billion at the end of December, which represented a 1 percent increase over November’s revised level.
 
Meanwhile, sales of merchant wholesalers saw a 1.3 percent increase in December, up $413.1 billion from November’s revised level. This put the December inventories-to-sales ratio for merchant wholesalers at 1.15, which was similar to December 2010′s ratio of 1.16. That level of inventory could indicate continued economic expansion, Joseph LaVorgna, chief U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank Securities, told Bloomberg.
 
“There could be a significant need for further accumulation in the current quarter, especially if demand is firming,” he explained. “The need to restock inventories may actually be increasing.”
 
This week’s slate of financial headlines begins tomorrow with January retail sales data from the Census Bureau, which will also release January export and import prices and December business inventories.
 
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve releases December industrial production and capacity utilization, which will be followed Thursday by initial jobless claims for last week from the Employment and Training Administration. Also on Thursday, the Census Bureau will release January housing starts and building permit figures, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its January producer price index.
 
On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics follows up with January’s consumer price Index. The week closes with January’s leading economic indicators from the Conference Board.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: February 6, 2012
February 6, 2012

The Labor Department released numbers Friday morning showing that the unemployment rate has dropped to 8.3 percent, the lowest since February 2009, while new jobs were created in January more quickly than they have been over the past nine months. Analysts consider this to be an indication of a strengthening economy.
 
Job gains were seen across many industries. However, approximately 19.3 million people are still out of work or underemployed. Initial claims for the week ending Jan. 28 dropped to 367,000, a decrease of 12,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 379,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 375,750, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 377,750.

Personal income was up, with a modest average hourly wage increase of 4 cents, while spending was down in December, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported last week. Incomes for the month posted an increase of $61.3 billion, or 0.5 percent. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $47.1 billion, or 0.4 percent, and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased $2.0 billion, or less than 0.1 percent. Real disposable income increased 0.3 percent in December, and real PCE decreased 0.1 percent.
 
Private wage and salary disbursements increased $29.1 billion in December. Looking at specific sectors, goods-producing industries’ payrolls increased $10.8 billion; manufacturing payrolls increased $7.4 billion; services-producing industries’ payrolls increased $18.3 billion; and government wage and salary disbursements increased $0.4 billion in December. Additionally, supplements to wages and salaries increased $3.6 billion in December.
 
The hope is that continued job gains will offset the slowdown in spending. “The pace of job growth in recent months, while still not satisfactory compared to most past cycles, at least seems sufficient to generate enough income growth to keep consumer spending moving ahead at a modest pace,” Joshua Shapiro, chief U.S. economist at MFR, told the Associated Press.
 
Turning to real estate, construction spending for December hit an annual rate of $816.4 billion, 1.5 percent higher than November’s revised estimate of $804.0 billion, the Census Bureau reported last week. The December figure is 4.3 percent above the December 2010 estimate of $782.9 billion. Looking at the full year, the value of construction in 2011 was $787.4 billion, 2 percent below the $803.6 billion spent in 2010.
 
Spending on private construction hit an adjusted annual rate of $529.7 billion, 2.1 percent above November’s revised estimate of $518.8 billion, with residential construction reaching an annual rate of $241.2 billion in December, which was 0.8 percent above November’s revised estimate of $239.4 billion.
 
The value of private construction in 2011 was $504.1 billion, 0.7 percent over the $500.6 billion spent in 2010. Residential construction in 2011 was $236.2 billion, 1.1 percent below the 2010 figure of $238.8 billion.
 
Auto manufacturers continued to see good news with January’s sales of cars and trucks in the United States hitting an annualized sales pace of 14.18 million vehicles, in comparison to December’s pace of 13.56 million units, according to last week’s update from auto industry watchers Autodata Corp. January’s sales pace was the highest rate since May 2008, with a total of 913,287 cars and trucks sold in the month.
 
Looking at the U.S. Big Three, Chrysler saw a 44 percent jump to 99,238 cars and trucks sold in January; Ford sales gained 7.3 percent, to 136,294 vehicles; and GM sales fell to 167,962 units. Meanwhile, after suffering a lasting impact on their manufacturing and distribution from Japan’s tsunami disaster, the Japanese manufacturers enjoyed U.S. sales gains in January, with Toyota posting a 7.5 percent increase, Honda seeing an 8.8 percent increase, and Hyundai Motor Co. reporting a 15 percent gain.
 
This week sees a moderate calendar of financial news, starting tomorrow with consumer credit figures for December from the Federal Reserve. On Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claims for last week, and the Census Bureau releases wholesale inventories for December. The Census Bureau continues on Friday with trade balance data for December, and the Treasury Department closes out the week with its January budget.

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: January 30, 2012
January 30, 2012

Ben Bernanke, chairman of the Federal Reserve, indicated last week that he expected to keep interest rates near zero through 2014, much longer than analysts had been anticipating. It’s hoped that the reduced rates will continue to nudge economic growth along and help ease the strains brought on by high unemployment and the depressed housing market. Bernanke did not rule out taking more decisive action to address unemployment but offered no plans at this time.
 
New real estate saw some downward activity in December, with sales of new single-family houses at an annual rate of 307,000 for the month, the Census Bureau reported last week. December’s performance was 2.2 percent below November’s revised rate of 314,000 and was 7.3 percent below December 2010′s estimate of 331,000.

The drop in new sales performance could be attributed to continuing competition from existing home sales, which saw positive activity in December.
 
The median sales price of new homes sold in December was $210,300 and the average sales price was $266,000. The estimate of new homes for sale at the end of December was 157,000, representing a 6.1-month supply at the current sales rate. Looking at 2011 in total, an estimated 302,000 new homes were sold during the year, marking a 6.2 percent decline from 2010′s figure of 323,000.
 
The Leading Economic Index (LEI) for December increased 0.4 percent to 94.3 (a baseline of 100 was set in 2004), according to the Conference Board, which tabulates the index. The LEI is a composite of various pieces of economic data, such as unemployment, stock prices, real estate figures and manufacturing activity. December’s LEI followed a 0.2 percent increase in November and a 0.6 percent increase in October.
 
“The gain was widespread among the leading indicators, suggesting economic conditions should improve in early 2012,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, economist at the Conference Board. “However, the LEI gain in December was held back by negative contributions from the new Leading Credit Index — which indicates weak credit and financial conditions — and from consumer expectations for business and economic conditions.”
 
Turning to manufacturing, new orders for manufactured durable goods placed in December increased $6.2 billion to $214.5 billion, a 3 percent gain over November, the Census Bureau reported last week. Transportation was the big gainer, enjoying a $3 billion, or 5.5 percent, bump to $58.4 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders only increased 2.1 percent.
 
Shipments of manufactured durable goods in December increased $4.3 billion, or 2.1 percent, to $207.3 billion. Inventories of manufactured durable goods in December increased $1.2 billion, or 0.3 percent, to $370.1 billion, the highest level since the series was first published.
 
First-time claims for jobless benefits gained 21,000 during the week ending January 21, pushing the total to 377,000, in comparison from the previous week’s revised figure of 356,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 377,500, a decrease of 2,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 380,000.
 
The total number of unemployed workers covered by insurance for the week ending January 14 rose to 3,554,000, an increase of 88,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,466,000, the Administration also reported. The four-week moving average was 3,569,000, a decrease of 15,750 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,584,750.
 
This week sees a busy slate of economic announcements, starting today with December personal income and spending data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Tomorrow the Conference Board releases this month’s Consumer Confidence Scores. Wednesday sees the Census Bureau release December’s construction spending figures, as well as January car and truck sales from the auto manufacturers.
 
Moving toward the second half of the week, on Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration releases last week’s initial jobless claims, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis releases productivity scores for the fourth quarter of last year. This week’s news wraps up on Friday with payroll, earnings, average workweek and overall unemployment rate for January from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: January 23, 2012
January 23, 2012

Employment news was a headline maker last week with first-time claims for jobless benefits at their lowest level since April 2008, according to data from the Employment and Training Administration. Initial claims for the week ending January 14 dropped to 352,000, a whopping 50,000 claims down from the previous week’s revised figure of 402,000. The four-week moving average was 379,000, a decrease of 3,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 382,500.
 
The administration also reported that the total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending January 7 was 3,432,000, a decrease of 215,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,647,000. The four-week moving average was 3,576,250, a decrease of 34,000 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,610,250. All in all, while jobless claims tend to vary from week to week, they have been on a steady downward trend.

In real estate news, existing home sales were on their third month of an upswing, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.61 million in December from a downwardly revised 4.39 million in November. Existing-home sales are 3.6 percent higher than December 2010′s 4.45 million-unit level. Overall in 2011, existing-home sales rose 1.7 percent to 4.26 million, topping sales of 4.19 million in 2010.
 
Building permits issued during December for private housing dropped to an annual rate of 679,000, marking a 0.1 percent drop from November’s revised rate of 680,000, the Census Bureau reported last week. That said, December’s performance was 7.8 percent above December 2010′s estimated rate of 630,000. Permits for construction of single-family homes in December were at a rate of 444,000, which was 1.8 percent above November’s revised rate of 436,000.
 
Construction starts on private housing in December dropped to an annual rate of 657,000, which was 4.1 percent below November’s revised estimate of 685,000, but was 24.9 percent over December 2010′s rate of 526,000. Starts on single-family housing in December were at a rate of 470,000, which was 4.4 percent over November’s revised rate of 450,000.
 
Completed private housing construction in December hit an annual rate of 605,000, which was 9.2 percent over November’s revised estimate of 554,000 and 7.1 percent above December 2010′s rate of 565,000. Completions of single-family homes in December were at a rate of 448,000, which was 0.9 percent below November’s revised rate of 452,000. Overall, an estimated 583,900 housing units were completed in 2011. This was 10.4 percent below the 2010 figure of 651,700.
 
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) was unchanged in December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all-items index increased 3 percent before seasonal adjustment.
 
Similar to November’s CPI-U, the energy index declined in December and offset increases in other indexes. The gasoline index declined for the third month in a row and the household energy index declined as well. The food index rose in December, with the index for food at home moving up after declining last month.
 
The Bureau’s Producer Price Index for finished goods declined 0.1 percent in December. Prices for finished goods moved up 0.3 percent in November and fell 0.3 percent in October. At the earlier stages of processing, the index for intermediate goods decreased 0.5 percent in December, and crude goods prices moved down 1.1 percent.
 
The Federal Reserve reported last week that industrial production for December increased 0.4 percent after having fallen 0.3 percent in November. For the fourth quarter as a whole, industrial production rose at an annual rate of 3.1 percent, its 10th consecutive quarterly gain.
 
This week will see a relatively light financial calendar, starting late on Thursday with initial jobless claims for last week from the Employment and Training Administration. Also on Thursday, the Census Bureau will release durable goods orders for December, as well as new home sales for the month. Thursday finishes up with December’s leading economic indicators from The Conference Board.
 
The week closes out with the fourth quarter’s gross domestic product from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment findings for January.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: January 16, 2012
January 16, 2012

Consumer credit saw its largest growth since 2001 last November with a whopping 9.9 percent gain, according to the latest credit data released last week by the Federal Reserve. Overall credit gained $20.4 billion, with November’s overall debt surging to $2.47 trillion.
 
Revolving debt, such as credit cards, gained 8.5 percent to hit $798.3 billion, and non-revolving debt, such as student loans, increased 10.7 percent to hit $1.67 trillion, the Federal Reserve reported. The large jump in revolving debt could be the result of both holiday spending, and the fact that some banks were discussing — and a select few were implementing — new debit-card fees at that time, according to experts.

While consumer credit was spiking, retail sales posted only slight gains in December. Following November’s 0.4 percent gain, U.S. retail and food services sales for December climbed 0.1 percent to $400.6 billion, the Census Bureau reported last week. That said, December’s performance was up 6.5 percent over December 2010. Total sales for the 12 months of 2011 were up 7.7 percent from 2010. Total sales for the October through December 2011 period were up 7.0 percent from the same period a year ago.
 
Last week’s poor retail sales news was paired with a disappointing unemployment update, as initial jobless benefit claims for the week ending January 7 increased 24,000 to 399,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 375,000, according to last week’s data from the Employment and Training Administration. The four-week moving average was 381,750, an increase of 7,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 374,000.
 
The total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending December 31 increased 19,000 to 3,628,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,609,000, the Administration also reported. The four-week moving average was 3,605,000, unchanged from the preceding week’s revised average.
 
In international trade, total November exports of $177.8 billion and imports of $225.6 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $47.8 billion, up from $43.3 billion in October, the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported last week. November exports were $1.5 billion less than October exports of $179.4 billion. November imports were $2.9 billion more than October imports of $222.6 billion.
 
This week’s slate of economic headlines kicks off in earnest Wednesday with producer prices for December from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and industrial production and capacity utilization figures for December from the Federal Reserve.
 
Thursday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics follows with December consumer prices, and the Employment and Training Administration releases last week’s initial jobless claims figures. The Census Bureau will also release December housing construction permits and starts data. The week’s news wraps up on Friday with existing home sales for December from the National Association of REALTORS®.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: January 9, 2012
January 9, 2012

Unemployment numbers hit their lowest level since February 2009, coming in at 8.5% in December, according to the U.S. Labor Department. The Department also reported that nonfarm payrolls rose by 200,000 jobs in December, thanks to private companies.
 
November’s gains were revised down slightly but October’s were revised up. December was the 15th consecutive month in which the economy has added jobs. Labor Department data show the biggest gains in transportation and warehousing, retail, manufacturing, health care and food services, most of which may be related to the holiday season.

Construction for November saw good news last week, increasing by 1.2 percent to hit an $807.1 billion annual rate, the Census Bureau reported. The November figure was 0.5 percent above the November 2010 estimate of $803.0 billion, and the monthly percentage growth beat analysts’ expectations by a whole percent.
 
Spending on private construction hit an annual rate of $522.3 billion in November, 1 percent above October’s revised rate of $517.3 billion. Residential construction increased to annual rate of $243.7 billion in November, a 2 percent gain over October’s revised rate of $238.9 billion.
 
Car and truck sales saw big movement in December, with U.S. auto makers selling 1.2 million cars and light trucks during the month, analysts at Autodata Corp. reported last week. This marked an 8.7 percent gain from December 2010, and in total, 2011′s tally of car and truck sales hit 12.8 million, a 10.3 percent gain over 2010. December also was the fourth consecutive month in which the sales pace rang in at more than 13 million units.
 
In manufacturing, new orders for manufactured goods in November increased by 1.8 percent to $8.2 billion following two consecutive monthly decreases, the Census Bureau reported last week. Transportation was a key growth sector, but without it new orders still increased 0.3 percent.
 
Shipments for manufacturers continued a six-month gain, increasing $0.1 billion to $455.0 billion. Unfilled orders, up 19 of the last 20 months, increased $11.1 billion or 1.3 percent to $898.3 billion. This put the unfilled orders-to-shipments ratio at 6.16, up from 6.07 in October.
 
Inventories, up 25 of the last 26 months, increased again in November by $2.8 billion, or 0.5 percent, to $609.8 billion — the highest level since the series was published in 1992. The historic gain put the inventories-to-shipments ratio at 1.34, up from 1.33 in October.
 
This week’s slate of financial news releases starts today with consumer credit data for November from the Federal Reserve. The Census Bureau follows tomorrow with the November wholesale inventories.
 
On Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claims for last week. Also on Thursday, the Census Bureau will release December retail sales data and business inventories.
 
The Bureau will follow that on Friday with November’s trade balance data and December’s export and import prices. The Treasury Department will finish up the week with the release of its December budget.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: December 26, 2011
December 26, 2011

Positive news on the job front continued last week as the number of new filings for unemployment hit a 3.5-year low, sparking talk of recovery and a better economic outlook for the country.
 
Initial claims for jobless benefits placed in the week ending December 17 dropped to 364,000, a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 368,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. That was the lowest level since April 2008. The four-week moving average was 380,250, a decrease of 8,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 388,250.

The total number of unemployed workers covered by benefits for the week ending December 10 was 3,546,000, a decrease of 79,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,625,000, the administration also reported last week. The four-week moving average was 3,631,750, a decrease of 40,000 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,671,750. The positive data helped boost numbers on Wall Street as well.
 
We also saw positive movement in existing-home sales for November, according to data released by the National Association of REALTORS®. Total completed transactions for existing single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops increased 4 percent to an annual rate of 4.42 million in November, compared to 4.25 million for October. November’s sales were 12.2 percent above the 3.94 million-unit pace in November 2010.
 
The reason for the increased activity? A buyer’s market that is proving too tantalizing for home seekers to ignore, said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist.
 
“Sales reached the highest mark in 10 months and are 34 percent above the cyclical low point in mid-2010 – a genuine sustained sales recovery appears to be developing,” he said. “We’ve seen healthy gains in contract activity, so it looks like more people are realizing the great opportunity that exists in today’s market for buyers with long-term plans.”
 
Single-family home sales rose 4.5 percent to an annual rate of 3.95 million in November from 3.78 million in October, and are 12.9 percent above the 3.50 million-unit level in November 2010. Total housing inventory at the end of November fell 5.8 percent to 2.58 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a seven-month supply at the current sales pace.
 
The national median existing-home price for all housing types was $164,200 in November, down 3.5 percent from a year ago. The median existing single-family home price was $164,100 in November, down 4 percent from 2011.
 
Distressed homes, which comprise foreclosures and short sales that are typically sold at deep discounts, accounted for 29 percent of sales in November, compared with 28 percent in October.
 
Switching to new real estate, building permits for private homes issued during November reached an annual rate of 681,000, the Census Bureau reported last week. November’s figure represented a 5.7 percent gain over October’s revised rate of 644,000, and was 20.7 percent over the November 2010 estimate of 564,000. Permits issued for single-family homes in November were at a rate of 435,000, which was 1.6 percent over October’s revised figure of 428,000.
 
Construction starts on private housing in November reached an annual rate of 685,000, which was 9.3 percent over the revised October estimate of 627,000 and is 24.3 percent above November 2010′s rate of 551,000. Starts on single-family homes starts in November were at a rate of 447,000; this is 2.3 percent over October’s revised figure of 437,000.
 
Looking at a broad view of November’s economic performance, the Conference Board reported last week that its Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the month increased 0.5 percent to 118.0 (2004 = 100), following a 0.9 percent increase in October, and a 0.1 percent increase in September. The LEI incorporates various components, such as new orders, manufacturers’ deliveries, stock prices, initial jobless claims and consumer expectations. “The LEI is pointing to continued growth this winter, possibly even gaining momentum by spring,” said Ken Goldstein, economist at the Conference Board.
 
This week sees a very light financial calendar with December consumer confidence scores from the Conference Board released on Tuesday. Thursday sees initial jobless scores for last week from the Employment and Training Administration. The week closes up on Friday with the Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index for December from the Markit Group and the Institute for Supply Management.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: December 19, 2011
December 19, 2011

Last week saw good employment news with initial claims for the week ending December 10, dropping by 19,000 claims to 366,000, according to the Employment and Training Administration. The four-week moving average was 387,750, a decrease of 6,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 394,250.
 
The total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending December 3, was 3,603,000, an increase of 4,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,599,000, the administration also reported. The four-week moving average was 3,666,250, a decrease of 5,000 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,671,250.

November saw so-so retail sales performance, with sales of retail and food services for the month skirting up to $399.3 billion, an increase of 0.2 percent from the previous month and 6.7 percent above November 2010, the Census Bureau reported last week. Total sales for September through November 2011 were up 7.4 percent from the same period a year ago.
 
The energy index declined for the second month in a row and offset increases in the indexes for food and all items less food and energy. The gasoline index fell sharply and the index for household energy declined as well. Meanwhile, the index for all items less food and energy increased 0.2 percent in November.
 
Looking at producer prices for November, the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Producer Price Index for finished goods advanced 0.3 percent for the month. Finished goods prices fell 0.3 percent in October and moved up 0.8 percent in September. The increase in the finished goods index was broad based with prices for finished consumer foods moving up 1.0 percent. The indexes for both finished goods less food and energy and for finished energy goods inched up 0.1 percent.
 
Notably, industrial production decreased 0.2 percent in November, the first drop in seven months, according to the last week’s data from the Federal Reserve. Factory output, which comprises 75 percent of the total, moved down 0.4 percent for the month. Mining production edged up 0.1 percent, while the output of utilities rose 0.2 percent.
 
“Manufacturing is still doing OK,” Robert Dye, chief economist at Comerica Inc. told Bloomberg. “There are obviously concerns about the weaker global situation, and I think that manufacturers are feeling justifiably cautious. The European situation and China are potential game-changers here if their economies turn south quickly.”
 
This week’s slate of financial headlines starts off with November’s housing construction starts and building permits from the Census Bureau on Tuesday. This is followed Wednesday with existing home sales for November from the National Association of REALTORS®.
 
Thursday will be a busy day with initial jobless claims data for last week from the Employment and Training Administration and Consumer Sentiment Data from the University of Michigan. Thursday will also see third quarter gross domestic product data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and leading economic indicators for November from the Conference Board.
 
The week will wrap up on Friday with November’s durable goods orders and November new home sales totals from the Census Bureau. Also on Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will release personal income and spending data for November.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: December 12, 2011
December 12, 2011

There has been good employment news lately, with initial jobless claims filed during the week ending December 3 plummeting to 381,000 claims, the Employment Training Administration reported last week. This marked a whopping decrease of 23,000 claims from the previous week’s revised figure of 404,000. The four-week moving average was 393,250, a decrease of 3,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 396,250.
 
The total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending November 26 was 3,583,000, a decrease of 174,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,757,000, the Administration also reported. The four-week moving average was 3,667,250, a decrease of 20,500 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,687,750.

Consumer credit for October reached its highest point in two years, according to last week’s news from the Federal Reserve. Consumer credit increased at an annual rate of 3.75 percent for the month, with revolving credit (such as credit cards) increasing at an annual rate of 0.5 percent, and non-revolving credit (such as car loans) increasing at an annual rate of 5.25 percent.
 
Total consumer debt for October amounted to $2.46 trillion, with revolving debt accounting for $792 billion and non-revolving debt comprising $1.67 trillion. Overall, October’s total gained $7.65 billion over September.
 
The question of whether the gains in debt were a good indicator or a bad one left many experts on the fence. While ratcheting up debt at a time of high unemployment seems unwise, the recent unemployment dip paired with the fact that credit increased in non-revolving debt should serve as some reassurance.
 
“It’s hard to determine whether spending on credit is a sign of optimism or a sign of distress, but just anecdotally we feel there is the beginning of tentative feelings of comfort in taking on slightly more debt,” Dana Saporta, a U.S. economist at Credit Suisse told Bloomberg.
 
Turning to manufacturing, new orders for manufactured goods in October are down for the second consecutive month, decreasing $1.6 billion or 0.4 percent to $450.0 billion, the Census Bureau reported last week. This followed a 0.1 percent September decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.2 percent.
 
Shipments, up five consecutive months, increased $2.6 billion or 0.6 percent to $455.4 billion. This followed a 0.3 percent September increase. Unfilled orders, up 18 of the last 19 months, increased $1.8 billion or 0.2 percent to $885.9 billion. This followed a 0.6 percent September increase. The unfilled orders-to-shipments ratio was 6.07, down from 6.08 in September.
 
Meanwhile, sales by merchant wholesalers for October ticked up to $406 billion, which was 0.9 percent up from September’s revised level and 13.1 percent above October 2010. This put October’s wholesale sales to inventory ratio at 1.16. The October 2010 ratio was 1.18.
 
This week’s financial headlines start today with the Treasury Department’s release of its November budget figures. The Census Bureau follows tomorrow with November’s retail sales and October’s business inventories. The Census Bureau follows up on Wednesday with November’s import and export prices.
 
Thursday is a busy day for economic releases with initial jobless claims data for last week from the Employment and Training Administration and November’s producer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Census Bureau also releases industrial production and capacity utilization for November on Thursday.
 
This week’s slate of financial releases wraps up on Friday with the consumer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Time for Your Annual Mortgage Checkup
December 8, 2011

For many Americans, our homes represent our single largest financial investment and asset, let alone the place where we eat, sleep, live our lives and raise our families. Given all the life changes that we can experience in 12 months, it’s worth taking a moment to review what has happened in our lives — and in the real estate market — and ensure our homes still have the right financing behind them. There is no better time to do this than at the start of every new year.

It’s a smart financial move to take a look at your mortgage each year to determine if it is still the right fit and meeting your current needs. Reviewing your loan with a licensed mortgage professional is critical so you can fully understand your options. I’d be happy to spend some time with you and review your current mortgage and your long- and short-term financial goals. Together we can determine if it’s time for a change. Below are some of the points we will address and events that may have changed in your life during the last twelve months.

Low mortgage rates. We keep hearing that mortgage rates are lower than they have been in decades. Perhaps you were not in a position to take advantage of today’s rates because of a previously low credit rating or annual income. If circumstances have changed and you are now in a place where you can leverage current bargain rates, it may be time to reevaluate your current mortgage and make a change.

Life changes. A new baby, an unexpected medical expense, saving for college tuition, decreased or increased income or having to buy a new vehicle and take on a monthly car payment are all big events that can change your budget in ways that impact your mortgage. Some of these events you can plan for now, so that you are prepared for your budget to change significantly. To address other unexpected expenses that may have occurred in the last year, you may want to look into a cash-out refinance to meet additional financial burdens head-on. We can discuss your options to decide what works best for you and your changing needs.

More favorable loan options. You might want to consider different loan terms, get a completely different type of mortgage or remove a second mortgage. Or, you might be in an adjustable-rate mortgage that will soon adjust upwards, so you might seek a fixed rate.

Eliminating mortgage insurance. Perhaps your current loan includes private mortgage insurance, which is required when you make a down payment of less than 20 percent, and can cost from .25 to .75 percent of the home’s value. In general, if you financed your home at least two years ago and now have 20 percent equity in your home, you can request your lender remove the PMI. You may also consider a refinance for a different type of mortgage.

As you can see, when conducting your mortgage review we’ll need to look at many variables. In addition, you’ll need to keep some other factors in mind:

Closing costs. If you wish to refinance to get a lower rate, you want to see how long it will take you to recoup your closing costs. You’ll need to consider how long you plan to stay in the home along with other factors to make sure a refinance is a fiscally sound move.

Tax deductions. Another key consideration is the possible gain or loss of tax deductions, depending on the type of mortgage you pursue.* We sometimes don’t realize how much of a tax break we’ve been getting from our mortgage interest!

No matter how you slice it, engaging in an annual mortgage review is a big job, and you’ll need some expert advice to ensure your mortgage is still the right one for you — or to select new financing that brings you greater benefits. In the same way you would consult with a doctor to come up with a healthy fitness plan for the coming year, I would love to sit down with you and review all the options and variables in play. Reach out to me via the contact information on this email to schedule your mortgage checkup today!

*W.J. Bradley is not a credit counseling or financial advisement firm and this information is for educational purposes only and is not to be taken as guidelines or guarantees to improve your credit or financial situation or eligibility to secure a home loan.

Posted in WJB Insight



Economic Roundup: December 5, 2011
December 5, 2011

Last month unemployment dropped to its lowest level in two years, down to 8.6%, according to reports released Friday. November’s numbers were the lowest reported since March 2009.
 
October and November data was revised to show more jobs were added than previously reported. However, it is important to note that the Associated Press reported that a partial reason for the drop in the unemployment numbers may be attributed to the fact that about 315,000 people ended their job searches in November and thus are no longer counted as part of the number of unemployed workers.

New real estate sales ticked up for October, with sales of new single-family homes gaining 1.3 percent over September’s rate of 303,000 units to reach an annual rate of 307,000 homes, the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development reported last week. Last month’s performance was 8.9 percent better than October 2010′s pace of 282,000. That said, it was well below the estimated rate of 317,000 that economists had been forecasting.
 
In terms of price, the median sales amount for new homes sold during October was $212,300 and the average sales price was $242,300. This was a 5 percent drop from September’s prices. The number of new houses for sale at the end of October was 162,000, representing a 6.3-month supply at the current sales rate.
 
In related news, construction spending for October saw a similarly sized gain over September, growing 0.8 percent to a rate of $798.5 billion, the Census Bureau also reported. This was 0.4 percent below October 2010′s estimate of $802 billion.
 
Spending on private construction grew by 2.3 percent in October to reach an annual rate of $518.6 billion. Residential construction gained 3.4 percent to hit an annual rate of $239 billion, in comparison to September’s revised estimate of $231.2 billion.
 
New car sales heated up a chilly November with the industry posting sales of 1 million cars and trucks for the month, up 13.9 percent from a year earlier, according to Autodata Corp., which tracks automaker sales figures. Some notable performers were Ford, which sold 166,441 vehicles in November; General Motors, which gained 7 percent from the year prior with 180,402 vehicles; Chrysler, which gained 44.5 percent over November 2010 with 107,273 units; and Toyota, whose sales rose 6.7 percent to 137,960 vehicles last month. This was the first year-over-year monthly sales increase since April’s massive tsunami in Japan, which had greatly injured Toyota’s production and supply.
 
This week sees a somewhat light calendar of economic and financial news, starting today with data on October factory orders from the Census Bureau. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve releases consumer credit figures for October.
 
On Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration releases first-time jobless claims for last week, and the Census Bureau releases October’s wholesale inventories. The Bureau wraps up the week’s financial news on Friday with October’s balance of trade.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: November 28, 2011
November 28, 2011

Existing-home sales enjoyed some improvement during October, with sales of single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops reaching an annual rate of 4.97 million, the National Association of REALTORS® reported last week. October’s performance marked a 1.4 percent gain over September’s 4.90 million rate, and a 13.5 percent improvement over October 2010′s 4.38 million-unit level.
 
While the gain was welcome, it is performing at a lower-than-desired level, according to NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.

“Home sales have been stuck in a narrow range despite several improving factors that generally lead to higher home sales such as job creation, rising rents and high affordability conditions,” Yun explained. “Many people who are attempting to buy homes are thwarted in the process.”
 
One of the ways those buyers’ efforts were undermined during October was contract failures due to cancellations caused by declined mortgage applications, failures in loan underwriting from appraised values coming in below the negotiated price or other problems from home inspections and employment losses. Contract failures during October shot up to 33 percent, compared to September’s 18 percent, and 8 percent during October 2010.
 
The national median price for all existing homes was $162,500 during October, which was 4.7 percent below October 2010. Distressed homes — deeply discounted foreclosures and short sales — slipped to 28 percent of sales in October from 30 percent in September, and 34 percent in October 2010.
 
Personal income saw improvement in October, increasing $48.1 billion, or 0.4 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $30.2 billion, or 0.3 percent, according to last week’s report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Spending was also up last month, with personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increasing $8.2 billion, or 0.1 percent, the Bureau reported.
 
Looking at income sources for October, private wage and salary disbursements increased $33.6 billion for the month, with goods-producing industries’ payrolls gaining $6.3 billion; manufacturing payrolls picking up $6.4 billion; and services-producing industries’ payrolls increasing a sizable $27.3 billion. Supplements to wages and salaries increased $4.1 billion in October, compared with an increase of $3.2 billion in September.
 
In employment news, the number of first-time unemployment claims filed during the week of November 19 was 393,000, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 391,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 394,250, a decrease of 3,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 397,500.
 
The total number of unemployed workers during the week ending November 12 was 3,691,000, an increase of 68,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,623,000. The 4-week moving average was 3,671,500, a decrease of 2,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,673,750.
 
This week sees a busy calendar of economic announcements, starting today with new home sales for October from the Census Bureau. On Tuesday the Conference Board releases its consumer confidence figures for November. On Wednesday the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its productivity data for the third quarter.
 
Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration releases its initial jobless claims figures for last week, and the Census Bureau will report on October’s construction spending. Also on Thursday, the auto manufacturers release their November car and truck sales figures. The week closes on Friday with non-farm payrolls for November from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: November 21, 2011
November 21, 2011

There was encouraging news in the retail sector this fall, with sales of retail foods and services for October increasing 0.5 percent over September to $397.7 billion, the Census Bureau reported last week. Looking at the three-month period of August through October 2011, retail sales were up 7.6 percent from the same period a year ago. Hopefully October’s gain suggests a strong start to holiday season spending.
 
“The rise in retail sales suggests a very strong start to the quarter,” Millan Mulraine, a senior U.S. strategist at TD Securities, told Bloomberg. “Consumers are finding some reassurance in the fact that the economy isn’t going into a recession and the labor market isn’t going belly up.”

And while October’s sales were up, prices were slightly down for the month. October’s Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) decreased 0.1 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. This was due largely to a 2 percent decline in the energy index, which more than offset 0.1 percent increases in the indexes for food and all items less food and energy.
 
Looking at producer prices, the Bureau reported that October’s Producer Price Index for finished goods declined 0.3 percent. The decrease in finished goods prices was the result of a 1.4 percent drop in the index for finished energy goods, according to the Bureau. Meanwhile, prices for finished consumer foods inched up 0.1 percent.
 
Real estate saw some encouraging news last week, as well, with building permits for construction of privately owned housing issued in October jumping to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 653,000, the Census Bureau reported. This was a solid 10.9 percent above September’s revised rate of 589,000. Permits for single-family homes in October hit a rate of 434,000, which was 5.1 percent over September’s revised rate.
 
Meanwhile, construction starts on private housing in October ticked down slightly to an annual rate of 628,000, which was 0.3 percent below September’s revised estimate of 630,000. That said, starts on single-family homes in October increased to a rate of 430,000, which was 3.9 percent above September’s revised figure of 414,000.
 
In employment news, initial claims for jobless benefits for the week ending November 12 dropped to 388,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 393,000, according to last weeks’ report from the Employment and Training Administration. The four-week moving average was 396,750, a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 400,750.
 
The total number for insured unemployment during the week ending November 5 was 3,608,000, a decrease of 57,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,665,000, the Administration also reported.. The four-week moving average was 3,670,000, a decrease of 32,750 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,702,750.
 
This week’s financial headlines kick off today with existing home sales for October from the National Association of REALTORS®. This is followed tomorrow by third quarter gross domestic product from the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
 
Initial jobless claims for last week from the Employment and Training Administration follow on Wednesday, along with October personal income and expenditures from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Also on Wednesday, the Census Bureau will release October’s durable goods orders, and the University of Michigan will release its consumer sentiment survey for November.
 
Major economic announcements will come to a halt Wednesday as agencies close down for the Thanksgiving holiday. Here’s hoping your Thanksgiving is filled with many reasons to be thankful.

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: November 14, 2011
November 14, 2011

Consumer credit for September beat market expectations by expanding at an annual rate of 3.5 percent to $7.4 billion, according to the latest data released by the Federal Reserve last week. Analysts had expected consumer credit growth to hit $5 billion for the month.
 
Total consumer credit for September hit $2.45 trillion, with revolving debt (such as credit cards) decreasing to $789.6 billion for the month and non-revolving debt (such as student and car loans) increasing to $1.66 trillion.

September’s activity marked the third consecutive monthly drop in revolving debt, an indicator of continued consumer caution during a difficult economic recovery.
 
Looking at the wholesale sector, sales for merchant wholesalers in September increased by 0.5 percent over August to total $403.1 billion, the Census Bureau reported last week. In terms of categories, the big movers for the month were chemical and allied product sales, which increased 7.8 percent, and petroleum and petroleum products, which gained 3.9 percent.
 
Total inventories for wholesalers dropped 0.1 percent in September to $462 billion. This put September’s inventory-to-sales ratio at 1.15, slightly down from September 2010′s ratio of 1.18.
 
Foreign trade for September was encouraging, with total exports of $180.4 billion and imports of $223.5 billion resulting in a goods and services deficit of $43.1 billion, which was down from August’s $44.9 billion, the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported last week.
 
September exports were $2.5 billion more than August’s exports of $177.9 billion. September imports were $0.7 billion more than August imports of $222.8 billion.
 
Initial claims for jobless benefits filed during the week ending November 5 dropped to 390,000, a welcome decrease of 10,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 400,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 400,000, a decrease of 5,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 405,250.
 
The total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending October 29 dropped to 3,615,000, a decline of 92,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,707,000. The four-week moving average was 3,690,250, a decrease of 19,500 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,709,750.
 
This week’s slate of economic news starts tomorrow with October’s producer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, October retail sales and September’s business inventories from the Census Bureau.
 
On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics follows up with its October consumer price index. Also on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve releases October’s industrial production and capacity utilization figures.
 
Thursday sees initial jobless claims data from the Employment and Training Administration for last week, as well housing construction starts and building permits for October from the Census Bureau. The week closes with leading economic indicators for October from the Conference Board.
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Understanding Your Credit Score
November 7, 2011


Most people use credit to make a purchase at some point in their lives, whether it’s a big-ticket item like a home or car or smaller purchases made on a bank or store credit card. These lines of credit are extended to individuals based on a number of factors that, when combined, determine your credit score. Understanding that credit score can have a tremendous impact on your financial health, and frequently on other aspects of your life as well.
With credit so enmeshed in everything that we do, it’s surprising how few people realize what goes into their credit score. Anyone who is interested in financing a home purchase through a mortgage should have a solid understanding of what goes into his or her credit score. In fact, even some employers are beginning to run credit score checks on prospective employees.

A credit score is a numerical value calculated by a third party that describes how likely someone is to repay a loan. Credit scorers look at a variety of factors including past financial and borrowing history to determine the score. Lenders then use this score to decide how safe it is to lend that person the money they need.

How those scores are calculated depends on the rating system. Most people are familiar with the FICO score. FICO is named for the Fair Isaac Corporation, which was founded by an engineer named Bill Fair and mathematician Earl Isaac, who developed their credit scoring system in the 1950s. It has since gone on to be the gold standard of credit scores — and that should come as little surprise given that Fair and Isaac were true visionaries for their time (Isaac even experimented with artificial intelligence as early as the 1950s).

FICO scores range between 300 and 850 points, with the higher scores telling lenders that a borrower is a low risk, and lower scores denoting a higher credit risk. If your FICO ranks too low, you’ll have a tough time finding a loan, and if it’s high enough, lenders might offer you competitive terms to secure your business. To provide some perspective, the median FICO score for U.S. borrowers in 2010 was 723.

The FICO credit scoring model is used by the three biggest U.S. credit repositories, Equifax, Experian and TransUnion. For mortgage lending purposes, if three scores are present, the middle score is used. If two scores are present, the lowest score is used.

The factors that go into your FICO score are:

Whether you plan to be in your new home for a short or long period of time, you’ll always want to be mindful about how much your improvements will cost and what type of value they will add to your home.

Your payment history on loans and other credit, as well as bankruptcies, delinquencies and past due payments. Late payments, especially multiple late payments, can seriously hamper your credit. Payment history constitutes approximately 35 percent of your FICO.

The number of accounts you owe on and how much. Also, how close you are to your loan limits is important. The amounts you owe impact roughly 30 percent of your FICO.

How long your various credit accounts have been open and how long since each has seen activity. The longer you have had credit, the more it helps your rating, especially if you use that credit, so don’t close out old accounts. Fifteen percent of your FICO is influenced by the age of accounts.

Recently opened new accounts. Applying for lots of different credit at the same time will hurt your rating. That said, applying for various loans of the same type in a concentrated period of time, such as a car loan, will not impact your FICO as it denotes that you are shopping for a good loan. Newly opened accounts affect 10 percent of your FICO score.

Types of credit used. FICO scores also rate your ability to manage a mix of different types of credit, such as a mortgage, student loans, car loans, credit cards and other types of credit. This impacts about 10 percent of your FICO.

Remember, your score matters. Make sure to review your FICO early in the process of securing a home loan. Ensure that none of the three credit agencies’ reports contain any errors, and appeal to have them removed if so.

Would you like to learn more about FICO scores and how they relate to loan eligibility? I’d love to help. Please contact me via the information on this message and I’d be happy to sit down and meet with you.

*W.J. Bradley is not a credit counseling or financial advisement firm and this information is for educational purposes only and is not to be taken as guidelines or guarantees to improve your credit or financial situation or eligibility to secure a home loan.

Posted in WJB Insight



Economic Roundup: November 7, 2011
November 7, 2011

Unemployment for October continued to hover at 9 percent with non-farm payrolls trending up by 80,000 jobs, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. Overall, 13.9 million U.S. workers were without jobs in October, marking the seventh straight month the rate hasn’t dipped below the 9 percent mark.
 
In more recent employment news, initial claims for unemployment benefits hit a five-week low, according to data released last week from the Employment and Training Administration.

First-time unemployment claims for the week ending October 29 dropped to 397,000, a decrease of 9,000 claims from the previous week’s revised figure of 406,000. The four-week moving average was 404,500, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 406,500.
 
The total number of unemployed workers covered by benefits for the week ending October 22 dipped down to 3,683,000, a decrease of 15,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,698,000. The four-week moving average was 3,703,250, a decrease of 10,500 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,713,750.
 
On the positive side, the number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or longer) declined by 366,000 in October to 5.9 million, and the number of persons employed on a part-time basis for economic reasons (their hours were cut or they could not find full-time work) dropped by 374,000 to 8.9 million, the Bureau reported.
 
In housing news, construction spending for September hit an annual rate of $787.2 billion, which was 0.2 percent over August’s revised estimate of $786.0 billion, the Census Bureau reported last week.
 
Spending on private construction moved up to an annual rate of $501.8 billion, which was 0.6 percent over August’s revised estimate of $499 billion. Spending on residential construction hit an annual rate of $228.3 billion in September, an encouraging 0.9 percent above the revised August estimate of $226.3 billion.
 
That said, construction spending has a way to go in terms of recovery. Construction spending in the first nine months of this year amounted to $580.9 billion, which was 3.5 percent below the $602.0 billion spent in the same period in 2010.
 
Car and truck sales for October saw good news, with auto manufacturers selling roughly 1 million vehicles in the month, which was 7.5 percent over October 2010′s sales, reported auto industry analysts at Autodata Corp. October’s sales were clocked at a 13.3 million-vehicle annual rate, which is the fastest sales pace in four years.
 
Experts said stable gas prices helped October’s sales, which saw an increase in sales of SUVs and pickups, with 8 percent and 9 percent sales increases respectively, Autodata reported.
 
Watch for financial news updates on consumer credit scores for September from the Federal Reserve tomorrow. Wednesday brings September wholesaler inventories from the Census Bureau.
 
On Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration will release initial jobless benefits claims totals from last week, and the Census Bureau will report October’s export and import prices, as well as the balance of trade for September. The Treasury Department will wrap up the week’s economic news with its October budget figures.

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: October 31, 2011
October 31, 2011

Happy Halloween! Personal income was slightly up for September, while spending was slightly down, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported last week. Personal income increased $17.3 billion, or 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $12.9 billion, or 0.1 percent, in September, according to the Bureau. Meanwhile, personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $68.7 billion, or 0.6 percent.
 
For comparison, August’s personal income decreased $13.6 billion, or 0.1 percent, DPI decreased $12.8 billion, or 0.1 percent, and PCE increased $24.2 billion, or 0.2 percent, based on revised estimates.

Private wage and salary disbursements increased $17.9 billion in September, in contrast to a decrease of $9.8 billion in August. Supplements to wages and salaries increased $2.9 billion in September.
 
Also, Americans were saving less in September. Personal saving, which is DPI less personal outlays, was $419.8 billion in September, compared with $479.1 billion in August. As a percentage of DPI, personal savings for September was 3.6 percent, compared with 4.1 percent in August.
 
The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index, which had slightly improved in September, declined in October. The Index ticked down to 39.8 from September’s 46.4. The Present Situation Index, how consumers feel the economy is doing presently, decreased to 26.3 from 33.3, and the Expectations Index, how consumers feel the economy is headed, declined to 48.7 from 55.1 last month. The numbers were a retreat to gloomier days, noted Lynn Franco, director of The Conference Board’s Consumer Research Center.
 
“Consumer confidence is now back to levels last seen during the 2008-2009 recession,” she said. “Consumer expectations, which had improved in September, gave back all of the gain and then some, as concerns about business conditions, the labor market and income prospects increased. Consumers’ assessment of present-day conditions did not fare any better. The Present Situation Index posted its sixth consecutive monthly decline, as pessimism about the current economic environment continues to grow.”
 
As a ray of optimism, new home sales were up for September, according to last week’s data from the Census Bureau. Sales of new single-family houses in September hit an annual rate of 313,000, which was 5.7 percent over August’s revised rate of 296,000. The median sales price of new houses sold in September was $204,400; the average sales price was $243,900. The estimate of new houses for sale at the end of September was 163,000, representing a supply of 6.2 months at the current sales rate.
 
Employment also showed some positive signs with first-time claims for jobless benefits posted in the week ending October 22 dropping to 402,000, a decrease of 2,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 404,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported. The four-week moving average was 405,500, an increase of 1,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 403,750. The total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending October 15 was 3,645,000, a decrease of 96,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,741,000. The four-week moving average was 3,701,000, a decrease of 26,750 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,727,750.
 
This week, economic updates begin in earnest tomorrow with construction spending data for September from the Census Bureau and new car and truck sales from the auto manufacturers.
 
Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration will release initial jobless claims figures for last week and continuing claims data totaled for the week ending October 22. Also on Thursday, the Census Bureau will report on factory orders for September.
 
This week closes up with October’s unemployment rate, non-farm payrolls, hourly earnings and average workweek from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: October 24, 2011
October 24, 2011

Sales of existing homes were down for September, unable to beat August’s strong gains, according to last week’s data from the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR). Sales of existing single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops dropped 3 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.91 million in September from an upwardly revised 5.06 million in August. However, September’s sales were a reassuring 11.3 percent above the 4.41 million-unit pace set in September 2010.
 
Looking at who was buying in September, all-cash sales accounted for 30 percent of purchase activity, up from 29 percent in August. NAR said investors purchased 19 percent of homes in September, down from 22 percent in August. First-time buyers accounted for 32 percent of transactions in September, unchanged from August.

In terms of price, the national median existing-home price for all housing types was $165,400 in September. This was influenced partly by distressed homes — deeply discounted foreclosures and short sales — which accounted for 30 percent of sales in September.
 
Where new housing was concerned, building permits and constructions starts for new homes in September — an indication of housing demand — was a mixed bag, according to the latest data from the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development released last week.
 
Building permits issued for private housing in September were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 594,000, which was 5 percent below August’s revised rate of 625,000. Permits for single-family homes were at a rate of 417,000, which was 0.2 percent below the revised August figure of 418,000.
 
While permits were down, building activity was up. Starts on construction of privately owned housing for September hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 658,000, which was 15 percent over August’s revised estimate of 572,000. Starts on single-family homes in September were at a rate of 425,000, which was 1.7 percent over August’s revised rate of 418,000.
 
Meanwhile, consumer prices were up in September, with the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) for the month increasing 0.3 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. The rise was due to increases in energy (up 2 percent) and food prices (up 0.4 percent), with gasoline prices up 2.9 percent, electricity up 0.7 percent and natural gas up 0.8 percent.
 
Switching to employment news, first-time claims for jobless benefits for the week ending October 15 dropped to 403,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 409,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 403,000, a decrease of 6,250 from the previous week.
 
That said, the total number of insured unemployed workers for the week ending October 8 hit 3,719,000, an increase of 25,000 from the preceding week, the Administration reported.
 
This week’s headlines start tomorrow with consumer confidence data for October from the Conference Board. On Wednesday the Census Bureau follows with September’s durable goods orders and September’s new home sales.
 
Thursday sees initial jobless claims for last week from the Employment and Training Administration and advanced GDP for the third quarter from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The week wraps up on Friday with September’s personal income and expenditures from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, and the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index for October. 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: October 17, 2011
October 17, 2011

Initial claims for jobless benefits during the week ending October 8 dipped to 404,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 405,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 408,000, a decrease of 7,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 415,000.
 
The total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending October 1 was 3,670,000, a drop of 55,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,725,000. The four-week moving average was 3,724,000, a decrease of 21,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,745,250.

In commerce, the balance of international trade yielded a deficit of $45.6 billion from July, with August exports of $177.6 billion and imports of $223.2 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported last week, virtually unchanged from July’s revised figures. August exports were $0.1 billion less than July exports of $177.7 billion. August imports were $0.1 billion less than July imports of $223.3 billion.
 
The goods deficit increased $0.1 billion from July to $61.4 billion for August, and the services surplus increased $0.2 billion to $15.8 billion. Exports of goods decreased $0.1 billion to $126.7 billion, and imports of goods were virtually unchanged at $188.1 billion. Exports of services were virtually unchanged at $50.9 billion, and imports of services decreased $0.2 billion to $35.1 billion.
 
In comparison to a year ago, the goods and services deficit increased $0.1 billion from August 2010 to August 2011. Exports were up $22.7 billion, or 14.7 percent, and imports were up $22.8 billion, or 11.4 percent, according to the bureau.
 
The combination of leveling international trade and improvement in first-time jobless benefit claims could mean the economy has side-stepped a double-dip recession, according to Millan Mulraine, senior macro strategist at TD Securities.
 
“These reports add to the recent flow of encouraging economic releases, which have been pointing to an economy that has not only averted a second recession, but one that may be slowly regaining some positive momentum,” Mulraine said last week.
 
This week’s financial news starts today with industrial production and capacity utilization for September from the Federal Reserve. Tomorrow the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its producer price index for September and follows Wednesday with its September consumer price index. Also on Wednesday, the Census Bureau releases its housing starts and building permits figures for September.
 
Thursday the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claims figures for last week, and on Friday the National Association of REALTORS® releases its existing home sales for September. Also on Friday, the Conference Board will release it leading economic indicators report for September.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Financing Smart Home Improvements
October 14, 2011

You’ve found a great home, but it’s a bit rough around the edges and you’re on a limited budget. That leads to a number of questions: How much will the necessary upgrades and repairs cost? How much value will they add to the home? How are you going to pay for all this?

Whether you are upgrading to a larger home in a neighborhood you’ve always loved, downsizing to a smaller home now that the kids are out of the house or even moving to a new state, don’t let a house that you love get away just because it needs some repairs or updates — you do have options!

203(k) Loans
A 203(k) loan lets a qualified borrower not only finance the purchase price of the home, but also include the price of the necessary repairs to the home.

Many types of properties qualify for 203(k) loans. Approved improvements include painting, room additions, decks, bathroom and kitchen remodels, finished attics and basements, structural changes and repairs, environmental rehab such as removing lead paint or making energy efficiency upgrades, roofing, flooring or accessibility upgrades for disabled residents.

It’s important to note that there are two different types of 203(k) loans available and you’ll need to determine, along with your lending professional, which type of loan is right for your particular situation. I’d be happy to spend some time with you to review and determine what might best meet your needs. Here’s a quick overview of the available 203(k) options:

  • A “streamlined” 203(k) loan is intended for a home that requires only non-structural repairs like cosmetic upgrades (painting, new carpet and appliances, new roof). In addition to the price of the home, you can borrow up to $35,000 to cover improvements.
  • A “regular” 203(k) loan is for properties that require structural repair, such as room additions, or major landscape work or site improvement. You can borrow the purchase price of the home, plus the price of the improvements, up to 110 percent of the home’s expected value after the improvements.

Once you’ve understood your loan options you’ll also want to examine the specific types of upgrades or repairs you’d like to make to your new home.

Eligible Upgrades and Repairs that Make Sense
Whether you plan to be in your new home for a short or long period of time, you’ll always want to be mindful about how much your improvements will cost and what type of value they will add to your home.

A good place to review this data is in Remodeling magazine’s annual “Cost vs. Value” report. The report is considered a sort of gold standard for the return on investment for various home improvements. This can also serve as an excellent guide towards helping you understand the costs of certain types of upgrades and repairs. The data is available for free on the magazine’s site (www.remodeling.hw.net/2010/costvsvalue/national.aspx), and can be broken down by region and even city. It even provides drill-down information on various improvements, including pictures.

Here’s a look at some of the top remodeling projects you may want to consider that are eligible under 203(k) loans.

  • Minor kitchen remodel. If your new home doesn’t have your dream kitchen, this may be a smart choice for an upgrade. While kitchen upgrade costs can be high, Remodeling magazine estimates replacing the cabinet door fronts; adding new hardware; getting a new range; swapping out the counters; laying new flooring; installing a new sink; and painting a dated, 200-square-foot kitchen can bring a 72.8 percent return on investment.
  • Attic bedroom. Does your new home lack that extra bedroom you desire? You may want to consider converting your attic space into an extra bed and bath. This will not only provide you with more living space but converting an attic to a 15×15 bedroom with a 5×7 bathroom will bring on average a 72.2 percent return on your investment, according to Remodeling magazine.
  • Basement remodel. Finishing a 20×30 basement area into a bonus room with a bathroom and a wet bar can provide you with a great deal more space in your new home and can also add a good deal of value to it.

Another key trend to keep in mind, presented in Remodeling’s latest national data, is that upgrades on the outside of the home offer some of the best value of all home repairs and upgrades. These include:

  • Steel entry-door replacements. Swapping out a drafty wood door and jambs for a 20-gauge steel door is the No. 1 replacement in the country.
  • Replacing the garage door. This improvement takes the No. 2 spot.
  • Wooden or composite deck additions. In addition to adding ambience to your home, decks can also add to the value of it. For instance, Remodeling magazine data shows that adding a wooden deck with an anchored, 16×20 deck using pressure-treated wood with railings and stairs delivers a 72.8 percent return on your investment.

There are a wide variety of upgrades and repairs permitted under the 203(k) loan programs, so be sure to examine all of your options and determine what makes the most sense for your new home.

Getting Started
Once you’ve determined the upgrades and repairs you’d like to pursue, be sure you speak with an experienced 203(k) lender that is well-versed in the details of permitted improvements under the program. It is also important to note that FHA rehab loans may take longer to close with a lender that doesn’t have experience with them, because there is more paperwork. Working with a lending professional that is experienced with 203(k) loans will help you avoid those delays.

Please contact me using the information on this newsletter, and I’d be happy to review how you can use the right funding to put some shine on that diamond in the rough!

Posted in WJB Insight



Economic Roundup: October 10, 2011
October 10, 2011

Employment news topped last week’s economic headlines, with September’s unemployment rate continuing to hover at 9.1 percent for the third straight month, the Department of Labor reported last week. That said, employers added 103,000 non-farm jobs for the month, tempering fears of a double-dip recession.
 
September’s increase in employment also reflected the return to payrolls of roughly 45,000 Verizon telecommunications workers who had been on strike during August. Actual job gains for September occurred in professional and business services, health care and construction, while government employment continued to tick downward, according to the Department of Labor.

The total number of unemployed workers for September leveled out at 14 million, roughly the same number as August.
 
Also worth noting, the number of people employed part-time for economic reasons (often referred to as “involuntary part-time workers,” because their hours had been cut, or they could not find full-time work) rose to 9.3 million in September.
 
Looking at more recent, short-term employment figures, initial jobless benefit claims filed in the week ending October 1 ticked up to 401,000, an increase of 6,000 from the previous week, according to the Employment and Training Administration. The four-week moving average was 414,000, a decrease of 4,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 418,000.
 
The total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending September 24 dropped to 3,700,000, a decrease of 52,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,752,000. The four-week moving average was 3,739,000, a decrease of 9,750 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,748,750.
 
In real estate news, construction spending for August trumped analysts’ expectations with an unexpected rise of 1.4 percent, putting the month’s spending at a rate of $799.1 billion in comparison to July’s revised estimate of $788.3 billion, the Census Bureau reported last week. Moreover, the August figure was 0.9 percent over the August 2010 estimate of $791.7 billion.
 
Spending on private construction reached an annual rate of $511 billion, 0.4 percent over July’s revised estimate of $508.9 billion. Residential construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $237.8 billion in August, which was 0.7 percent higher than July’s revised estimate of $236.2 billion, according to the Bureau.
 
This week’s round of financial headlines begins Wednesday — thanks to the Columbus Day holiday — with initial jobless claims data for last week from the Employment and Training Administration. Also slated for release on Wednesday are August’s trade balance data from the Census Bureau and the September Treasury budget from the Treasury Department.
 
On Thursday, the Census Bureau releases retail sales data for September, as well as September’s export and import prices (in a joint release with the Bureau of Economic Analysis). The Census Bureau closes up the week with August’s business inventories.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: October 03, 2011
October 3, 2011

New home sales skirted down for August, with sales of new single-family homes dropping to an annual rate of 295,000, which was 2.3 percent below the revised July rate of 302,000, the Census Bureau reported last week. That said, August’s performance was 6.1 percent better than August 2010′s estimate of 278,000.
 
The median sales price of new homes sold in August was $209,100 and the average sales price was $246,000. In terms of supply, the estimate of new houses for sale at the end of August was 162,000, representing a supply of 6.6 months at the current sales rate.

Personal income and spending was relatively flat for August, according to data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis last week. Personal income decreased $7.3 billion, or 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) decreased $5.0 billion, or less than 0.1 percent for the month. August’s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $22.7 billion, or 0.2 percent. By comparison, July’s personal income increased $17.1 billion, or 0.1 percent, DPI increased $14.4 billion, or 0.1 percent, and PCE increased $76.6 billion, or 0.7 percent.
 
Private wage and salary disbursements decreased $12.2 billion in August, in contrast to an increase of $23.8 billion in July. Goods-producing industries’ payrolls decreased $1.3 billion; manufacturing payrolls decreased $2.9 billion; services-producing industries’ payrolls decreased $10.9 billion; and government wage and salary disbursements increased $0.4 billion. Also, supplements to wages and salaries increased $1.1 billion in August, compared with an increase of $3.3 billion in July.
 
The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index remained essentially unchanged in September after a sharp decline in August. The Index now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from August’s 45.2. The Present Situation Index, how consumers think the economy is doing now, decreased to 32.5 from 34.3, and the Expectations Index, how they feel it will fare in the future, edged up to 54 from 52.4 last month.
 
“Consumer expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain,” said Lynn Franco, director of the Conference Board Consumer Research Center. “However, consumers expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”
 
In manufacturing, new orders for manufactured durable goods placed in August decreased $0.2 billion or 0.1 percent to $201.8 billion, the Census Bureau reported last week. The decrease followed a 4.1 percent July increase, but durable goods orders were down two of the last three months. Shipments of durable goods in August, down following three consecutive monthly increases, decreased $0.4 billion or 0.2 percent to $201.0 billion in August. This followed a 2.1 percent July increase.
 
Turning to employment, initial claims for jobless benefits for the week ending September 24 dropped to 391,000, a decrease of 37,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 428,000, according to the Employment and Training Administration. The four-week moving average was 417,000, a decrease of 5,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 422,250.
 
The total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending September 17 was 3,729,000, a decrease of 20,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,749,000. The four-week moving average was 3,743,000, a decrease of 4,500 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,747,500.
 
This week’s financial news kicks off today with August construction spending data from the Census Bureau, as well as new car and truck sales for September from the auto manufacturers.
 
Tomorrow, the Census Bureau releases September’s factory orders and on Thursday the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claims for last week.
 
The week closes up with August consumer credit from the Federal Reserve; wholesale inventories for August from the Census Bureau; and September unemployment rate, hourly earnings, payrolls and average workweek data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: September 26, 2011
September 26, 2011

Even with large regional disruptions such as Hurricane Irene, sales of existing homes were still up for the month of August, the National Association of REALTORS® reported last week.
 
Completed sales of single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, rose 7.7 percent to an annual rate of 5.03 million units in August from an upwardly revised 4.67 million in July, and are 18.6 percent higher than the 4.24 million unit level in August 2010.

“Some of the improvement in August may result from sales that were delayed in preceding months, but favorable affordability conditions and rising rents are underlying motivations,” said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun. “Investors were more active in absorbing foreclosed properties. In addition to bargain hunting, some investors are in the market to hedge against higher inflation.”
 
Construction permits issued for new private housing were up in August, the Census Bureau reported last week. Permits issued for new private housing were at an annual rate of 620,000, which was 3.2 percent over July’s revised July rate of 601,000 and is 7.8 percent over August 2010′s estimate of 575,000. Permits for single-family homes in August were at a rate of 413,000, which was 2.5 percent above the revised July’s rate of 403,000.
 
Starts on construction of private housing in August, however, dipped to an annual rate of 571 000, which was 5 percent below July’s revised estimate of 601,000 and is 5.8 percent below August 2010′s rate of 606,000. Starts on single-family homes for August were at a rate of 417,000, which was 1.4 percent below July’s revised rate of 423,000.
 
Completions of housing construction during August were also down, with finished housing dropping to an annual rate of 623,000, which was 2.7 percent below the July’s revised estimate of 640,000. That said, it was 2.6 percent over August 2010′s rate of 607,000. Completions of single-family homes in August skirted down to a rate of 477,000, which was just 0.2 percent below July’s revised rate of 478,000.
 
Initial jobless claims were down for the week ending Sept. 17, dropping 9,000 to 423,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. That said, the four-week moving average gained 500 to 421,000.
 
The total number of unemployed workers covered by insurance during the week ending Sept. 10 was 3,727,000, a decrease of 28,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,755,000. The four-week moving average dropped to 3,742,000, a decrease of 6,500 from the preceding week.
 
This week sees a busy calendar of financial headlines starting today with August’s new home sales from the Census Bureau. The Conference Board follows tomorrow with its September’s consumer confidence report, and Wednesday the Census Bureau releases durable goods orders for August.
 
On Thursday the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claims data for last week, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis releases its third estimate for second quarter gross domestic product.
 
The week wraps up on Friday with August’s personal income and expenditures from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, and September consumer sentiment data from the University of Michigan’s Survey of Consumers.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: September 19, 2011
September 19, 2011

Last week’s big economic newsmaker was the national poverty rate, which hit 15.1 percent for 2010. This is a historic high in the number of impoverished Americans, according to the Census Bureau’s latest report on poverty in American, which was released last Tuesday.
 
Last year’s poverty rate was up from 2009′s 14.3 percent rate and marked the third consecutive annual increase. There were 46.2 million Americans in poverty in 2010, up from 43.6 million in 2009 — the fourth consecutive annual increase and the largest number of Americans living below the poverty line since the Census Bureau first started collecting poverty figures in 1959.

The Bureau also reported that real median household income in the United States in 2010 was $49,445, a 2.3 percent decline from the 2009 median. Since 2007, the year before the most recent recession, real median household income has declined 6.4 percent and is 7.1 percent below the median household income peak that occurred in 1999, prior to the 2001 recession, the Bureau reported. This marked the first time since the Great Depression that median household income, adjusted for inflation, did not rise for an extended period.
 
“This is truly a lost decade,” Harvard economics professor Lawrence Katz told the New York Times. “We think of America as a place where every generation is doing better, but we’re looking at a period when the median family is in worse shape than it was in the late 1990s.”
 
Also worth noting, the number of Americans without health insurance coverage rose from 49 million in 2009 to 49.9 million in 2010, but the overall percentage of those without coverage remained at 16.3 percent (the same percentage as in 2009), according to the Census report.
 
In more immediate data, retail sales for August hit $389.5 billion, virtually unchanged from the previous month and 7.2 percent above August 2010, according to advanced estimates from the Census Bureau.
 
Total sales for the June through August 2011 period were up 7.9 percent from the same period a year ago. Retail trade sales were up 0.1 percent from July 2011, and 7.5 percent above last year. Gasoline station sales were up 20.8 percent from August 2010 and non-store retailers sales were up 10.4 percent from last year.
 
In related news, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent in August, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. The seasonally adjusted increase in the “all items” index was broad-based, with continuing increases in the indexes for gasoline, food, shelter and apparel. The gasoline index rose for the 12th time in the last 14 months and led to a 1.2 percent increase in the energy index, while the food index rose 0.5 percent, its largest increase since March.
 
Looking at producer costs, the Producer Price Index for finished goods was unchanged in August, the Bureau reported. A 1.1 percent increase in finished consumer foods prices and a 0.1 percent advance in the index for finished goods less foods and energy offset a 1.0 percent decrease in prices for finished energy goods.
 
The Producer Price Index for intermediate materials, supplies, and components fell 0.5 percent in August, the first decrease since July 2010. The Producer Price Index for crude materials for further processing moved up 0.2 percent in August.
 
Switching to employment, initial claims hit 428,000 for the week ending Sept 10, an increase of 11,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 417,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 419,500, an increase of 4,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 415,500.
 
The advance number for all insured unemployed workers during the week ending September 3 was 3,726,000, a drop of 12,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,738,000. The four-week moving average was 3,741,000, an increase of 1,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,739,750.
 
This week’s financial news kicks off with August housing construction starts and building permit totals from the Census Bureau on Tuesday. The real estate news continues Wednesday with existing home sales for August from the National Association of REALTORS®.
 
On Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration data releases initial jobless claims data for last week, and the Conference Board will release its leading economic indicators report for August to close out the week.

Posted in Economic Roundup



The Pros and Cons of Paying Off Your Mortgage Early
September 14, 2011

Given current economic pressures, many people are trying to erase debt from their financial picture and focus on saving and safer investments. Americans are paying down their credit cards and cautiously borrowing money. Not surprisingly, paying down the home mortgage has become an attractive option for people in a financial position to do so.


However, paying off your mortgage isn’t necessarily something you always want to do. It turns out there are various considerations you should weigh to decide whether paying off your mortgage is the right move. Let’s take a look at some of the factors that could influence your decision:

Do you have other debt?

If you are still paying off a car or carrying credit card debt, then paying off your mortgage shouldn’t necessarily be your first concern. It all comes down to interest rates. Chances are your mortgage carries the lowest interest rate you have. Why prioritize paying off a loan at a much lower interest rate when you should be prioritizing paying off more expensive loans, such as credit cards?

Peace of mind.

For many, paying off the mortgage brings a psychological benefit. It’s true for many people that they are not happy when they owe money; it represents an insecure state of personal finances for them. That’s completely understandable, but curbing an emotional response to consider how you can best make your money work for you is probably the best way to go. For some, that could indeed be to pay off the mortgage. For others, it might make more sense to stick to the original term of the loan. The best rational outcome should ultimately prove the most psychologically satisfying.

Taxes.

If you pay off your loan early, you will lose the ability to write off the mortgage interest you have paid during the tax year. That can amount to a considerable deduction. However, don’t be oversold on this issue. If you don’t itemize your deductions, or are confident that you won’t be itemizing by the time you pay off your loan early, then this might not apply.*

Make sure to do the math.

As mentioned, your money should be working for you, so you need to take a moment and determine the most beneficial way to use your capital. Paying down your mortgage is one way, but can you get that money to perform better for you through investing? Whichever is the higher rate will be the strategy you want to pursue. Then again, you also need to factor in the taxes that will come into play if your investments pay off. How will capital gains taxes fit into the equation?

Remember that your home is an investment.

The equity you place in your home will most likely pay you back quite well. While the real estate market has dips, it has been on an upward trend in the broader sense. Moreover, if you pay off your home, you’ve now eliminated a major expense from your retirement budget, which means you’ll need less money to retire. That said, you are sacrificing diversification and the ability to rapidly respond to new opportunities.

Inflation can work for you, believe it or not.

Working on the assumption that there will be inflation in the coming years, what you pay now as a mortgage payment will be relatively less in 10, 20 or 30 years. So if you pay off early, you lose the opportunity to have inflation actually work to your benefit for a change.

Putting yourself in a less secure situation with a lender.

It sounds counter-intuitive, but paying off a mortgage can actually hamper your flexibility to make your money work for you, because your money has gone to your lender, as opposed to an investment where it can work for you and from which you can draw income. In today’s employment landscape, that’s an important consideration.

As you can see, deciding whether or not to pay off your loan early is not a cut-and-dried decision by any stretch. It requires a long, careful look at the numbers and potential life scenarios to determine the smart play. For some it will be to pay off the loan early, and for others paying the loan off in its original term is the way to go.

If you’re considering paying off your loan early, I’d love to review all the considerations with you so that you can make the right decision for you. Simply contact me using the information on this message, and I’ll be happy to help you carefully consider the pros and cons.

* WJB is not a tax advisory firm. The information contained in this article is for informational purposes only and may not reflect current tax year rules and regulations. Consult your tax advisor or the IRS for current tax year rules, restrictions and regulations.

Posted in WJB Insight



Economic Roundup: September 12, 2011
September 12, 2011

President Obama’s $447 billion American Jobs Act is a package of cuts, spending and state aid intended to goose the economy and get the nation back on track for growth. We’ll see how this plays out — if the plan passes both houses — in the next few months, but questions remain about how long it will actually take to feel any real benefit from the plan.
 
Economic challenges probably contributed to consumer borrowing taking an unexpectedly large upturn in July, with overall consumer credit increasing by $12 billion for the month, according to the Federal Reserve’s latest data, released last week. This was more than double what analysts had expected for the month’s findings and was the largest single-month gain in nearly three years.

Use of revolving credit, such as credit cards, decreased at an annual rate of 5.25 percent, while consumer use of non-revolving credit, such as student or car loans, increased at an annual rate of 11.25 percent. This was the largest increase in non-revolving debt since November 2001.
 
“The softness in revolving credit is indicative of a cautious consumer,” said Joshua Shapiro, chief U.S. economist at Maria Fiorini Ramirez Inc.
 
Looking at employment, initial jobless claims were on the rise. For the week ending September 3, initial claims hit 414,000, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 412,000. The four-week moving average was 414,750, an increase of 3,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 411,000.
 
The total number for insured unemployed during the week ending August 27 was 3,717,000, a decrease of 30,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,747,000. The four-week moving average was 3,734,500, an increase of 5,500 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,729,000.
 
In international trade, total July exports totaled $178 billion and imports reached $222.8 billion, resulting in a goods and services deficit of $44.8 billion, which was down from $51.6 billion in June, the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported last week. July exports were $6.2 billion more than June exports of $171.8 billion. July imports were $0.5 billion less than June imports of $223.4 billion.
 
July’s decrease in imports of goods reflected decreases in industrial supplies and materials ($2.5 billion); other goods ($1.0 billion); and foods, feeds, and beverages ($0.3 billion). Increases occurred in automotive vehicles, parts, and engines ($2.9 billion); capital goods ($0.3 billion); and consumer goods ($0.1 billion).
 
This week sees a busier financial calendar starting tomorrow with import and export prices for August from the Census Bureau and the August Treasury budget from the Treasury Department.
 
Wednesday follows with August’s producer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistic, as well as August retail sales figures and July’s business inventories, both from the Census Bureau.
 
The Bureau of Labor Statistics Thursday releases August’s consumer price index, and the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claim data for last week. Also on Thursday, the Federal Reserve will release August’s industrial production and capacity utilization totals to close out the week’s economic news.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: September 5, 2011
September 5, 2011

Once again jobs news leads the headlines, with the revelation that last month no new jobs were added to the economy, the first time that’s happened in nearly a year. We also learned that unemployment is stuck at 9.1 percent, and is not expected to dip below 9 percent until later in 2012. July’s employment numbers were also revised down to 85,000 new jobs added, rather than the 117,000 that were originally projected.
 
July did see some good news for income, with personal income up by $42.4 billion, or 0.3 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increasing $32.5 billion, or 0.3 percent, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported last week.

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) also increased, up $88.4 billion, or 0.8 percent, the Bureau reported. Real disposable income (adjusted to remove price changes) decreased 0.1 percent in July, in contrast to an increase of 0.3 percent in June. Real PCE (adjusted to remove price changes) increased 0.5 percent, compared with a decrease of less than 0.1 percent in June.
 
Private wage and salary disbursements increased $24.3 billion in July, as well, compared with an increase of $8.9 billion in June, the Bureau reported. Goods-producing industries’ payrolls increased $3.7 billion, in contrast to a decrease of $0.3 billion in June; and manufacturing payrolls increased $3.6 billion, in contrast to a decrease of $0.9 billion in June. Services-producing industries’ payrolls increased $20.5 billion, compared with an increase of $9.2 billion in June. Government wage and salary disbursements decreased $0.1 billion in July, which was unchanged from June.
 
Those increases helped lead to increased consumer confidence in July, but sadly that confidence took a downturn in August, the Conference Board reported last week. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index plummeted to 44.5 (1985=100), down from 59.2 in July. The Present Situation Index (how consumers feel about the current economy) decreased to 33.3 from 35.7, and the Expectations Index (how they feel the economy will go) decreased to 51.9 from 74.9 last month.
 
“Consumer confidence deteriorated sharply in August, as consumers grew significantly more pessimistic about the short-term outlook,” said Says Lynn Franco, director of the Conference Board’s Consumer Research Center.
 
Construction spending for July saw a slight dip, dropping 1.3 percent to an annual rate of $789.5 billion, from June’s revised estimate of $799.8 billion. The July figure is 0.1 percent above the July 2010 estimate of $789 billion.
 
Spending on private construction was at an annual rate of $514.5 billion, 0.9 percent below June’s revised estimate of $519.0 billion. Residential construction was at an annual rate of $248.1 billion in July, 1.4 percent below the revised June estimate of $251.7 billion.
 
First-time claims for jobless benefits saw a sizable drop for the week ending Aug. 27, decreasing 12,000 to 409,000 from the previous week’s 421,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 410,250, an increase of 1,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 408,500.
 
The total number of insured unemployment during the week ending August 20 was 3,735,000, a drop of 18,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,753,000. The four-week moving average was 3,726,000, a decrease of 3,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,729,250.
 
This week sees a light financial calendar, due to the long Labor Day weekend. On Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration will release initial jobless claims figures for last week, and the Census Bureau will release July’s trade balance data.
 
On Friday, the Federal Reserve will release July’s consumer credit figures, and the Census Bureau will release July’s wholesale inventories.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: August 29, 2011
August 29, 2011

Investors had been hoping for Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to announce a new round of Quantitative Easing in his speech at the Economic Symposium in Wyoming Friday, but only received some hints that QE3 may be in the works for the September Fed meeting.
 
“The Federal Reserve has a range of tools that could be used to provide additional monetary stimulus. We discussed the relative merits and costs of such tools at our August meeting,” said Bernanke, adding, “We will continue to consider those and other pertinent issues, including of course economic and financial developments, at our meeting in September.” So, the door is still open for more Fed stimulus, but nothing set yet. Earlier this month the Fed did announce that short-term interest rates would remain near zero through 2012 and 2013.

Turning to the housing market, new home sales dropped to their lowest level in six months, according to the latest figures from the Census Bureau released last week. Sales of new single-family homes in July 2011 dropped to an annual rate of 298,000, the Bureau reported. This marked a 0.7 percent drop from June’s revised June rate of 300,000. That said, it was 6.8 percent above July 2010′s estimate of 279,000.
 
In terms of price, the median sales amount for new houses sold in July was $222,000, and the average sales price was $272,300. The estimate of new homes for sale at the end of July was 165,000, which represented a 6.6-month supply at the current sales rate.
 
“Without any meaningful job growth, we’re going to continue to look at a housing sector that is moribund,” Eric Green, chief market economist at TD Securities Inc., told Bloomberg.
 
Where jobs were concerned, the tough market might continue. The number of initial jobless claims for the week ending August 20 jumped by 5,000 to 417,000, according to last week’s release from the Employment and Training Administration. The four-week moving average was 407,500, an increase of 4,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 403,500.
 
However, the total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending August 13 dropped to 3,641,000, a decrease of 80,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,721,250. The four-week moving average was 3,701,000, a decrease of 19,500 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,720,750.
 
Meanwhile, new orders for manufactured durable goods in July increased $7.7 billion or 4.0 percent to $201.5 billion, the Census Bureau reported last week. The increase followed a 1.3 percent drop in June. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.7 percent. Excluding defense, new orders increased 4.8 percent. The largest increase was seen by transportation equipment, which saw a $6.7 billion increase, or 14.6 percent, to $53.0 billion. This was led by non-defense aircraft and parts which increased $3.2 billion.
 
Shipments of manufactured durable goods in July, up seven of the last eight months, increased $5.0 billion or 2.5 percent to $202.2 billion. This followed a 1.1 percent June increase. However, inventories of manufactured durable goods were at an all-time high in July. Up 19 consecutive months, inventories increased $2.9 billion or 0.8 percent to $361 billion. This was at the highest level since 1992, and followed a 0.6 percent June increase.
 
This week sees a number of financial headlines, starting today with personal income and spending for July from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This is followed tomorrow by July’s consumer confidence data from The Conference Board.
 
Wednesday the Census Bureau releases its data for July’s factory orders, and Thursday the Employment and Training Administration releases its totals for initial jobless claims for last week. Also on Thursday will be new car and truck sales for August from the auto manufacturers; July’s construction spending from the Census Bureau; and second quarter non-farm productivity and labor costs from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
 
This week’s financial news wraps up on Friday with August’s unemployment rate, payrolls, hourly earnings and average work week from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: August 15, 2011
August 15, 2011

Last week the markets continued their wild swings, leaving many investors asking themselves if volatility would be the new norm, at least for a while, on Wall Street. During the week, the Dow saw many ups and downs, dropping 634 points on Monday and 519 points on Wednesday, but skyrocketing by 429 points on Tuesday and 423 points on Thursday. By the end of the day Friday stocks had made a modest gain and held tight.
 
The huge swings definitely had investors spooked, with the Chicago Board Options Exchange’s Market Volatility Index (VIX) — a weighted blend of prices for a range of options on the S&P 500 index commonly referred to as the “fear index” — showing equally scary shifts during the week. For example, on Monday the VIX closed at a two-year high of 48, then dropped a history-making 27% on Tuesday, and then increased 26 percent to 42.99 on Wednesday. If anything, fear on the market seems to be begetting one thing: more fear.

“People are afraid of things that could happen rather than things that have already occurred,” Adam Sussman, director of research at financial data firm Tabb Group, told the Los Angeles Times.
 
Meanwhile, labor productivity for the second quarter showed some slight contraction, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Nonfarm business sector labor productivity decreased at a 0.3 percent annual rate during the second quarter, the Bureau reported last week. Output and hours worked rose 1.8 percent and 2.0 percent, respectively.
 
That said, over the longer term, productivity is still on an upswing. For the second quarter of 2010 to the second quarter of 2011, output increased 2.5 percent while hours rose 1.6 percent, yielding an increase in productivity of 0.8 percent.
 
Manufacturing was hit relatively hard, with the sector showing a productivity drop-off of 2.0 percent in the second quarter of 2011, as output rose 0.6 percent and hours increased 2.6 percent. Durable goods manufacturing had a particularly tough time as well, with productivity falling 3.5 percent. During the second quarter, that sector saw a 5.1 percent increase in hours outpace a 1.4 percent increase in output. In contrast, nondurable goods manufacturing productivity increased 1.2 percent as hours decreased faster than output.
 
June sales for merchant wholesalers, except for branches and sales offices, hit $395.8 billion, which was up 0.6 percent from May’s revised level and 15.4 percent from the June 2010 level, according to the latest figures from the Census Bureau. Notable performances were durable goods, which were up 1.6 percent, and motor vehicles, which were up 8.7 percent.
 
Meanwhile, wholesale inventories were also up 0.6 percent from May, putting the months’ total value at $459.7 billion. June’s inventories were up 15.8 percent from June 2010. Again, durable goods and motor vehicles were notable sectors, with inventories for each up 1.3 percent and 4.3 percent, respectively. Combined, the inventory-to-sales ratio was 1.16, the same level for a year ago, the Bureau reported.
 
“Inventories are likely desired at a much lower level so they’re probably excessive given new expected future economic growth,” said Robert Brusca, president of Fact & Opinion Economics, in a public statement. “That’s one of the reason we’re seeing the manufacturing industry wind down.”
 
Turning to employment, initial claims for jobless benefits for the week ending August 6 dropped slightly to 395,000, a decrease of 7,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 402,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 405,000, a decrease of 3,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 408,250.
 
The total of insured unemployed workers during the week ending July 30 was 3,688,000, a decrease of 60,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,748,000, the administration added. The four-week moving average was 3,718,750, a decrease of 15,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,734,000.
 
This week’s economic headlines start off tomorrow with figures on housing construction starts and permits for July and export and import prices for July, both from the Census Bureau. Also on Tuesday, the Federal Reserve will release industrial production and capacity utilization data for July.
 
On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release July’s producer price index, and will release the consumer price index for July on Thursday. Thursday will also see initial jobless claims data for last week from the Employment and Training Administration; existing home sales totals for July from the National Association of REALTORS®; and leading economic indicators for July from The Conference Board.

Posted in Economic Roundup



Surveying Today’s Real Estate Opportunities
August 11, 2011

If you are thinking of entering the real estate market, whether as a newcomer or after having taken a break, it’s important to understand some of the new developments that have occurred since the recent market upheaval and how you can use those changes to your advantage to make good choices and solid investments that are right for you and your financial goals.

Whether you’re looking to buy an investment property, second home or even a primary residence there are some new property options that are well worth exploring. Three types of properties that have become very prevalent in today’s real estate market are short sales, foreclosures and REOs. If you’ve never had to deal with buying such a property, your initial reaction might be that the sale will be complicated or protracted, but that’s not necessarily the case.

The common thread for all these types of properties is that the lender has some level of involvement in the sale of the property, rather than just an individual owner. Because so many homeowners owe more than their home is worth or have been unable to keep up with their mortgage payments, it’s not surprising that more of these properties are being listed.

Let’s take a closer look at short sales, foreclosures and REOs to clear up any misconceptions and to demonstrate that these are every bit as solid an opportunity as any other home sale:

Short sales.
In a short sale, a homeowner who has experienced some kind of financial hardship and cannot afford to pay the mortgage and the lender that sold them the mortgage enter into an agreement in which the home will be sold for less than the balance of the loan. This represents a good opportunity for the buyer, because the home will be more competitively priced.

Now, you might have heard that short sales are time-consuming and can end in frustration. That’s no longer the case in most instances, thanks to rules that went into effect under the Department of Treasury’s Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives Program (HAFA), which have streamlined the process.

In a short sale, you should work with an agent that has some expertise in short sales (the National Association of REALTORS® offers a special certification, in fact). You make your offer directly with the seller’s agent, who coordinates with the seller’s lender. Not long ago a short sale could drag on for months, leaving the buyer and seller in limbo while the lender took its time making decisions; new laws have significantly cut down on the wait time and many short sales are accomplished within a much shorter time frame now.

Foreclosures.
Foreclosure is a little more tricky. A home goes into foreclosure when the current owner defaults on his or her mortgage. The home can then go into a foreclosure auction, where it is possible to bid on the home. There is a minimum bid the lender is asking for. Winners must pay the full amount of the winning bid at auction. For a typical homebuyer, this is usually not a realistic scenario.

Any unsold auction property reverts back to the lender and becomes an REO, or real-estate owned property, and the lender must find another way to sell it.

REOs.
When a home is put up for sale in a foreclosure auction but is not sold, it becomes an REO. The lender repossesses it, owns it and needs to sell it. Often, REOs represent a good opportunity for prospective buyers, because lenders aren’t in the business of owning homes, so they are motivated to sell.

That said, remember that the lender is still in the game to get the most money it can for the property, and many lending institutions operate departments that oversee their REO properties and take offers on them. Typically, both the lender and the buyer are represented by real estate agents.

REOs are usually somewhat maintained, but can be rough around the edges and need some sizable repairs. This can have a bearing on price. While you will be able to conduct an inspection of the home as you would in any real estate transaction, REOs are often sold “as is,” so if the inspection uncovers costly necessary repairs, the terms of your offer might change.

Perhaps the most important thing to keep in mind when it comes to short sales, foreclosures and REOs is that while they represent excellent home-buying opportunities, they are not fire sales. The sellers, whether the owner or the lender, want to get the most money possible for the property, so it is important to manage your expectations about what constitutes a good bargain.

As you can see, there’s nothing mysterious or hard to understand about these different types of properties in today’s real estate market. I’d love to answer any questions you might have about how these types of properties, and discuss how they can provide solid opportunities for anyone in the market.

Contact me using the information accompanying this newsletter to learn more.

Posted in WJB Insight



Economic Roundup: August 8, 2011
August 8, 2011

The largest economic headline maker was the massive selloff in the markets last week. A large unloading of stocks that started in Europe on Thursday intensified in the United States in the wake of the budget agreement that was struck by Congress and signed into law by President Obama on Tuesday. At the end of trading on Thursday, the Dow had dropped 512.76 points, the largest single-day plummet it has suffered since the mortgage crisis of 2008.
 
The big question on market watchers’ minds is whether or not there are any efforts being made by the Fed to bolster the economy in the face of the drop. However, the most recent word on the subject from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke was that while the Fed was willing to step in to negate the impact of any major downturn, it expected a turnaround in the second half and wasn’t yet ready for any stimulus or similar efforts. Whether or not the Fed will change its tune in the face of last week’s sell-off remains to be seen.

Meanwhile, personal income for June skirted up while spending dipped. June personal income increased $18.7 billion, or 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $16.3 billion, or 0.1 percent, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported last week. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased $21.9 billion, or 0.2 percent.
 
Personal outlays (PCE, personal interest payments and personal current transfer payments) decreased $22.6 billion in June. Personal saving (DPI less personal outlays) was $620.6 billion in June, and personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income was 5.4 percent in June.
 
In terms of wages and salaries, private wage and salary disbursements decreased $2.2 billion in June, in contrast to an increase of $15.0 billion in May. Goods-producing industries’ payrolls decreased $1.8 billion in June; manufacturing payrolls decreased $2.1 billion; and services-producing industries’ payrolls decreased $0.3 billion. Supplements to wages and salaries (such as rental and personal income) increased $1.5 billion in June.
 
“If the recovery is ever going to gain speed, it will have to come from households deciding they want to spend money again,” said Joel Naroff, president and founder of economic consulting firm Naroff Economic Advisors. “Of course, to be able to spend a lot of money you need to make a lot of money and income growth is extremely weak.”
 
In housing, construction spending for June hit an annual rate of $772.3 billion, a 0.2 percent hike over May’s revised estimate of $770.5 billion, but 4.7 percent below the June 2010 estimate of $810.4 billion, according to the latest figures from the Census Bureau released last week.
 
Spending on private construction was at an annual rate of $493.4 billion, 0.8 percent over May’s revised estimate of $489.6 billion, and residential construction dropped to an annual rate of $235.8 billion in June, 0.3 percent below May’s revised estimate of $236.5 billion. Overall, construction spending for the year is tapering back. During the first six months of this year, construction spending amounted to $357.5 billion, 5.4 percent below the $377.9 billion for the same period in 2010.
 
The jobs report returned better numbers than expected for July, with the Labor Department report noting that 117,000 jobs were added to the economy in July and the unemployment rate ticked down 0.1 percent to 9.1 percent. For the week ending July 30, initial claims for jobless benefits dipped slightly to 400,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 401,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported. The four-week moving average was 407,750, a decrease of 6,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 414,500.
 
The total number of insured unemployed workers for the week ending July 23 rose to 3,730,000, an increase of 10,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,720,000. The four-week moving average was 3,729,750, an increase of 4,500 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,725,250.
 
This week, the financial headlines start tomorrow with non-farm worker productivity and costs data for the second quarter of this year from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This is followed Wednesday by wholesale inventory data for June from the Census Bureau. The Treasury Department also releases its July budget data on Wednesday.
 
Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration will release initial jobless claim data for last week, and the Census Bureau will distribute its trade balance figures for June. The Bureau will follow that on Friday with its retail sales data for July and business inventory figures for June.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: August 1, 2011
August 1, 2011

Last week started off with news that consumer confidence had rebounded in July. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index, which had dropped in June, increased to 59.5 for July (1985=100), up from June’s 57.6, however, consumer sentiments for the month were a mixed bag.
 
The Present Situation Index, how consumers feel about the economy’s current status, decreased to 35.7 from 36.6, while the Expectations Index, how they feel it will fare in the future, rose to 75.4 from 71.6 last month. An improving short-term outlook helped drive the overall confidence index, but consumers still have their doubts, said Lynn Franco, director of The Conference Board’s Consumer Research Center.

“Consumers’ appraisal of current business and employment conditions, however, was less favorable as concerns about the labor market continue to weigh on consumers’ attitudes,” she said. “Overall, consumers remain apprehensive about the future, but some of the concern expressed last month has abated.”
 
Consumers stating business conditions are “good” decreased to 13.4 percent from 13.7 percent, while those claiming business conditions are “bad” increased to 39.0 percent from 38.4 percent. Consumers’ appraisal of the job market also fell, with those claiming jobs are “hard to get” increased to 44.1 percent from 43.2 percent, while those stating jobs are “plentiful” remained unchanged at 5.1 percent.
 
In terms of short-term outlook, the proportion of consumers expecting business conditions to improve over the next six months increased to 17.7 percent from 16.5 percent, but those anticipating business conditions will worsen also increased, to 15.2 percent from 14.9 percent.
 
New home sales took a slight dip in June, with sales of new single-family houses skirting downward to an annual rate of 312,000, according to estimates released last week by the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This marked a 1 percent drop from May’s revised rate of 315,000, but was 1.6 percent over June 2010′s estimate of 307,000.
 
In terms of pricing, the median sales price of new houses sold in June was $235,200; and the average sales price was $269,000. The estimate of new homes for sale at the end of June was 164,000, which represents a supply of 6.3 months at the current sales rate.
 
Looking at manufacturing, new orders for durable goods decreased $4.0 billion (2.1 percent) in June to $192.0 billion, according to an advanced report released by the Census Bureau last week. The decrease followed a 1.9 percent increase in May. Durable goods orders have been down two of the last three months, including June. Transportation, also down two of the last three months, took the largest hit, with transportation equipment dropping $4.2 billion (8.5 percent) to $45.4 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders actually increased 0.1 percent.
 
Shipments of manufactured durable goods for June increased $1.0 billion (0.5 percent) to $196.0 billion, with machinery shipments, up four of the last five months, posting the largest gain, $0.7 billion (2.6 percent) to $29.1billion, the bureau reported. Unfilled orders for manufactured durable goods for June increased $2.1 billion or 0.2 percent to $862.7 billion, with machinery once again the strong performer; up $2.1 billion (2.0 percent) to $111.2 billion. Inventories of manufactured durable goods in June, increased $1.6 billion (0.4 percent) to $357.2 billion.
 
Encouragingly, initial claims for jobless benefits for the week ending July 23 dropped to 398,000, a decrease of 24,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 422,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported. The four-week moving average dipped to 413,750, a drop of 8,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 422,250.
 
The total number of insured unemployment during the week ending July 16 dropped to 3,703,000, a decrease of 17,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,720,000. The four-week moving average was 3,721,000, a decrease of 5,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,726,250.
 
This week will see a busy calendar of economic headlines, starting today with June’s construction spending figures from the Census Bureau. Tomorrow follows with June’s personal income and expenditures from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, as well as car and truck sales for July from the auto manufacturers.
 
Wednesday, the Census Bureau will release June’s factory orders and on Thursday the Employment and Training Administration will release initial jobless claims data for last week.
 
On Friday non-farm payrolls, hourly earnings, average workweek and the unemployment rate for July is released from the Bureau of Labor statistics, as well as June’s consumer credit figures from the Federal Reserve.

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: July 25, 2011
July 25, 2011

Last week presented a mixed bag of real estate news with a dip in existing home sales for June, but increased activity in new home permits and construction. Starting with existing homes, sales of single-family houses, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops dropped 0.8 percent in June to an annual rate of 4.77 million from May’s 4.81 million. This was 8.8 percent below the 5.23 million unit level in June 2010, according to the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR).
 
NAR chalked up June’s faltering to an unexpected spike in contract cancellations. Also, the Association noted that while the Midwest and South saw sales gains, that positive activity was offset by declines in the Northeast and West. Single-family home sales were stable, while the condo sector weakened. All in all, any recovery in real estate has been uneven, said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist.

“Home sales had been trending up without a tax stimulus, but a variety of issues are weighing on the market, including an unusual spike in contract cancellations in the past month,” he explained. “The underlying reason for elevated cancellations is unclear, but with problems including tight credit and low appraisals, 16 percent of NAR members report a sales contract was cancelled in June, up from 4 percent in May, which stands out in contrast with the pattern over the past year.”
 
While the existing home market saw poor performance, there was reason for optimism for June’s new home market. Building permits issued for private homes in June rose to an annual rate of 624,000, marking a 2.5 percent increase over May’s revise rate of 609,000, the Census Bureau reported. Permits for single-family homes hit a rate of 407,000, which was 0.2 percent over May’s revised rate of 406,000. June 2011 permits for all homes were 6.7 percent over the June 2010 estimate of 585,000.
 
Starts on construction of private housing for June were at a rate of 629,000, which was a whopping 14.6 percent over the revised May estimate of 549,000 and was 16.7 percent above June 2010′s rate of 539,000. Construction starts for single-family homes in June hit a rate of 453,000, which was 9.4 percent over May’s revised figure of 414,000.
 
While permits were up, completions on housing construction were down for June, posting a rate of 535,000. This was 1.7 percent below May’s revised estimate of 544,000 and was 39.3 percent below June 2010′s rate of 881,000. Single-family housing completions for June were at a rate of 436,000, which matched May’s revised rate of 436,000.
 
Initial claims for jobless benefits were up for the week ending July 16, after a decrease the previous week, according to the latest data from the Employment and Training Administration. Claims for the week hit 418,000, a jump of 10,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 408,000. The four-week moving average was 421,250, a decrease of 2,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 424,000.
 
The total number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending July 9 was 3,698,000, the Administration reported, a decrease of 50,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,748,000. The four-week moving average was 3,720,500, a decrease of 4,000 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,724,500.
 
While any recovery might be uneven, consumer sentiment was up for June, but by a smaller margin. The Leading Economic Index (LEI) for June increased 0.3 percent to 115.3 (2004 = 100), following a 0.8 percent increase in May, and a 0.3 percent decline in April, the Conference Board reported last week. (The LEI is a composite index of various leading, coincident and lagging economic indexes designed to give a better picture of the overall economy.)
 
This week’s financial calendar brings new home sales data for June from the Census Bureau. Also on Tuesday will be consumer confidence data for July from the Conference Board.
 
Wednesday will see durable goods order data for June from the Census Bureau, and the Employment and Training Administration follows on Thursday with initial jobless claims data for last week.
 
Friday will close out the week with Q2 gross domestic product data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and consumer sentiment data for July from the University of Michigan.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: July 18, 2011
July 18, 2011

After the rather shocking employment figures for June were released earlier this month, headlines regarding the state of U.S. jobs continued to dominate the news last week. Initial jobless benefit claims for the week ending July 9 were 405,000, an encouraging decrease of 22,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 427,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average was 423,250, a decrease of 3,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 427,000.

That said, the total number of unemployed workers with benefits for the week ending July 2 was 3,727,000, an increase of 15,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,712,000, the Administration reported. The four-week moving average was 3,719,250, an increase of 6,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,713,000.

Sales of retail and food services for June skirted upward to $387.8 billion, an increase of 0.1 percent from May, and 8.1 percent over June 2010, according to advance estimates released last week by the Census Bureau.

Notable segments of June’s gains were retail trade sales, which were up 0.2 percent from May; general merchandise stores’ sales, which increased 0.4 percent from May; and gasoline sales, which were up 0.3 percent from May.

Total sales for the April-through-June 2011 period were up 7.7 percent from the same period a year ago, and the increase in June after May’s drop was encouraging, but the overall pace of retail sales is slowing, prompting concerns from economists.

“Clearly the recent stalling in employment growth has forced households to be a bit more careful with their cash,” said Paul Dales, senior U.S. economist for Capital Economics.

Producer prices were down for June, with the producer price index for finished goods decreasing 0.4 percent for the month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. This decline followed increases of 0.2 percent in May and 0.8 percent in April.

For manufacturing, the Census Bureau also reported last week that the combined value of trade sales and manufacturers’ shipments for May was estimated to have dipped to $1.18 trillion, down 0.1 percent from April, but up 11.6 percent from May 2010. Meanwhile, manufacturers’ and trade inventories had ticked up to $1.51 trillion, a 1 percent increase from April, and up 11.6 percent from May 2010.

This put the total business inventories/sales ratio at 1.28 for May, which was unchanged from May 2010′s ratio.

Looking at international trade for that month, total May exports of $174.9 billion and imports of $225.1 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $50.2 billion, which was an increase from April’s $43.6 billion in April. May’s exports were $1.0 billion less than April’s exports of $175.8 billion. May’s imports were $5.6 billion more than April imports of $219.4 billion.

This week, the pace of financial news slows down a bit, with figures for June’s housing construction starts and building permits being released tomorrow by the Census Bureau.

The Housing news continues Wednesday with June’s existing home sales figures from the National Association of REALTORS®.

Initial jobless benefit claims for last week will be released on Thursday from the Employment and Training Administration, and the Conference Board will finish up this week on Thursday with its Leading Indicators index for June.

Posted in Economic Roundup



Don’t Wait to Leverage Your Purchasing Power
July 13, 2011

Did you know that your real estate purchasing power is at an all-time high? Whether you look at interest rates or the prices of homes or the overall affordability of today’s real estate, there may be no better time than now to make any real estate purchases you might have been considering.

Make no mistake, whether you are looking at trading up, purchasing an investment property or even moving into a new home, there are multiple compelling reasons to take action — and they won’t last forever. Let’s take a look at the cards stacked in your favor:

Interest Rates
Today’s interest rates are astonishingly low. Rates for 30-year fixed loans have been bouncing around between 4 and 5 percent over the last several months. This is significantly lower than the historic average. The average rate for 30-year fixed-rate loans over the last four decades has been 8.9 percent.

When rates are nearly half their typical average, you can rest assured that historic window of opportunity won’t stay open forever. In fact, it might be closing even now. Freddie Mac predicted earlier this year that the rate on 30-year fixed loans would reach 5.5 percent by the fourth quarter and average out at 5.8 percent during 2012.

Every quarter of a percent — even an eighth of a percent — will significantly downgrade your purchasing power. In fact, if you want to see the difference between what you could afford at today’s rates versus Freddie Mac’s projected increases, or the historic average, I would enjoy meeting with you to review some scenarios and show you the comparisons. I think you’ll find the results very eye-opening.

Of course, qualifying for loans might be tougher, but as long as long as your financials are sound and you are seeking a loan that is the right size for your income and down payment, home financing is extremely affordable and obtainable. And, again, even if rates were to increase to meet Freddie Mac’s projection, for example, your purchasing power would still be in amazing shape given the historic average.

Housing Prices
Not only are rates at historic lows, but housing prices are down. While home prices aren’t at the depths they were in April 2009 after the housing bubble burst, they are still very low, thanks to a glut of homes on the market.

According to the most recent S&P/Case-Shiller composite index of 20 metropolitan areas’ housing prices, prices for all U.S. single-family homes (new and existing) finally rose slightly in April after eight straight monthly drops, which could indicate that a new trend of rising home prices is beginning to take off. However, that rise only puts average home prices across the United States back to the levels of the summer of 2003, prior to the housing bubble’s dramatic takeoff in prices. So while home process are still incredibly low, they may not remain that way for much longer.

Overall Affordability
So when we put together interest rates and housing prices and compare them to average American incomes, what do we get? A historic era in terms of the overall affordability of real estate. Nationwide, the affordability of housing during the fourth quarter of 2010 hit its highest level in the 20 years that the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo have been tracking it in their joint Housing Opportunity Index (HOI).

Specifically, the record-setting index reported that 73.9 percent of all new and existing homes sold in the last quarter of 2010 were affordable to households earning the national median income of $64,400. Until 2009, the HOI rarely topped 65 percent and never reached 70 percent.

This marks the eighth quarter in a row in which the Index surpassed 70 percent, where prior to 2009 the Index rarely exceeded 65 percent. The economy might be seeing tough times, but where affordability is concerned this is a golden era for homebuyers that most likely will not come along again in our lifetimes.

It’s Time to Make Your Move
At the height of the housing boom, smart sellers knew when it was time to sell and make the most of their investments. Well, now we are at the opposite end of the spectrum and smart buyers are taking notice. Affordability is at a remarkable high; essentially we are at pre-bubble home prices but with post-bubble lending rates. Your purchasing power has never been better.

If you are investigating how you can capitalize on these market conditions before they change, I would love to sit down with you and assess your buying capabilities and how you can leverage them. Please don’t hesitate to contact me and let’s see how we can harness your true purchasing power.


Let me show you how much home you can afford now.
Let’s look at your options today.

Posted in WJB Insight



Economic Roundup: July 11, 2011
July 11, 2011

The U.S. jobs front saw the fewest gains in nearly a year as the economy added a paltry 18,000 jobs to non-farm payrolls in June, according to the Labor Department. Experts had expected the addition of 105,000 new positions.
 
The unemployment rate rose to 9.2 percent, the highest level this year and the third rise in three months. The government at all levels cut another 39,000 jobs in attempts to close budget gaps. Payroll data for April and May were revised downward, to show job increases of only 25,000 in May and 217,000 in April.

Coming off the Fourth of July holiday, last week saw a relatively light financial calendar, with retail sales gains in June reported. Bargain offers helped drive a 6.5 percent increase in sales for the month, according to the most recent Thomson Reuters same-store sales index, which tracks 25 prominent retail sales chains.
 
Some key performers were Costco (up 14 percent), Saks (up 11.9 percent), and Limited (up 12 percent). Also, luxury retailers had a strong showing, with sales up 12.5 percent at Neiman Marcus Inc., up 11.9 percent at Saks Inc. and up 7.9 percent at Nordstrom Inc.
 
Bargains were the chief driver for the June’s positive activity. Even while consumer sentiment might have been down for the month, Americans were still willing to take advantage of a good deal.
 
“It’s the type of momentum that the retailers would like to build and carry over into back-to-school,” Retail Metrics president Ken Perkins told the Los Angeles Times. “… It seems to suggest that we’re pulling out of a soft patch and there’s going to be a stronger second half of economic growth.”
 
On the manufacturing side of the economy, new orders for manufactured goods for May increased $3.5 billion or 0.8 percent to $445.3 billion, according to the latest data from the Census Bureau, released last week. The tick upward followed a 0.9 percent April decrease. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.2 percent.
 
Shipments also showed gains, increasing, $0.4 billion or 0.1 percent to $443.9 billion. This followed a 0.4 percent April decrease. Unfilled orders for May increased $7.7 billion or 0.9 percent to $860.9 billion. April saw a 0.6 percent increase.
 
This week sees a busy financial calendar, starting tomorrow with May’s trade balance figures from the Census Bureau. The Bureau follows Wednesday with the export and import prices for June. Also on Wednesday, the Treasury Department releases its June budget figures.
 
On Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration releases the initial jobless claims totals for last week. Thursday also see retail sales data for June and business inventories for May from the Census Bureau, as well as June’s producer price index the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
 
The BLS continues with June’s consumer price index on Friday, which will be accompanied by June industrial production and capacity utilization data from the Federal Reserve.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: July 4, 2011
July 4, 2011

Happy Fourth of July! Key financial news from last week included personal income and spending making less than expected gains in May, according to the latest findings released last week by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
 
Personal income for May increased $36.2 billion, or 0.3 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $29.2 billion, or 0.2 percent, for the month. Economists had been expecting a 0.4 gain for income. Meanwhile personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $4.6 billion, or less than 0.1 percent. By comparison, April’s personal income increased 0.3 percent, DPI increased 0.2 percent and PCE increased 0.3 percent.

With May’s somewhat flat income and spending figures, it’s not surprising that the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index decreased again in June after dropping in May, as well. The Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 58.5 for June (1985=100), down from 61.7 in May. The Present Situation Index, how consumers feel about the current economic status, decreased to 37.6 from 39.3. The Expectations Index, how consumers feel the economy will do in the future, declined to 72.4 from 76.7 last month.
 
“This month’s decline in consumer confidence was driven by a less favorable assessment of current conditions and continued pessimism about the short-term outlook,” said Lynn Franco, director of The Conference Board’s Consumer Research Center. “Consumers rated both current business and labor market conditions less favorably than in May, and fewer consumers than last month foresee conditions improving over the next six months. Inflation fears eased considerably in June, but concerns about income prospects increased. Given the combination of uneasiness about the economic outlook and future earnings, consumers are likely to continue weighing their spending decisions quite carefully.”
 
In employment news, initial claims for unemployment benefits ticked down to 428,000 for the week ending June 25, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. The four-week moving average edged slightly up to 426,750, an increase of 500 from the previous week’s average.
 
The total number of insured unemployed workers dropped down to 3,702,000 during the week ending June 18, a decrease of 12,000 from the preceding week’s level. The four-week moving average was 3,703,500, a decrease of 11,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,714,750.
 
This week’s financial news is light and starts tomorrow with data on May’s factory orders from the Census Bureau. On Thursday the Employment and Training Administration follows with initial jobless benefits claims for last week.
 
Friday closes out the week with June’s full unemployment data, payroll figures, average workweek and hourly earnings from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Also on Friday, the Census Bureau releases May’s wholesale inventories and the Federal Reserve releases May’s consumer credit figures.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: June 27, 2011
June 27, 2011

Various forces pushed existing home sales for May into a decline, the National Association of REALTORS® reported last week. Sales of single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops declined 3.8 percent to an annual rate of 4.81 million in May from April’s revised rate of 5 million. May’s figure was 15.3 percent below May 2010′s enviable 5.68 million pace, which was caused by an influx of new home buyers taking advantage of a home buyer tax credit.
 
The drop can be chalked up to a number of temporary influences, according to NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun:

“Spiking gasoline prices along with widespread severe weather hurt house shopping in April, leading to soft figures for actual closings in May,” he said. “Current housing market activity indicates a very slow pace of broader economic activity, but recent reversals in oil prices are likely to mitigate the impact going forward. The pace of sales activity in the second half of the year is expected to be stronger than the first half, and will be much stronger than the second half of last year.”
 
Regional factors also influenced sales, according to Yun, who noted that the “large decline in Midwestern existing-home sales can be attributed partly to the flooding and other severe weather patterns that occurred.”
 
Where home prices were concerned, the national median existing-home price for all housing types was $166,500 in May, down 4.6 percent from May 2010. Distressed homes, which are typically sold at a discount of roughly 20 percent, accounted for 31 percent of May’s sales, down from 37 percent in April (they were 31 percent in May 2010).
 
Sales of new homes also dipped during May, according to the latest data from the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development released last week. Sales of new single-family houses in May 2011 ticked down to an annual rate of 319,000, which was 2.1 percent below April’s revised rate of 326,000. That said, it was 13.5 percent over May 2010′s estimate of 281,000.
 
The median sales price of new houses sold in May was $222,600 and the average sales price was $266,400. An estimated 166,000 new houses were for sale at the end of May, representing a supply of 6.2 months at the current pace of sales, the Bureau noted.
 
First-time claims for unemployment benefits for the week ending June 18 jumped to 429,000, an increase of 9,000 from the previous week, according to figures released last week by the Employment and Training Administration. The four-week moving average was 426,250, unchanged from the previous week’s revised average.
 
That said, the total for insured unemployment during the week ending June 11 was 3,697,000, a slight dip of 1,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,698,000, the administration reported. The four-week moving average was 3,709,500, a decrease of 5,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,714,750.
 
This week’s financial headlines start today with personal income and spending data for May from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This is followed Tuesday with consumer confidence data for June from the Conference Board.
 
Thursday the Employment and Training Administration releases its initial jobless claims totals for last week. This week finishes big on Friday with the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment data for June, May’s construction spending totals from the Census Bureau and car and truck sales for June from the auto manufacturers.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: June 20, 2011
June 20, 2011

Retail sales for May appeared to take a slight dip, marking the first drop in U.S. retail performance in 11 months. Advance estimates for May’s retail sales dipped to $387.1 billion, a decrease of 0.2 percent from April, according to the latest figures released by the Census Bureau last week.
 
That said, May’s performance was still up from last year, ringing in at 7.7 percent above May 2010. Also, total sales for the March through May 2011 period were up 7.5 percent from the same period a year ago.

Poor car sales were the main cause of the drop, falling 2.9 percent. Excluding auto sales, core retail sales increased 3 percent. That said, gasoline stations were up 3 percent, as well.
 
“The better-than-expected core retail sales is the key data release this morning,” Standard Chartered’s U.S. economist David Semmens told England’s Financial Times. “It indicates that the U.S. consumer has the potential to recover from the gasoline-related hit.”
 
In related news, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in May on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. Over the last 12 months, the all-items index increased 3.6 percent before seasonal adjustment.
 
The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.3 percent in May, its largest increase since July 2008. Apparel, shelter, new vehicles and recreation were key contributors to the rise, gaining more in May than in April.
 
Notably, food prices were up for May, with the food at home index gaining 0.5 percent after four of the six major grocery store food group indexes increased, with the index for meats, poultry, fish and eggs rising the most.
 
Interestingly, while retail sales at gas stations were up, the gasoline index decreased for the first time since last June, the Bureau said. In fact, the overall energy index declined for the month.
 
The Producer Price Index (PPI) showed similar performance for May, with the PPI for finished goods rising 0.2 percent for the month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics also reported last week. While up, May’s PPI indicated a tapering in advances. May’s 0.2 percent gain followed increases of 0.8 percent in April and 0.7 percent in March.
 
In housing news for May, construction permits issued for private housing were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 612,000, the Census Bureau and Department of Housing reported last week. This marked an 8.7 percent gain over April’s revised rate of 563,000 and was 5.2 percent above the May 2010 estimate of 582,000. Permits for single-family home construction issued in May were at a rate of 405,000; this is 2.5 percent above the revised April figure of 395,000.
 
Construction starts on private homes in May reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 560,000, which was 3.5 percent over April’s revised estimate of 541,000, but was 3.4 percent below the May 2010 rate of 580,000. Starts on single-family homes in May were at a rate of 419,000, 3.7 percent over April’s revised figure of 404,000.
 
In employment news, first-time claims for unemployment insurance dipped to 414,000, a decrease of 16,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 430,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week. Despite the dip, the four-week moving average was 424,750, unchanged from the previous week’s revised average of 424,750.
 
Total insured unemployment during the week ending June 4 dropped to 3,675,000, a decrease of 21,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,696,000. The four-week moving average was 3,709,000, a decrease of 15,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,724,250.
 
This week has a somewhat light schedule of economic headlines, starting tomorrow with existing home sales figures for May from the National Association of REALTORS®.
 
The Census Bureau follows Thursday with new home sales data for May. Also on Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration will release initial jobless claims data for last week.
 
The week’s headlines wrap up Friday with Q1 GDP data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, and May’s durable goods orders from the Census Bureau.

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: June 13, 2011
June 13, 2011

Consumer credit increased for the seventh straight month in a row in April, with consumers racking up $2.428 trillion in total credit, a $6.25 billion jump from March’s total figure, the Federal Reserve reported last week.
 
Revolving debt, such as credit cards, for April dropped slightly to $790.1 billion from March’s $791.1 billion, but non-revolving debt such as home loans and school loans increased to $1.638 trillion over March’s $1.630 trillion. This increase was in line with auto sales and price data for the month, according to analysts and economists.

“The non-revolving component has increased nine months in a row and is consistent with the strong vehicle sales data we have seen over that period,” wrote Theresa Chen of Barclays Capital in an email statement about the Federal Reserve’s data.
 
Meanwhile April’s wholesale sales, except those of manufacturers’ branch offices, increased 0.3 percent from March to $393.5 billion, and were up a whopping 14.4 percent from the year prior, the Census Bureau reported last week. In terms of sales for specific wholesale segments, sales of durable goods were down 0.6 percent for the month; sales of lumber and construction materials were down 5 percent; sales of metals and minerals (except petroleum) were down 3.6 percent; sales of non-durable goods were up 0.9 percent; and sales of petroleum and petroleum products were up 2.3 percent.
 
Wholesalers’ total inventories for April were $44.7 billion, a 0.8 increase over March, and a 13.8 percent jump from March 2010. This put April’s inventory-to-sales ratio for wholesalers at 1.14, the exact same ratio they had in April 2010.
 
Moving to more up-to-the-minute statistics, first-time claims for unemployment insurance took an unexpected upturn for the week ending June 4, according to figures released by the Employment and Training Administration last week. While analysts had expected a sizable drop of roughly 5,000, claims instead jumped by 1,000 to 427,000 over the previous week’s figure of 426,000, the administration reported.
 
That said, the administration also noted last week that the four-week moving average was 424,000, a decrease of 2,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 426,750. The total number for insured unemployed workers during the week ending May 28 was 3,676,000, a decrease of 71,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,747,000. The four-week moving average was 3,719,250, a decrease of 29,000 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,748,250.
 
This week has a busy agenda of economic headlines slated, starting off tomorrow with May’s retail sales figures from the Census Bureau. The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases May’s producer price index that day, as well, and follows with that month’s consumer price index on Wednesday. Also on Wednesday, the Census Bureau will report May’s industrial production and business inventories, as well as the total capacity utilization for that month.
 
On Thursday the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless claims data for last week and the Census Bureau releases data for construction permit and housing starts for May. The week wraps on Friday with the Leading Economic Indicators index for May from the Conference Board.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: June 6, 2011
June 6, 2011

May saw mixed results for retail sales, according to the latest survey of various major retailers conducted by Thomson Reuters. While sales rose 4.9 percent in May, this was still below the 5.4 percent increase that investors were anticipating.
 
The lower-than-expected performance can be chalked up to higher food and gas prices, along with the stumbling economy and the reticent-to-purchase shoppers it has engendered.
 
“Our guests continue to shop cautiously in light of higher energy costs and inflationary pressures on their household budgets,” Target Chief Executive Gregg Steinhafel told Reuters.

Consumer confidence figures for May reflected the retail trend with the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index showing a distinct drop. The index for May plummeted to 60.8 (1985=100) from April’s 66. The Present Situation Index (how consumers feel about the current economy) decreased to 39.3 from 40.2 and the Expectations Index (how they feel the economy will fare in the future) declined to 75.2 from 83.2 last month.
 
“A more pessimistic outlook is the primary reason for this month’s decline in consumer confidence,” said Lynn Franco, director of the Conference Board Consumer Research Center. “Consumers are considerably more apprehensive about future business and labor market conditions as well as their income prospects. Inflation concerns, which had eased last month, have picked up once again. On the other hand, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined only modestly, suggesting no significant pickup or deterioration in the pace of growth.”
 
Auto sales for May reflected these trends with U.S. car and truck sales down 8.3 percent from April and 3.7 percent below the same period last year. A total of 1.1 million cars and trucks were sold in May, according to market watchers Autodata Corp.
 
Sales were hurt by a “trifecta” of variables that cut demand for new vehicles, according to J.D. Power & Associates analyst Jeff Schuster: rising prices from car makers, rising gas prices, and decreasing inventory.
 
Where employment was concerned, initial claims for unemployment benefits for the week ending May 28 totaled 422,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 428,000, according to the Employment and Training Administration. The four-week moving average was 425,500, a decrease of 14,000 from the previous week’s revised average of 439,500.
 
The advance number for total insured unemployment during the week ending May 21 was 3,711,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,712,000. The four-week moving average was 3,737,750, a decrease of 10,000 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,747,750.
 
Economic news will be light this week, with financial headlines kicking off Tuesday with April’s consumer credit data from the Federal Reserve.
 
This continues Thursday with initial jobless claim data for last week from the Employment and Training Administration. Also on Thursday, the Census Bureau will release April’s trade balance figures, as well as wholesale inventory figures for April.
 
The Census Bureaus trade news continues on Friday with export and import prices for May, and the Treasury Department will release its budget figures for May on that day as well.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: May 30, 2011
May 30, 2011

New home sales during April enjoyed an upward trend, according to the latest figures from the Census Bureau released last Tuesday. Sales of new single-family homes in April hit an annual rate of 323,000, which was 7.3 percent over the revised March rate of 301,000. That said, April’s rate was still 23.1 percent below April 2010′s estimate of 420,000.
 
The median sales price of new homes sold during April was $217,900, and the average sales price was $268,900. The seasonally adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of April was 175,000, which represents a supply of 6.5 months at the current sales pace.

The housing data was welcome news, but given the supply, could be better, said Michael Gapen, senior U.S. economist at Barclays Capital.
 
“This was a better-than-expected report, but at the same time I am hesitant to read too much into it,” Gapen told National Public Radio. “Total home sales remain well below their longer-term healthy levels.”
 
Meanwhile new orders to manufacturers for durable goods in April decreased $7.1 billion or 3.6 percent to $189.9 billion, the Census Bureau also reported. Orders have been down two of the last three months. April’s slip followed a 4.4 percent gain in March.
 
Transportation equipment, also down two of the last three months, had the largest decrease, $4.9 billion or 9.5 percent to $46.7 billion.
 
Shipments of factory orders were also off. After four consecutive monthly increases, shipments of manufactured durable goods in April decreased $2.0 billion or 1.0 percent to $194.9 billion. Conversely, inventories of manufactured durable goods continued their climb in April, with a $3.2 billion or 0.9 percent increase to $350.5 billion, marking 16 consecutive months of increases.
 
On the employment front, the Employment and Training Administration reported last week that for the week ending May 21, initial jobless benefit claims increased to 424,000, an increase of 10,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 414,000. The four-week moving average was 438,500, a decrease of 1,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 440,250.
 
The advance total for insured unemployment during the week ending May 14 was 3,690,000, according to the administration, a decrease of 46,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,736,000. The four-week moving average was 3,742,250, an increase of 7,750 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,734,500.
 
This week’s financial news starts rolling in tomorrow with May’s consumer confidence data from The Conference Board. Wednesday, will see April construction spending figures from the Census Bureau, and car and truck sales data for May from the auto manufacturers.
 
Thursday the Employment and Training Administration will release initial jobless claims data for this week and the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its revised first quarter productivity figures. The labor news will continue on Friday with non-farm payroll, hourly earnings and the unemployment rate for May from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Also on Friday, the Census Bureau will release April’s factory order figures.

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: May 23, 2011
May 23, 2011

Housing news dominated last week’s economic headlines, and perhaps the biggest news was that housing starts for April had retreated by a significant amount, according the latest information from the Census Bureau.
 
Construction starts for privately owned housing for April dropped to an annual rate of 523,000, which was a whopping 10.6 percent below the revised March estimate of 585,000, and 23.9 percent below the revised April 2010 rate of 687,000, according to the Bureau. Starts on single-family homes for April dipped to a rate of 394,000, which was 5.1 percent below the revised March figure of 415,000.

Construction permits for private housing units dropped to a rate of 551,000, which is 4 percent under March’s revised rate of 574,000 and 12.8 percent below the revised April 2010 estimate of 632,000. Permits for single-family homes dipped to a rate of 385,000, which is 1.8 percent below the revised March figure of 392,000.
 
April’s new housing starts and permits slip was paired with an easing in April’s existing home sales, according to last week’s news from the National Association of REALTORS®. Sales of existing single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops dropped 0.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.05 million in April from a downwardly revised 5.09 million in March, NAR reported. April’s figure was 12.9 percent below April 2010′s 5.8 million pace (sales had surged in April and May of last year thanks to the home buyer tax credit).
 
“Given the great affordability conditions, job creation and pent-up demand, home sales should be stronger,” NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun said of the underperforming market. “Although existing-home sales are expected to trend up unevenly through next year, unnecessarily tight credit is continuing to restrain the market, along with a steady level of low appraisals that result in contract cancellations.”
 
Reflecting the downward housing market, industrial production for April stalled out, according to the Federal Reserve. April’s industrial production went unchanged after March’s 0.7 percent increase.
 
April’s manufacturing production was a noticeable underperformer, dropping 0.4 percent after rising for nine consecutive months. The auto industry, for example, was hit hard: Total motor vehicle assemblies dropped from an annual rate of 9 million units in March to 7.9 million units in April, mainly because of parts shortages that resulted from the earthquake in Japan. Excluding motor vehicles and parts, factory production rose 0.2 percent in April.
 
That said, at 93.1 percent of its 2007 average, April’s total industrial production was still 5 percent over its 2010 level. The overall rate of capacity utilization for all industry production edged down 0.1 percent to 76.9 percent, a rate 3.5 percent below its average from 1972 to 2010.
 
Fortunately, last week’s news wasn’t all glum. For the week ending May 14, initial claims for jobless benefits dipped to 409,000, a decrease of 29,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 438,000, according to the Employment and Training Administration. The four-week moving average was 439,000, an increase of 1,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 437,750.
 
The total number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending May 7 was 3,711,000, a decrease of 81,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,792,000. The four-week moving average was 3,728,250, an increase of 750 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,727,500.
 
This week kicks off tomorrow with new home sales data for April, followed Wednesday with durable goods orders for April from the Census Bureau.
 
On Thursday the Bureau of Economic Analysis unveils its second estimate for first-quarter gross domestic product, and the Employment and Training Administration releases its initial jobless claims data for this week.
 
The week’s headlines wrap up Friday with personal income and expenditures data for April from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, and the University of Michigan releases its consumer sentiment data for May.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: May 16, 2011
May 16, 2011

Last week’s financial headlines saw mixed news for retailers, with April’s retail sales for U.S. food and service transactions hitting $389.4 billion, an increase of 0.5 percent and 7.6 percent above April 2010, according to the latest figures from the Census Bureau. That said, it was the weakest gain in nine months.
 
Total sales for the February-through-April 2011 period were up 8.1 percent from the same period a year ago. (The Bureau revised its previous February-to-March 2011 percent change from +0.4 percent to +0.9 percent.)
 
Gasoline was the prime mover in April’s retail sales. Sales at gasoline stations comprised roughly 10.5 percent of April’s sales, and marked a 2.7 percent gain for the month. The Bureau reported that gasoline station sales were up 21.8 percent from April 2010.

“Higher gas prices are starting to cut into discretionary spending but a wholesale retrenchment by consumers is not likely,” said David Resler, chief economist at Nomura Securities International Inc. in New York. “More jobs are being created. The outlook for the economy is one of moderate growth.”
 
Fuel prices also impacted producers. The Producer Price Index for finished goods rose 0.8 percent in April, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. This gain followed increases of 0.7 percent in March and 1.6 percent in February.
 
Roughly three quarters of April’s advance in the finished goods index could be chalked up to a 2.5 percent jump in prices for finished energy goods, the Bureau reported. Prices for both finished goods other than foods and energy and for finished consumer foods moved up 0.3 percent in April.
 
Fuel prices made their presence felt in international trade, as well. U.S. import prices increased 2.2 percent in April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week, noting that higher fuel, as well as non-fuel, prices contributed to the advance. Prices for U.S. exports also increased, by 1.1 percent in April.
 
Import fuel prices advanced 6.7 percent in April and accounted for roughly 80 percent of the overall increase in import prices, the Bureau reported. Notably, April’s 7.2 percent jump in petroleum prices more than offset a 2.7 percent drop in natural gas prices. Prices for import fuel rose 34.8 percent for the year ended in April, driven by a 36.8 percent advance in petroleum prices. In contrast, natural gas prices ticked down 0.1 percent over the past 12 months.
 
Looking at the balance of trade, total March exports of $172.7 billion and imports of $220.8 billion resulted in a deficit of $48.2 billion, up from $45.4 billion in February, according to the latest figures from the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis, which were released last week. March’s exports were $7.7 billion more than February’s exports of $165 billion and March’s imports were $10.4 billion more than February’s imports of $210.4 billion.
 
In employment news, new claims for unemployment benefits were still on the rise last week, but had tapered back from the previous week’s jump, according to the latest figures from the Employment and Training Administration. For the week ending May 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 434,000, a decrease of 44,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 478,000.
 
That said, the four-week moving average was 436,750, an increase of 4,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 432,250. The advance number for the total seasonally adjusted number of insured unemployed workers during the week ending April 30 was 3,756,000, an increase of 5,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,751,000. The four-week moving average was 3,718,500, an increase of 13,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,705,250.
 
Next week’s financial news starts rolling in on Tuesday with April housing starts and construction permit data from the Census Bureau. The Federal Reserve also releases industrial production and capacity utilization figures for April on that day.
 
On Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration releases initial jobless benefits claims data for this week; the National Association of REALTORS® releases existing home sales data for April; and the Conference Board rounds out the week with its leading indicators data for April.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: May 9, 2011
May 9, 2011

Construction spending was up for March, according to the latest figures from the Census Bureau, released last week. Construction spending during the month reached an annual rate of $768.9 billion, 1.4 percent above February’s revised estimate of $758.6 billion, but 6.7 percent below March 2010′s estimate of $824 billion.
 
Spending on private construction reached an annual rate of $476.1 billion, 2.2 percent above February’s revised estimate of $466 billion. Residential construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $229.1 billion in March, 2.6 percent over February’s revised estimate of $223.2 billion.

U.S. car and truck sales for April marked another monthly gain for auto makers, according to sales figures released by the manufacturers last week. Sales for April rose 18 percent, with U.S. and Korean brands gaining market share from Japanese manufacturers still reeling from their nation’s earthquake and tsunami disaster. April’s sales reached an annual sales rate of 13.2 million, marking the third month in a row that the annual rate topped 13 million.
 
Key performers were Kia, which enjoyed an amazing 57 percent increase; Hyundai, which posted a 40 percent sales increase; General Motors which rose 27 percent; Chrysler Group which chalked up a 23 percent gain; and Ford, which saw a 13 percent gain, and would have seen a 16 percent gain were it not for its underperforming Lincoln division and loss of its Mercury and Volvo divisions.
 
New orders placed in March for manufactured goods, increased $13.5 billion or 3 percent to $462.9 billion, marking a fifth consecutive monthly gain, the Census Bureau reported last week. March’s solid performance followed a 0.7 percent February increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 2.6 percent. Similarly, shipments in March, up seven consecutive months, increased $12.0 billion or 2.7 percent to $461.4 billion. This followed a 0.6 percent increase in February.
 
Inventories, up 14 of the last 15 months, increased $6.3 billion or 1.1 percent to $572.3 billion. This followed a 1 percent February increase. This put March’s inventories-to-shipments ratio at 1.24, down from 1.26 in February.
 
In related news, nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased at a 1.6 percent annual rate during the first quarter of 2011, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. The gain in productivity reflects increases of 3.1 percent in output and 1.4 percent in hours worked. From the first quarter of 2010 to the first quarter of 2011, output increased 3.2 percent while hours rose 1.9 percent, yielding an increase in productivity of 1.3 percent, the Bureau said.
 
Unit labor costs in nonfarm businesses rose 1 percent in the first quarter of 2011, as a 2.6 percent increase in hourly compensation outpaced the 1.6 percent gain in productivity. That’s a 1.2 percent increase in unit labor costs from the same quarter a year ago.
 
Meanwhile, manufacturing productivity grew 6.3 percent in the first quarter of 2011, as output and hours worked increased 9.7 percent and 3.3 percent, respectively. Over the last four quarters, manufacturing productivity increased 4.7 percent, the Bureau reported.
 
For the week ending April 30, claims for unemployment insurance benefits jumped to 474,000, an increase of 43,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 431,000, according to the Employment and Training Administration. The four-week moving average was 431,250, an increase of 22,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 409,000.
 
The advance unemployment total for that week was 3,733,000, an increase of 74,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,659,000. That said, the four-week moving average was 3,700,750, a decrease of 1,250 from the preceding week’s revised four-week moving average of 3,702,000.
 
This week’s economic news leads on Tuesday with April’s import and export prices from the Census Bureau, which will also release March’s wholesale inventory statistics that day, as well.
 
On Wednesday, the Census Bureau will also release March’s balance of trade, and the Treasury Department will release its April budget.
 
Thursday follows with initial jobless claim benefits totals for last week from the Employment and Training Administration. The Census Bureau will release April’s retail sales data for April, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release April’s producer price index on that day, as well. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will follow with April’s consumer price index on Friday.

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: May 2, 2011
May 2, 2011

Last week’s economic headlines started off with some encouraging real estate news: Sales of new single-family houses during March 2011 reached an annual rate of 300,000, which was 11.1 percent over February’s revised rate of 270,000, according to the latest figures from the Census Bureau.
 
That said, real estate still has a way to go in comparison to last year. March’s rate was 21.9 percent below the March 2010 estimate of 384,000.
 
In terms of price, the median sales price of new houses sold in March 2011 was $213,800 and the average sales price was $246,800. In terms of supply, the estimate of new houses for sale at the end of March was 183,000, which represents a 7.3-month supply at the current sales rate.

Real gross domestic product — the output of goods and services produced by U.S. businesses and labor — increased at an annual rate of 1.8 percent in the first quarter of 2011, according to advanced figures from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This was a tapering of Q4 2010′s GDP gains, which increased 3.1 percent.
 
The increase in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), private inventory investment, exports and nonresidential fixed investment. These gains were partly offset by negative contributions from federal government spending and state and local government spending. The bureau also noted that a sharp increase in imports and a deceleration in personal consumption negatively impacted GDP totals, thus tapering the GDP gains.
 
After a string of weekly decreases, jobless claims were up, according to the Employment and Training Administration’s latest report last week. Unemployment insurance claims for the week ending April 23 were at 429,000, an increase of 25,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 404,000. The four-week moving average was 408,500, an increase of 9,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 399,250, the administration reported.
 
That said, the advance total for insured unemployed workers during the week ending April 16 was 3,641,000, a decrease of 68,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,709,000. The four-week moving average was 3,697,750, a decrease of 22,750 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,720,500.
 
While many analysts had expected a slowing in the growth of GDP due to tough winter weather and increasing energy costs during the first quarter, the recent increase in unemployment benefits claims gave some reason to point to a shaky recovery.
 
“On both economic growth and jobs, we’re seeing some retrenchment,” Sung Won Sohn, an economist at Cal State Channel Islands, told the Los Angeles Times. He added that where energy prices were concerned, “It could get worse in the second quarter.”
 
While some economists might have been worrying about the economy, consumers were slightly more upbeat. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index, which was down for March, improved in April. April’s index hit 65.4 (1985=100), up from March’s 63.8. The Present Situation Index, how consumers feel about the current economy, increased to 39.6 from 37.5; and the Expectations Index, how consumers feel the economy will go, rose to 82.6 from 81.3.
 
“Consumers’ short-term outlook improved slightly, suggesting that the uncertainty expressed last month is easing,” said Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center. “Inflation expectations, which had spiked, retreated somewhat in April. Although confidence remains weak, consumers’ assessment of current conditions gained ground for the seventh straight month, a sign that the economic recovery continues.”
 
This week’s financial news starts today with construction spending data for March from the Census Bureau, as well as U.S. car and truck sales data for May from the auto manufacturers. The Census Bureau follows up on Wednesday with factory orders figures for March.
 
On Thursday, the Employment Training Administration will release jobless claims data for the week ending April 23, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release figures for non-farm productivity for the first quarter.
 
Friday caps off the week with April’s non-farm payrolls figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, as well as April’s unemployment rate, hourly earnings and average workweek, also from the Bureau. The Federal Reserve will wrap things up with its consumer credit data for March.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: Apr 25, 2011
April 26, 2011

Real estate news dominated last week’s economic headlines with the sales of existing homes for March, including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, reaching a rate of 5.1 million units, according to the latest findings from the National Association of REALTORS®.

March’s performance was 3.7 percent higher than an upwardly revised 4.92 million units for February, but still 6.3 percent below March 2010′s 5.44 million pace, NAR reported.

“Existing-home sales have risen in six of the past eight months, so we’re clearly on a recovery path,” said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun, who said he expects the improving sales pattern to continue. “With rising jobs and excellent affordability conditions, we project moderate improvements into 2012, but not every month will show a gain.”

Where new housing is concerned, permits for new housing units issued in March were at an annual rate of 594,000, marking an 11.2 percent increase over February’s revised rate of 534,000, according to the latest figures released by the Census Bureau last week.

While March’s permits showed a monthly upward trend, it was still 13.3 percent below the March 2010 estimate of 685,000. Permits for single-family homes in March were at a rate of 405,000, which was 5.7 percent above February’s revised figure of 383,000.

Construction starts on private housing starts in March were at an annual rate of 549,000, which was 7.2 percent above February’s revised estimate of 512,000, but 13.4 percent below March 2010′s rate of 634,000. Starts on single-family homes for March were at a rate of 422,000, which was 7.7 percent above February’s revised figure of 392,000.

Initial jobless claims for the week ending April 16, dipped to 403,000, a decrease of 13,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 416,000, according to the Employment and Training Administration. The four-week moving average was 399,000, an increase of 2,250 from the previous week’s revised average of 396,750.

The advance number for unemployed workers that were insured during the week ending April 9 was 3,695,000, a decrease of 7,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,702,000.

New homes sales data for March from the Census Bureau leads this week’s financial headlines on Monday, followed by Consumer Confidence figures for February from the Conference Board on Tuesday.

Wednesday will see durable goods orders for March from the Census Bureau, followed by advance figures for Q1′s gross domestic product from the Bureau of Economic Analysis on Thursday. Also on Thursday, the Employment and Training Administration will release initial jobless claims data for last week.

The week’s financial news wraps up Friday with personal income and spending data for March from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, and April’s consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan.

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: Apr 18, 2011
April 26, 2011

Last week saw a busy calendar of economic updates, starting off with somewhat encouraging foreign trade news. February’s total exports of $165.1 billion and imports of $210.9 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $45.8 billion, down from $47 billion in January, the Census Bureau reported Tuesday. February exports were $2.4 billion less than January’s exports of $167.5 billion, and February imports were $3.6 billion less than January imports of $214.5 billion.

In related news, U.S. import prices rose 2.7 percent in March and export prices advanced 1.5 percent for the month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last Wednesday. These gains both followed 1.4 percent increases for both categories in February. Prices for overall exports rose 9.5 percent for the year ended in March, the largest 12-month advance since July 2008.

Higher prices for both agricultural and nonagricultural exports contributed to both the monthly and 12-month increases in overall export prices, while higher fuel prices and nonfuel prices drove the import price increase.

At home, advance estimates from the Census Bureau for March’s U.S. retail and food services sales were $389.3 billion, an increase of 0.4 percent over February, and 7.1 percent above March 2010. Total sales for January through March 2011 were up 8.1 percent from the same period a year ago. The January to February 2011 percent change was revised from +1.0 percent to +1.1 percent.

Three key retail sales segments for March were retail trade sales, which were up 0.3 percent from February 2011, and 7.3 percent above last year; gasoline stations sales, which were up 16.7 percent from March 2010; and nonstore retailers sales, which were up 12.4 percent from last year.

March’s Producer Price Index for finished goods slightly tapered back its growth in March with a 0.7 percent gain, which followed a 1.6 percent increase in February and a 0.8 percent gain in January, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

March’s PPI gains could mostly be chalked up to increased energy prices, with nearly 90 percent of the increase in the finished goods index attributed to a 2.6 percent rise in prices for finished energy goods, the Bureau reported.

In related news, February’s combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers shipments was estimated at $1.17 trillion, up 0.2 percent from January 2011 and up 10.9 percent from February 2010, according to the Census Bureau.

Manufacturers’ and trade inventories were at an end-of-month level of $1.45 trillion, up 0.5 percent from January 2011 and up 9.1 percent from February 2010. This put the total business inventories/sales ratio based on seasonally adjusted data at the end of February at 1.24, slightly down from February 2010′s ratio of 1.26, the Bureau reported.

Initial jobless benefit claims for the week ending April 9 totaled 412,000, an increase of 27,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 385,000, the Employment and Training Administration reported Thursday. The four-week moving average was 395,750, an increase of 5,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 390,250.

Encouragingly, the advance number for insured unemployed workers during the week ending April 2 was 3,680,000, a decrease of 58,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,738,000. The four-week moving average was 3,728,750, a decrease of 20,750 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,749,500.

This week’s financial news begins Tuesday with the Census Bureau’s data for March housing construction starts and permits. In related news, on Wednesday the National Association of REALTORS® will release March’s existing home sales stats.

Thursday wraps up the week’s economic news with initial jobless claims for this week, which will be released by the Employment and Training Administration, and the Conference Board will release its leading economic indicators data for March.

Posted in Economic Roundup



It’s Time to Make Your Move
April 13, 2011

Don’t let the gloom and doom of recent magazine and newspaper articles convince you that real estate isn’t a good investment. That news is often based on a reaction to what’s already happened in the housing market, but not necessarily with an eye to what could happen in the market.

In fact, there are some experts who would argue the pendulum is ready to swing back in the housing market, or is already in the process. Let’s take a look at some of the reasons why now might be an excellent time to buy the home you’ve always wanted.

First off, let’s negate the gloom and doom. Right now, it is very easy to look at the pace of current home sales, which is obviously off from previous years, and conclude that the market is in poor shape so now is not a good time to buy. Wrong. There are some key reasons why now is a great time to buy.

Pricing

Home prices are still down. If you subscribe to the notion of buying low and selling high when making an investment, then you’ve come to the right market. Even if home prices tick down a little more, they will be coming back up.

Why do we say this? One look at U.S. home prices over time will show that today’s home prices have finished their descent from the housing bubble’s price spike, and are now essentially where they should be if the bubble had never happened and they had continued on the historic trend of housing price increases. Or, in some markets, they are below that.

Moreover, many analysts will point to the inventory of foreclosed homes or homes that could go on the market as short sales as evidence of factors that will push home prices further down, but they miss other market factors that temper that trend’s overall effect. Pointing solely to foreclosure inventory ignores the fact that the pace of new housing construction starts and new home inventory is down to a level that compensates for an increase in foreclosure inventory.

Also, it ignores the geographic nature of real estate. While there are some areas of the country that could aptly be described as foreclosure markets, many large real estate markets initially impacted by the bubble bursting are now on the road to recovery.

Financing

Let’s look at rates. Lately, they have been bouncing up and down slightly, but in general they have been hovering at around 4.8 percent to 5 percent for a 30-year fixed-rate home loan. While a tenth of a percent can amount to a lot when we’re talking about six- and seven-figure home prices (or more), that tenth of a percent is nitpicking when you put it into a historic context.

Why? Because, as the analysts at mortgage research firm Metrostudy note, the average rate for 30-year mortgages over the past 40 years has been 8.9 percent. Over the long term, rates are expected to rise from today’s historically low rates. Earlier this year, in fact, Freddie Mac predicted that the rate on 30-year fixed-rate loans would reach 5.5 percent by the fourth quarter and average out at 5.8 percent during 2012. But that is still significantly lower than the historical average.

Let’s say that prices do drop below today’s levels. It’s reasonable to expect that mortgage interest rates would increase accordingly. So, if that’s the case, why wait for rates to increase? The difference in buying power between a mortgage at, say, 4.5 percent and 7.5 percent interest is considerable, Metrostudy notes. If you could afford to borrow $200,000 at 4.5 percent, you could only afford $145,000 at 7.5 percent. Waiting for prices to drop further could put you in a worse position when you factor in increasing rates.

And true, the standards for borrowing a home loan have become more stringent these days, but if you are in the right financial circumstances to finance a home, then you needn’t worry. There are many options for qualified home buyers, from government-backed loans like those offered by the FHA to ARMs, interest-only options and more. The right lender will be able to guide you to the options that work best for your unique financial situation and goals. With WJB’s industry-leading turn times, experienced loan officers and cutting-edge technology that lets us track loans in real time, we’re a great choice for your home financing.

Along with the adage about buying low and selling high, remember what one of this nation’s greatest wealth-makers, Warren Buffet, once said about investing: “Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy only when others are fearful.”

All the gloom-and-doom reporting and declining activity in real estate sales has intimidated a lot of people into inactivity. They can’t recognize the value of historically low prices and mortgage rates. Now could be the moment to make your move.

Are you looking to trade up into the home you’ve always wanted, or would you like to leverage the market conditions to purchase investment property? Your moment of opportunity has come. Please reach out to me using the contact information on this message and I’d be happy to review your options with you.

Contact me today to learn more.


Posted in WJB Insight



Economic Roundup: Apr 11, 2011
April 11, 2011

Consumer credit increased at an annual rate of 3.75 percent for February 2011, according to the latest findings released by the Federal Reserve last week.
 
During February, American consumers kept their credit cards in their pockets, with revolving debt dropping by an annual rate of 4.1 percent to $794 billion.


That said, borrowers increased their use of non-revolving debt, such as student and car loans, for the seventh straight month. Non-revolving credit increased at an annual rate of 7.75 percent to $1.63 trillion.
 
Together, revolving and non-revolving debt brought the total of U.S. consumer credit to $2.41 trillion. The fact that consumers were opting for credit for bigger ticket items could point to continuing economic improvement, according to Theresa Chen, an economist at Barclays Capital.
 
“This is consistent with the strength seen in auto sales over the past few months as auto-related loans make up a large portion of non-revolving debt,” Chen told Reuters news service. “The persistent increase in headline consumer credit is a positive development, consistent with the broader economic recovery.”
 
Also pointing in that direction were continued drops in initial jobless claims. The Employment and Training Administration reported that for the week ending April 2, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 382,000, a decrease of 10,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 392,000. The four-week moving average was 389,500, a decrease of 5,750 from the previous week’s revised average of 395,250.
 
The advance total for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending March 26 was 3,723,000, a decrease of 9,000 from the preceding week. The four-week moving average was 3,745,750, a decrease of 24,000 from the preceding week’s revised average.
 
After last week’s somewhat light financial news calendar, this week will see a volley of economic headlines, starting with February’s balance of trade and March’s export and import prices from the Census Bureau on Tuesday. The Bureau will follow that with March’s retail sales data and February’s business inventories on Wednesday.
 
Thursday will see March’s producer price index from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which will follow up on Friday with the corresponding consumer price index. Also on Friday will be the release of March’s industrial production and capacity utilization data from the Federal Reserve, to wrap up the week.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Buying a Short Sale–The Need for Speed
March 9, 2011



Short sales offer not just a lifeline to homeowners in over their heads, but an opportunity for homebuyers seeking an amazing deal. Better yet, thanks to new regulations, the once lengthy process has recently become considerably more streamlined.



In a short sale, a homeowner that cannot afford to pay the mortgage and the lender that loaned them the money enter into an agreement in which the home will be sold for less than the balance of the loan. This is generally because the homeowner has incurred a financial hardship — such as unemployment, an unforeseen medical expense or divorce — that is going to make it impossible to continue paying the loan.

So, the homeowner and the lender enter a short sale agreement as a win-win, and the buyer makes that a triple win. For the seller, a short sale enables them to start rebuilding their credit rating sooner than a foreclosure would allow. For the lender, a short sale lets them sidestep the often-sizable costs that they must bear in a foreclosure. And, of course, for the buyer, they benefit with a price often below market value.

However, short sales differ from standard real estate transactions. Buyers should understand the elements of a short sale so that they know what to expect and how to work with the seller. Cooperation is key between all parties in the short sale: the seller, the lender and the buyer, so you want to know the ins and outs.

Short Sale Process

A short sale involves an agreement between a lender and a borrower to sell the home for a price below the loan amount. Every lender has its process for a short sale, and it also has its own criteria for approving a short sale agreement.

The initial stages of a short sale will seem very much like a regular real estate process. You will want to get pre-approved for your loan, work with a real estate agent to find the short sale opportunities in your area, view the properties, research the ones you like, and begin negotiating with the sellers. But at a certain point, the lender will need to be brought into the process to approve the short sale terms. In other words, not only is the seller negotiating with you, but he or she must then negotiate with his or her lender to get its blessing on the deal.

Because of that negotiation with the lender, the seller will work with a real estate agent that is qualified to work on his or her behalf. The seller’s agent often holds a short sales certification from the National Association of REALTORS®. This agent will be an expert in shaping the agreement with the seller’s lender, and his or her expertise will help ensure that both the seller and you succeed in making a deal that the lender will be happy with and approve.

The short sale process used to be lengthy, and could go on for many months, while ultimately ending in disappointment. Thanks to new rules that recently went into effect under the Department of Treasury’s Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives Program (HAFA), the process has become more streamlined, which works to everyone’s advantage.

Previously, the lender could take months to review and consider offers put in by potential homebuyers. Under HAFA, sellers are now required to respond to a bid within 10 days. However, be warned that lenders will generally counteroffer your bid, which will stretch out the approval process. They can also take their time when accepting the final offer and completing the paperwork, which means a short sale can still take months to complete. When you consider the great deal you’re getting, though, that extra time may be well worth it.

Sometimes a property may be listed as an approved short sale on the MLS. This means the lender has agreed to a selling price that is lower that the balance of the loan. In general, the approved short sale price is non-negotiable; however, you can reasonably expect an approved short sale to move faster than the other type of short sale.

As you can see, the short sale process offers homebuyers a tremendous opportunity to get into a good property at a bargain price. Better yet, HAFA has eased the process considerably and streamlined an ordeal that previously took up to a year into a realistic process for all parties concerned.

If you or any of your friends or family are looking to find out more about the short sale process, I’d be happy to provide you with more information, as well as put you in contact with a real estate agent that can help you explore the short sales opportunities in your area. With home prices and interest rates still low, now is a great time to consider buying a new home. You may be able to afford a bigger home than you thought possible.

Contact me today to learn more.


Posted in WJB Insight



Is a Refinance Right for You?
February 9, 2011

Purchasing and financing a home is a major financial undertaking filled with complexity and tough decisions. As the saying goes, it is one of the most important financial decisions you will make in your life. The money you pay over the life of a loan is significant, and small variables can have huge outcomes over time.


That said, your home’s financing isn’t final. The decisions you made in the past were based on an idea of how things might play out in your future. However, your income, the mortgage market and the real estate market can change. This is why you should always assess the applicability of your mortgage to your current situation and future plans to determine if a refinance is in order.

In fact, there are a variety of reasons you might want to refinance:

  • You want to take advantage of a lower interest rate. Rates recently hit historic lows, allowing many homeowners to get locked in at a lower rate — but rates are slowly beginning to trend back upwards. If you can get in now before they bounce back any higher, you can keep your monthly payments low and could even hold down the overall cost of your loan over the long haul.
  • Your current loan is an adjustable-rate mortgage. It could be your current loan is an ARM that will soon adjust upwards. Or, you might prefer the peace of mind offered by a fixed-rate mortgage.
  • You need to get some cash. You could have credit card debt or another large expense that you wish to pay off. If this is the case, you might want to refinance and “cash out” a certain amount to cover this expense. In fact, cashing out a certain amount at a mortgage’s much lower rate to pay off a debt — say, a credit card — at a much higher rate often makes solid financial sense.
  • You might desire better terms. For instance, your current loan might be a 30-year, but you now find yourself in a financial position that lets you pay it off in 15 years. Opting for the shorter term loan will help you pay off your debt sooner and save significant money over the term of the loan. Likewise, you might find yourself in a position where your income has decreased and you wish to extend the term of the loan.
  • You have private mortgage insurance. PMI is required of borrowers who put down less than 20 percent on their home, and can cost anywhere from .25 percent to .75 percent of the loan value. In general, if you have a 22 percent equity position in your home, you will likely be able to remove your PMI, but be sure to check your state regulations as they vary widely. Look at comparable houses for sale in your neighborhood to help you gauge whether your equity has risen.
  • You want to consolidate your second mortgage into all one loan with a refinance. Again, this could mean significant savings for you over the long haul.
Important Considerations

Whatever your reasons for wanting to refinance, there are a number of factors you’ll want to consider. For starters, you want to make sure that your current loan does not have a pre-payment penalty for refinancing. Such a penalty says that you cannot pay off your loan too early. If you have one in place, you’ll want to make sure you are outside that penalty phase (these typically last between one and five years).

Another key concern is whether or not the costs of a refinance are recouped by your lower rate. All loans have closing costs associated with them, and you want to make sure that whatever savings your new loan delivers will also be worth the closing costs. Typically, you want the savings you gain over the life of the new loan to recoup your closing costs within two years.

Compare the overall cost of the new loan to the cost of the old loan. Take the remaining months of your existing loan and multiply them by your principal and interest payments and compare that product to the same calculation for the new loan. Is it lower? Is it higher? How large is the difference? Obviously the goal is for the overall cost of the new loan to ring in at less than that of old loan, but if a cash-out is involved, you’ll need to account for that.

Factor in the tax deductions of the new loan in comparison to the old. Are they larger or smaller? By how much? The write-off for mortgage insurance means a lot to most households, so you want to make sure that the money you save on your mortgage won’t be undermined by a less advantageous tax position.*

You also can make a deduction for any points you purchase, but there is a difference between how points are deducted in a refinance as opposed to a home purchase. Any points that you pay on the loan for a purchase are deducted for the tax year in which you secured the loan. However, in the case of a refinance, that deduction is amortized over the term of the loan. You’ll want to make sure your calculations reflect that.

As you can see, there is a lot to consider, which is why it makes sense to sit down with a home financing expert and review all the key considerations and do all the necessary calculations to ensure you’re making the smartest financial decision you can.

Are you considering refinancing your home loan? If so, I would love to help you make the most informed decision possible. Please contact me today!

*WJB is not a tax advisory firm. The information contained in this article is for informational purposes only and may not reflect current tax year rules and regulations. Consult your tax advisor or the IRS for current tax year rules, restrictions and regulations.

Posted in WJB Insight



Economic Roundup: Jan. 17, 2011
January 17, 2011

U.S. import prices for December rose 1.1 percent and export prices increased 0.7 percent, according to data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics last week. This continued an upswing that saw import prices increase 1.5 percent in November and 1.1 percent in October. Overall, import prices advanced 4.8 percent and export prices rose 6.5 percent for 2010.
 
Fuel import prices continued their more moderate pace of increases with a 4.1 percent increase in December, following similar advances of 4.2 percent and 4.3 percent for November and October. While prices for imported fuel rose 11.9 percent in 2010, this was in stark contrast to the pace of fuel import prices in 2009, which saw a 62.2 percent jump.
 
The price for imports excluding fuel advanced 0.3 percent in December after a 0.8 percent rise in November. Rising prices for non-fuel industrial supplies and materials and foods, feeds, and beverages led the advance in December. Overall, non-fuel prices rose 3.0 percent in 2010, primarily driven by a 12 percent increase in the price index for industrial supplies and materials. This marked the largest yearly advance in non-fuel prices since 2007′s 3.1 percent gain.
 
In related news, the foreign trade deficit for November reached a 10-month low, according to the latest figures from the Census Bureau, released last week. Total November exports of $159.6 billion and imports of $198.0 billion resulted in a goods and services deficit of $38.3 billion, down from $38.4 billion in October. November exports were $1.2 billion more than October exports of $158.4 billion, and November imports were $1.1 billion more than October imports of $196.8 billion.
 
Compared to November 2009, the goods and services deficit increased $3.0 billion for November 2010, with exports up $20.7 billion, or 14.9 percent, and imports up $23.7 billion, or 13.6 percent.
 
Turning to U.S. wholesale activity, the Producer Price Index for Finished Goods rose 1.1 percent in December, seasonally adjusted, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. This advance followed increases of 0.8 percent in November and 0.4 percent in October, and marked the sixth straight rise in finished goods prices.
 
Also of note, despite previous unemployment gains, initial jobless benefit claims for the week ending January 8 shot to 445,000, an increase of 35,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 410,000, according to the Employment and Training Administration’s most recent figures, released last week. The figure completely outpaced analysts’ predictions of 415,000.
 
The increase put the four-week moving average at 416,500, an increase of 5,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 411,000. The administration also noted that the total number of people claiming benefits in all programs for the week ending December 25 was 9,193,838.
 
While the recent jobless claim figures were disappointing, various analysts cautioned that January employment figures are often subject to seasonal fluctuations.
 
This week features data on housing construction starts and building permits for December from the Census Bureau on Wednesday.
 
This will be followed Thursday by existing home sales data for December from the National Association of REALTORS®.
 
Also on Thursday,The Conference Board’s leading economic indicators, score for December and the Employment and Training Administration’s tally of initial jobless benefit claims from last week are released.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Finding the Right Loan Officer
January 12, 2011

Financing a home may be one of the most important monetary decisions you will ever make in your life, so you want to make sure that you work with a lending professional who brings experience, expertise and sound judgment to the table.


Broken down to the very basics, a loan officer’s job is to guide a borrower through the home financing process. The loan officer reviews the borrower’s credit, assets, income, financial circumstance and objectives, and determines which loan products will best suit the client’s need. Then the loan officer guides the borrower through the application and loan process.

But a qualified loan officer is so much more than just a home financing tour guide. He or she should be a trusted advisor that helps you make a well-informed decision about your home financing. Like an accountant, lawyer, real estate agent or financial advisor, the loan officer is part of the continuum of your personal finances. So you need to make a smart choice. Here are some important considerations:

  • Are they licensed? Loan officers are now required by federal law to be licensed in the state in which they work. To become licensed, a loan officer must complete 20 hours of coursework, pass both a state and a federal written exam, pass a background check and have no felony convictions. He or she must regularly complete continuing education courses in order to maintain a license in good standing. Many states also pull a loan officer’s credit to ensure they demonstrate financial responsibility. Moreover, each state has separate licensing requirements that a loan officer must adhere to. And if the loan officer is providing FHA loans, he or she must be licensed by the FHA. Additionally, more than half the states in the U.S. require an additional license to offer second mortgages. You should feel comfortable asking if your loan officer is properly licensed.
  • What is their education? At the very least, a loan officer must hold a high school diploma to be hired as a loan officer. He or she then receives on-the-job training. Many loan officers may also hold an undergraduate or graduate degree in a field of study such as economics, business or finance.
  • What is their experience? Along with education, experience is also critical when selecting a loan officer. You want someone who has an intimate familiarity with the home financing industry, the available products and how they can affect your decision-making. Ask whether or not he or she has earned any internal or industry certifications or recognitions for his or her work and how many years they have been in the business. Ask why you should select them over someone else. Whether they are new to the business or have been around for several years, you need to feel comfortable they have the expertise to guide you towards the best home financing solutions for your particular needs. A brand-new loan officer is not necessarily uninformed and may make a great advisor for you as their financing education will be fresh in their minds.
  • Who are their referral partners? A smart loan officer will work with various third-party referral partners, such as financial planners and real estate agents, to help provide their clients with additional financial expertise. Ask the loan officer for a list of referral partners and learn more about those third parties and their businesses. You’ll want to work with a loan officer that can help provide solutions at every step of the process by pointing you in the right direction to other experienced professionals.
  • Do they have references? Ask for references and then interview some recent clients of the loan officer to learn their opinions on the loan officer’s capabilities. Word of mouth still goes a long way, so sit down with some past customers and get their candid take on the loan officer’s pros and cons. This will give you an idea of what to expect should you choose to work with that particular loan officer.
  • What is their responsiveness and how do they communicate? Ask the loan officer how frequently he or she communicates with clients and what is the typical means of communication. Ask what types of information you should expect to receive, as well. Also, get a good idea on how responsive he or she will be to your queries. Ask questions such as, “If I have a question about the loan terms, how quick will you get back to me?” You want to make sure you’ll be satisfied with the loan officer’s customer service.
  • What are their core business values? This is a powerful open-ended question to ask because the answers can vary widely from loan officer to loan officer. Are they committed to customer service? Do they want to get you the best possible rate? Do they want to deliver flexible terms? No two lending professionals will give you the same response. Make sure the loan officer’s responses match your needs.
Last but not least, you are ultimately looking for a partner and trusted advisor to help you make a very complex decision. Seek out a loan officer who is asking you questions about your finances and your future goals. This will demonstrate that the loan officer is trying to determine a loan that will fit not only your home, and not only your finances, but one that will fit your life. If your loan officer is asking those fundamental questions, then you’ve probably found the right one.

If you are searching for a trusted advisor to help you with your home financing, please contact me. I would love to tell you about my capabilities and experience so that I can help you secure the right loan for your unique circumstances.

Posted in WJB Insight



Economic Roundup: Jan. 10, 2011
January 10, 2011

There were some positive signs and reason for optimism in some of the economic reports released last week. The unemployment rate dropped in December 2010 to 9.4% vs. the 9.7% that was anticipated. Employers added 103,000 new jobs during the month, although that number was far lower than the 175,000 projected by analysts.
 
In construction spending, the just released report by the Census Bureau beat analysts’ expectations, ringing in at an $810.2 billion annual rate for November, 0.4 percent higher than October’s spending, according to figures released by the Census Bureau. Market watchers had predicted a 0.2 percent rate.
 
A key performer within the Bureau’s various segments was residential construction, which was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $235.7 billion for November, 0.7 percent over October’s figure. (Nonresidential construction for November was 0.1 percent below October.)
 
While the facts that November construction solidly beat expectations and that residential construction increased are reasons for optimism, November’s overall figure was still 6.0 percent below November 2009′s estimate of $861.5 billion.
 
“It is too soon to tell if this sector, which has been in decline since March 2006, hit bottom in August 2010,” said Patrick Newport, U.S. economist with research firm IHS Global Insight. “If it did, a solid rebound is unlikely. Spending on single- and multi-family homes is likely to remain flat over the next few months, since housing starts, which have been essentially flat over the past 24 months, show no signs of taking off soon.”
 
Another welcome bit of good news in last week’s headlines was strong car and truck sales for December, according to figures released by the auto manufacturers, which showed sales increase by 11 percent for the month, pushing 2010′s total sales to 11.59 million cars. This marked the first annual sales gain since 2005 and a rise of over 1 million cars from 2009, according to Automotive News.
 
Nearly every auto maker posted a gain for the month, with General Motors in the No. 1 slot with 224,147 sales. GM sold 2.2 million cars sold across its four brands in 2010, an 8 percent increase over 2009.
 
In the second place was Ford, which enjoyed a four percent rise to 190,191 sales, putting its total 2010 sales at 1.9 million vehicles, a whopping 17 percent over its 2009 figure.
 
This knocked Toyota into third place. Still feeling the aftereffects of its various safety recalls, Toyota was the only car maker to post a drop in December, selling 177,488 units, putting it down 5.5 percent for the month and 0.4 percent for the year.
 
This week will be packed with financial headlines, starting tomorrow with data on November’s wholesale inventories from the Census Bureau, which are expected to show a 1 percent gain. Wednesday the Bureau continues its news with export and import prices for December. It will follow that Thursday with data on the balance of trade for November, which analysts are expecting to have weakened by $39.5 billion.
 
Thursday will also see producer price index and consumer price index data for December from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The PPI is expected to match November’s performance of a 0.8 percent increase, and CPI is expected to match November’s 0.1 percent gain.
 
The week will close with retail sales data for December from the Census Bureau, which is expected to have increased 1 percent over November, as well as data on December’s industrial production from the Federal Reserve, which is expected to show a 0.4 percent increase.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: Jan. 3, 2011
January 3, 2011

Last week offered a light financial calendar, with the spotlight focused on a decline in the Consumer Confidence index from The Conference Board.
 
The index, which had improved in November, dipped to 52.5 in December from 54.3 in November. (The index was ranked at 100 when benchmarked in 1985.) While a decrease, this should not be read as gloom and doom on consumers’ part, according to Lynn Franco, director of the Consumer Research Center at The Conference Board.
 
“Despite this month’s modest decline, consumer confidence is no worse off today than it was a year ago,” she says. “Consumers’ assessment of the current state of the economy and labor market remains tepid, and their outlook remains cautious. Thus, all signs continue to suggest that the economic expansion will continue well into 2011, but that the pace of growth will remain moderate.”
 
The additional confidence indexes also showed declines, with the Present Situation Index (how consumers feel about the current economic circumstance) declining to 23.5 from 25.4.
 
Some other notable statistics:

  • The percentage of consumers claiming business conditions are “bad” decreased to 41.2 percent from 42.9 percent.
  • Those claiming business conditions are “good” declined to 7.5 percent from 8.5 percent.
  • Consumers saying jobs are “plentiful” decreased to 3.9 percent from 4.3 percent, while those stating jobs are “hard to get” edged up to 46.8 percent from 46.3 percent.
  • Those anticipating fewer jobs in the months ahead increased to 19.5 percent from 19.1 percent, while those expecting more jobs declined to 14.3 percent from 15.1 percent.
  • The proportion of consumers expecting an increase in their incomes decreased to 9.9 percent from 11.1 percent.

While consumers might have increasingly worried about job prospects in December, the Department of Labor reported last week that for the week ending December 25, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims dipped to 388,000. This marked a decrease of 34,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 422,000. The four-week moving average was 414,000, a decrease of 12,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 426,500.
 
This week, the financial calendar will pick back up again with lots of news to kick off the New Year. The news kicks off today with home construction spending data for November from the Census Bureau, which is expected to taper off from October’s growth, while still showing an anticipated 0.2 percent gain.
 
The Census Bureau will follow with factory orders for November on Tuesday, which market watchers expect will show a 0.5 percent drop from October’s data. Car and truck sales data for December from the auto manufacturers will also be released on Tuesday.
 
Friday will see a variety of employment related figures for December from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, including non-farm payrolls, the unemployment rate, hourly earnings and the average workweek. Unemployment, the most watched figure of the quartet, is expected to remain at 9.8 percent.
 
This week will wrap up with consumer credit data for November from the Federal Reserve.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: Dec. 27, 2010
December 27, 2010

Americans received good news on the home front last week — the home sales front, that is. Sales of both existing and new homes for November enjoyed upward trends, according to respective reports from the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) and the Census Bureau.
 
Sales of single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops in November rose 5.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.68 million in November, from 4.43 million in October, according to NAR, which chalked up the gains to improved home affordability.
 
“The relationship recently between mortgage interest rates, home prices and family income has been the most favorable on record for buying a home since we started measuring in 1970,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “Therefore, the market is recovering, and we should trend up to a healthy, sustainable level in 2011.”
 
The national median existing-home price for all housing types was a stable $170,600 in November, up only 0.4 percent from November 2009, which Economic Roundup readers might recall was the initial deadline for the federal first-time buyer tax credit that sparked a marked increase in real estate activity last year. Similarly, distressed homes have maintained a fairly stable market share, accounting for 33 percent of sales in November; they were 34 percent in October and 33 percent in November 2009.
 
Sales of new single-family homes in November hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 290,000, according to the Census Bureau, marking a 5.5 percent gain over October’s revised rate of 275,000.
 
The median sales price of new homes sold in November was $213,000, and the average sales price was $268,700. The estimate of new homes for sale at the end of November was 197,000, representing an 8.2-month supply.
 
Despite November’s gains, it’s important to note that November’s existing and new home sales performances still have a way to go before they match November 2009′s tax credit-inspired boomlet. November’s existing home sales were 27.9 percent below the cyclical peak of 6.49 million in November 2009, and new home sales for the month were 21.2 percent below November 2009′s estimate of 368,000.
 
Another key development last week was the news that consumer income and spending both enjoyed gains during November. The latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that personal income increased $42.3 billion, or 0.3 percent, and disposable personal income increased $37.8 billion, or 0.3 percent, in November. Likewise, personal consumption expenditures increased $43.3 billion, or 0.4 percent.
 
Meanwhile, personal savings remained fairly stable, with November’s savings reaching $614.8 billion, compared with $622.8 billion in October. Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income was 5.3 percent in November, compared with 5.4 percent in October.
 
This week will see a light financial news calendar thanks to the holidays, starting Tuesday with December’s consumer confidence index from the Conference Board. The index is expected to climb to a 56.1 from November’s 54.1.
 
On Thursday the Employment and Training Administration will report initial jobless claims for the week ending December 25. Hopefully, the number of job seekers will be reduced and their efforts will have been rewarded with employment for the holiday.
 
 

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: Dec. 20, 2010
December 20, 2010

Retail sales for November nearly doubled expectations, hitting $378.7 billion, an increase of 0.8 percent from October, and 7.7 percent over November 2009, according to the latest Census Bureau data released last week.

Concurrently, the National Federation of Independent Business’s Index of Small Business Optimism increased by 1.5 points to 93.2, the highest since December 2007. While encouraging, the NFIB said November’s sentiment was still in “recession territory.”

“Nowhere is there evidence of a ‘surge’ as experienced in 1983 after the deep recessions of 1980-82,” the NFIB added.

While small businesses might have guarded optimism, November’s quickened retail pace followed a pleasantly unexpected 1.7 percent jump in October, a trend some industry watchers considered encouraging.

“There’s no question this will be the strongest quarter for consumer spending since before the recession,” Chris Low, chief economist at FTN Financial, told Bloomberg. “The economy has pretty good momentum going into the New Year.”

The consumer price index for all urban consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.1 percent in November on a seasonally adjusted basis, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. This was slightly below analyst expectations of 0.2 percent. Over the last 12 months, the all-items index increased 1.1 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Meanwhile, producer prices jumped ahead of expectations, with November’s producer price index for finished goods rising by 0.8 percent, according to the Bureau. On an unadjusted basis, prices for finished goods rose 3.5 percent for the 12 months ending November 2010.

Housing construction for November was a mixed bag according to the Census Bureau, which reported last week that construction permits for private homes were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 530,000 for the month, which was 4.0 percent below October’s revised rate of 552,000. That said, construction starts on private homes for the month were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 555,000, which was 3.9 percent above October’s revised estimate of 534,000.

In terms of single-family homes, permits for November were at a rate of 416,000, which was 3 percent above October’s revised figure of 404,000. Starts on single-family homes in November were at a rate of 465,000, which was 6.9 percent over October’s revised figure of 435,000.

Next week will see a somewhat abbreviated calendar of economic announcements due to the pending holiday break.

On Wednesday, the National Association of REALTORS® will release existing-home sales data for November, which is expected to reach 4.68 million, in comparison to October’s 4.43 million. The Census Bureau will follow up with new-home sales data on Thursday. November’s figure is expected to increase to 305,000 from October’s 283,000.

Also on Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and spending for November, which were expected to be a mixed bag, respectively dipping and remaining flat from October’s figures. Similarly, the University of Michigan will report its consumer sentiment for December, which is expected to drop to 73.7 from November’s 74.2.

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: Dec. 13, 2010
December 15, 2010

Consumer credit saw its largest increase in more than two years during October, according to the Federal Reserve’s latest report released last week. October’s consumer credit increased at an annual rate of 1.75 percent for the month, marking the second straight monthly increase.

Non-revolving credit, such as home and student loans, increased at an annual rate of 6.75 percent to $1.59 trillion, while revolving credit, such as credit cards, decreased at an annual rate of 8.5 percent, dropping to $800 billion. This was the 26th straight monthly drop for credit cards.

The largest segment of the non-revolving debt’s growth was student loans, which may suggest that Americans are seeking degrees that could improve their job-hunting prospects.

Read More >

Posted in Economic Roundup



Economic Roundup: Dec. 6, 2010
December 8, 2010

Labor productivity for the third quarter jumped by a 2.3 percent annual rate over the last period, nearly keeping pace with analyst predictions of a 2.4 percent gain.

Productivity is measured as output compared to hours worked, and according to last week’s report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, non-farm labor output increased 3.7 percent and hours worked increased 1.4 percent in the third quarter. Non-farm business productivity increased 2.5 percent from the third quarter of 2009 to the third quarter of 2010, as output increased 4.3 percent and hours worked rose 1.7 percent.

These gains are moderate, which could point to a future uptick in hiring as businesses realize they have hit a productivity ceiling, even though the unemployment rate inched up to 9.8 percent for November, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics report from last week. The Department of Labor reported last week that for the week ending November 27, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 436,000, an increase of 26,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 410,000.

Read More >

Posted in Economic Roundup



Time for Your Mortgage Review
December 8, 2010

Your mortgage is one of the cornerstones of your financial foundation, so it’s important that you take some time each year to ensure your fiscal “house” is in order. Each year’s financial planning should include an annual review of your home financing to make sure that your loan is in line with your short- and long-term financial goals, as well as with what’s happening in the marketplace.

Some people call it a mortgage checkup, some people call it a mortgage review, but whatever you call it, ensure that you take some time each year to take a look at your home loan. This is especially true right now. Given the current financing market, now is the perfect time to review your mortgage. Rates are low and you could benefit from a decreased monthly payment as a result.

A mortgage review is especially important if you’ve run into some life changes that could impact how your mortgage fits into your personal finances, such as:

Read More >

Posted in WJB Insight



The Fast and the Flawless
December 8, 2010

Closing on time, with little or no red tape, saves you money, time and worry.

That’s why W.J. Bradley has put together a team of the best processors, underwriters, closers and funders in the business. They’re fast, they’re accurate, and their goal is to make sure you get your loan when you need it. In fact, we have some of the fastest turn times in the mortgage lending industry, measuring the time in hours, not days.

Our entire team is charged with the task of ensuring you have the best customer experience every step of the way. Our Operations team is just as committed to providing you with excellent service as I am! Together, they do the work so you don’t have to worry.

WJB also employs state-of-the-art technology to ensure speed and accuracy when processing your loan. We will keep you apprised of the progress of your application throughout the process and we’re here to answer any questions you have, at any time.

If you’re ready to discuss refinancing a current loan or purchasing a new home, call W.J. Bradley today. We’re building a secure future: yours.

Posted in About WJB



Economic Roundup: Nov. 19, 2010
December 8, 2010

Better-than-expected retail sales data led the week’s financial headlines, with advance estimates for October’s retail and food services sales hitting $373.1 billion, a respectable 1.2 percent jump from September and a 7.3 percent increase over October 2009.

On their own, retail trade sales were up 1.3 percent (±0.5%) from September 2010, and 7.7 percent above last year; auto and other motor vehicle dealers sales were up 14.7 percent from October 2009; and nonstore retailer sales were up 13.5 percent from last year.

In related news, October’s Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported last week. While this was slightly below the 0.3 gain experts were hoping for, last month’s gain perpetuated a healthy trend.

The Bureau noted in its report for October that, as has often been the case in recent months, an increase in the energy index was the major factor in the overall CPI increase. The gasoline index rose for the fourth month in a row and accounted for almost 90 percent of the “all items” increase, and the household energy index rose as well.

Read More >

Posted in Economic Roundup



Get Help With All Your Home Financing Needs
December 8, 2010

W.J. Bradley is a privately held independent mortgage lending firm, founded in 2003. We are committed to helping consumers obtain real estate financing targeted to their personal financial needs and goals.

We’re here to help you every step of the way with options and servicing that will get you into your new home quickly.

Meeting Your Needs

At WJB, we believe your home is just a part of your overall financial portfolio. Finding the right home financing means taking into account how your loan fits in with your short- and long-term financial goals. We take the time to discuss your goals with you, and to make sure you understand every step of the process so you can make the decision that is best for your unique situation.

Going High-Tech

Our cutting-edge technology ensures you get the best range of options for your financing, quickly and with no red tape. We can also keep you informed on the progress of your loan, every step of the way. Our in-house processing moves your loan through approvals, processing and underwriting so that your closing is on time and stress free. We’re proud to say we have some of the fastest turn times in the business.

Whether you are looking to finance a new home or refinance your current mortgage, we can help you obtain the best home financing to meet your needs.

Contact me today to see how W.J. Bradley can help you find the home financing to fit your needs.

Posted in About WJB



WJB: Experienced in FHA
December 8, 2010

At W.J. Bradley, we’re experienced at navigating the requirements for government backed Federal Housing Administration (FHA) loans and in helping you decide whether this is the right kind of loan for you.

These loans can help first-time and low-income borrowers get into the home of their dreams or to refinance a current home loan to lower monthly payments.

FHA loans are forgiving of past credit issues and may have lowered FICO score requirements. They also have a low down payment requirement, so you need less cash on hand to purchase your new home. This means more borrowers can qualify for an FHA home mortgage and become homeowners.

You can also refinance an existing loan with an FHA loan, which may lower your monthly payments and let you keep more cash in your pocket.

As an experienced loan officer who is familiar with the FHA program and its requirements, I am qualified to explain this home loan product to you and help you determine if this is the right financing for your unique financial situation.

Call me today to learn more about qualifying for an FHA loan!

Posted in FHA



FHA Loans: Opening Your Doorway to Homeownership
December 8, 2010

During the Great Depression, the federal government sought to create a stable platform for economic growth, and that platform was homeownership. Through bolstering the rate of homeownership, the feds felt citizens would be in a better position to give back to the economy.

With that in mind, in 1934, the Federal Housing Authority (FHA) was established. The FHA was not created to actually lend money; rather, it was created to insure the loans made by approved lenders, such as W.J. Bradley, and to protect the lenders against defaults on the loans.

If a borrower obtains an FHA loan and then defaults on it, the lender is compensated by FHA, and thus the lender will not lose as much money and is therefore more willing to lend according to FHA guidelines.

Inviting Terms

Fast forward to today, and the FHA loan program remains an extremely attractive option for homebuyers seeking financing. Originally considered a program mainly for first-time buyers, FHA loans are now one of the most popular types of loans for all types of borrowers due to a variety of attractive features:

Read More >

Posted in FHA, WJB Insight





My Mission:
  Steve Schauer
Loan Officer
6131 S Rainbow Blvd.
Las Vegas, NV 89118
Work: (702) 476-9000
Cell: (702) 249-9000
Fax: (702) 946-5026
NMLS# 194587
State Lic.# Licensed in CA, NV; Branch NMLS 372238
To educate and advise clients on their home financing options and become a trusted advisor and their lender for life.


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